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Oil Shocks and Inflation Fears Drive Markets Higher on 18 May
Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran are driving crude oil prices higher as peace negotiations remain stalled, intensifying global inflation concerns and shifting central bank expectations toward rate hikes. The
According to Anthony Willis, senior economist at Columbia Thread Investment Company, global bond yields are rising significantly as markets expect inflation to remain elevated for an extended period due to higher energy costs. Willis noted that developed market bond yields are trending upward
According to Anthony Willis, a senior economist at Columbia Thread Investments, global bond yields are rising significantly as financial conditions tighten across debt markets. Markets now expect inflation to remain elevated for an extended period due to higher energy costs. Willis anticipates the
According to Anthony Willis, senior economist at Columbia Thread Investment, on May 19, global bond yields are rising sharply as financial conditions tighten and markets expect inflation to remain elevated for an extended period due to higher energy costs.
Willis expects the European Central Bank t
According to BlockBeats, 30-year U.S. Treasury yields rose to approximately 5.14% on May 19, approaching their highest level since 2007. The surge has split global bond investors, with some institutions citing attractive valuations while others fear further upside pressure from inflation, fiscal
According to a report by Navellier & Associates analyst Louis Navellier, interest rates have become highly sensitive to energy prices. Navellier stated that once the Strait of Hormuz resumes operations, interest rates should decline significantly. He noted that until recent energy inflation
According to Daiwa Securities economist Kento Minami on May 19, Japan's exports will face downward pressure despite robust growth reported in first-quarter GDP data. The closure of the Hormuz Strait will directly pressure exports to the Middle East, while domestic supply constraints are expected to
According to UK Office for National Statistics, employers cut 100,000 jobs in April, far exceeding economist forecasts of 10,000. The three-month jobless rate rose from 4.9% in February to 5%, and job vacancies fell to their lowest level since 2021, reflecting weakening labor demand amid Middle
The UK's three-month ILO employment figure came in at 148,000 in March, exceeding expectations of 104,000 and representing a significant jump from the prior reading of 24,000.
UK average three-month wage growth, excluding bonuses, reached 3.4% year-on-year in March, matching market expectations and falling from 3.6% in the prior period.
UK average wage growth excluding bonuses was 3.4% year-over-year in March, matching the consensus forecast, though down from 3.6% in the prior three-month period.
According to UK Office for National Statistics, three-month ILO employment change in March rose to 148,000, exceeding the forecast of 101,000 and up significantly from 24,000 in the previous period.
According to DBS strategist Quek Ser Leang, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose 23.1 basis points in the week ending May 16, breaking a weekly downtrend line connecting the 5.021% and 4.809% peaks. This technical breakdown suggests the yield could extend gains further, as similar weekly surges in t
According to DBS Bank strategist Quek Ser Leang, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose 23.1 basis points last week and broke through a key downtrend line. Quek noted that historically, similar sharp weekly rallies in 10-year yields have often been followed by further gains, suggesting potential for
According to Navellier & Associates analyst Louis Navellier's report released on May 19, interest rates have become highly sensitive to energy prices, and he predicts rates will decline significantly once the Strait of Hormuz resumes normal transit. Navellier stated that inflationary pressure will p