XRP Price Prediction: Rare Signal Flashes, Is a 600% Surge in History About to Repeat?

The chart shared by analyst Steph Is Crypto has gone viral on X, highlighting the rare technical signals for XRP in recent months. The Stoch RSI indicator has plunged deep into the Oversold territory, and historically, when this indicator reaches such lows, XRP has subsequently experienced explosive pumps of approximately 75%, 600%, and 120%. The analyst believes this could be one of the clearest buy signals of the year.

Stoch RSI Oversold extreme value, historical accuracy is astonishing

(Source: Trading View)

In Steph's latest article, he analyzes the XRP/USD weekly chart of Bitstamp and focuses on an indicator that has performed exceptionally well in the past—Stochastic RSI. It is a momentum oscillator that helps identify when cryptocurrencies are in an oversold or overbought state. Currently, XRP's Stochastic RSI is deeply entrenched in the oversold territory, and in the past, it has been in this territory before some of XRP's biggest pumps in history.

Stoch RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) is an advanced version of the RSI indicator, which is more sensitive to price movements and can identify overbought and oversold conditions earlier. The Stoch RSI value ranges from 0 to 100, with values below 20 typically considered oversold and above 80 as overbought. When the indicator bottoms out in the oversold region and begins to rise, it usually signals that the price is about to rebound.

In previous cycles, when the Stoch RSI reached these lows, XRP subsequently experienced explosive increases—gaining approximately 75%, 600%, and 120%, respectively. Steph highlighted the current formation, demonstrating how it has almost perfectly retraced. “It's starting to set up again,” he said, implying that another significant pump may be on the horizon.

Such historical accuracy is extremely rare. Most technical indicators have a reliability of about 60% to 70%, and it is very rare to achieve a hit rate of three times. A 600% pump is particularly striking—this brutally reminds us how quickly market sentiment can change once momentum is strong. This pump may correspond to the historic rise of XRP from about $0.5 to $3.84 during the 2017 bull market.

Analysts tracking similar structures indicate that XRP's movements often have rhythm, switching between long periods of calm consolidation and brief periods of strong expansion. They believe that Stoch RSI acts as a “cycle trigger.” According to Steph's chart, the current flashing signals align with those prior to earlier bullish trends — suggesting that this may be the turning point traders have been waiting for.

XRP Historical Pump After Stoch RSI Oversold:

First Time: The pump was approximately +75%, possibly corresponding to a certain quarterly increase.

Second time: pump of approximately +600%, very likely the main upward wave of the 2017 bull market.

Third time: pump of about +120%, possibly corresponding to the rebound market of 2021.

Fourth time: Current signals flashing, market expectations reflecting history again.

2.20 USD support is solid, high and low point pattern confirms buying pressure

In addition to the indicators, the overall structure of XRP looks robust. The coin has consistently stayed above the support level of $2.20, forming a higher low pattern, which usually indicates strong buying pressure below. Liquidity remains stable, and the attention of the entire cryptocurrency market is gradually shifting towards large-cap altcoins — and XRP often shines in this area.

The support level at $2.20 has been tested multiple times over the past few weeks, with the price quickly rebounding each time it falls near that level, indicating a strong buy wall in this price range. From a technical analysis perspective, the validity of a support level depends on the number of tests and its ability to hold. The $2.20 level has been tested at least three times without breaking, and this resilience enhances its credibility as support.

The higher low pattern refers to the continuous increase of the price's low points, while the high points are also rising. This pattern is a typical characteristic of an upward trend, indicating that buying pressure is gradually strengthening. Compared to horizontal consolidation or downward trends, the higher low pattern provides a more positive basis for XRP price predictions. Each higher low represents the market's willingness to take over at higher prices, and this increase in willingness usually precedes a price breakout.

Steph also pointed out that the price rhythm of XRP seems to follow a cyclical pattern, with the expansion phase repeating approximately every few months. Based on this interval, the next wave of impact may already be brewing. If this cycle occurs again, it would be the perfect timing for the bulls. This cyclical characteristic may stem from the investor structure and market psychology of XRP, as after months of calm, investors often accumulate enough buying willingness, and once the trigger point appears, they will release it all at once.

The market background is also shifting favorably. Liquidity remains stable, and the attention of the entire cryptocurrency market is gradually turning towards large-cap altcoins. After Bitcoin and Ethereum complete their major pumps, funds tend to rotate into large altcoins. XRP, as one of the top ten assets by market capitalization, is usually one of the preferred targets for this rotation. Additionally, speculation regarding the potential approval of an XRP ETF is also heating up, and this expectation itself can attract speculative funds to enter the market early.

Breakthrough $3 confirms reversal, target points to $4

Of course, no indicator can guarantee the future. However, if this pattern continues, and if XRP decisively breaks through the short-term resistance level around $2.80 to $3.00, it could signal the beginning of a new round of pumps. Analysts point out that $4 will be the next key target—this target has also been tested in previous peaks.

$3.00 is a key psychological barrier and technical resistance level. This price level is close to the 2021 high and is an area where multiple rebounds have failed to break through. Once it effectively breaks through and stabilizes above $3, it will clear an important supply barrier, making the path to $4 much smoother. Breaking through $3 will also technically confirm the validity of the Stoch RSI signal, attracting trend followers and technical analysis traders to enter the market.

From the current price of $2.63 to $3.00, an approximate 14% pump is needed. This pump is within the daily volatility range of XRP and could be achieved within a few weeks. Once it breaks through $3, there is about 33% space to $4. This two-phase upward path provides traders with a clear operational framework: build a position near the current price, increase the position after confirming the break above $3, and take partial profits near $4.

On-chain data and liquidity growth will be key confirmation factors. If trading volume and active wallet numbers rebound in sync with price, it will enhance the possibility of a genuine breakout rather than a short-term bounce. An increase in the number of active addresses on-chain signifies more participants entering the market, which is a signal of enhanced network effects. A magnified trading volume confirms that the price increase is driven by real demand, rather than manipulation by a few players.

Steph's analysis may become one of the most important technical signals for XRP in 2025. With historical accuracy, rising support levels, and deep Oversold oscillators, XRP seems to be approaching a critical moment. As always, confirmation is key—but for now, the message conveyed by the charts is clear: the current trend resembles the calm before a major event.

Key Observing Indicators for XRP Price Prediction:

Stoch RSI: Is it starting to rise from the Oversold area?

Price Action: Can it break and hold above $3.00

Trading Volume: Is there a volume confirmation during the breakout?

On-chain activity: Is there an increase in active addresses and large transfers?

Support Test: Is the $2.20 support holding strong?

Optimism is spreading, and the XRP community is buzzing once again. This chart is particularly striking because of its consistency. In the past, whenever this indicator hit bottom, XRP saw a explosive rebound shortly thereafter. The question traders are facing now is: will history repeat itself this time? Or will this time be different?