DXY & Forex

Track the US Dollar Index (DXY) and major currency pairs to analyze how dollar strength, liquidity expectations, and interest rate spreads impact BTC, stablecoins, and global crypto pricing.
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Trump says the Iran war has been “terminated”: rushing to avoid congressional authorization before the 60-day deadline

The Trump administration claims that the April ceasefire ended the war with Iran, pausing the authorization clock for 60 days, and that before the May 1 deadline it can be exempt from congressional authorization. Experts say the text contains no “pause-the-clock” mechanism, and the dispute remains; Collins and other Republicans also voted in favor, showing that this interpretation faces challenges. If a court or Congress accepts it, future presidents may be able to use a ceasefire to end hostilities and evade authorization. Oil prices remain elevated, the Japanese yen is strengthening, and geopolitical risks in the Middle East have not been resolved.
ChainNewsAbmedia·05-01 03:20
Trump says the Iran war has been “terminated”: rushing to avoid congressional authorization before the 60-day deadline

CME FedWatch Shows 95% Probability Fed Holds Rates in June, 87.9% in July

According to CME FedWatch data, the Federal Reserve has a 95% probability of holding rates unchanged in June, with a 5% chance of a 25 basis point cut. For July, the probability of maintaining current rates stands at 87.9%, while a 25 basis point cut has an 11.7% probability and a 50 basis point cut
GateNews·04-30 22:06
CME FedWatch Shows 95% Probability Fed Holds Rates in June, 87.9% in July

U.S. Dollar Index Falls 0.91% on April 30, Closes at 98.054

The U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.91% on April 30, closing at 98.054 at the end of New York trading, according to forex market data. The euro strengthened to 1.1729 against the dollar, up from 1.1682 the previous day, while the British pound rose to 1.3583, compared to 1.3483
GateNews·04-30 19:31
U.S. Dollar Index Falls 0.91% on April 30, Closes at 98.054

The ECB and the BoE kept their policy unchanged on the same day (4/30): European and UK central banks are watching the Iran war and inflation together

ECB4/30 kept the deposit rate at 2% for the third consecutive time with no change; inflation rose to 3%, but based on data, it did not commit to a rate cut in June. The BoE held at 3.75% with a vote of 8:1, though Pill argued for raising it to 4%, pointing to how energy prices are affected by the Iran war, making it difficult for monetary policy to directly ease the situation. Both central banks believe that energy inflation and slower growth are occurring together, limiting the path forward; market expectations for rate cuts have been pushed back, and the June meeting will be key.
ChainNewsAbmedia·04-30 15:22
The ECB and the BoE kept their policy unchanged on the same day (4/30): European and UK central banks are watching the Iran war and inflation together

US Q1 GDP grew 2.0%, and March core PCE hit 3.2%, a new 3-year high

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) of the Department of Commerce released on April 30 both its Q1 2026 GDP estimate report and the March personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index. The Q1 GDP annualized growth rate was only 2.0%, below market expectations of 2.2-2.3%, but it rebounded significantly from Q4 2025’s 0.5%. The core PCE year-over-year growth rate in March was 3.2%, with a month-over-month increase of 0.3%, reaching a 3-year high. The Iran war has driven up energy prices, becoming the main factor behind the warming of inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve into a tougher situation. Q1 GDP at 2.0% below expectations: investment, exports, and government spending all contribute, while consumption slows BEA’s Q1 advance estimate shows that real GDP annualized growth in Q1 2026 was 2.0%, compared with 0
ChainNewsAbmedia·04-30 15:17
US Q1 GDP grew 2.0%, and March core PCE hit 3.2%, a new 3-year high

Japanese yen surged nearly 5 yen in a single day to 155: Koga Harutsuki warns of an imminent “decisive intervention”

On 4/30, during intraday trading, the Japanese yen against the US dollar briefly fell to 160.47, then rapidly rebounded to about 155.5 in the afternoon, with an intraday gain of nearly 5 yen. Japan’s Finance Minister Hayuma Katayama called for “decisive measures” to warn, and Finance Minister Jun Mimura said it was the market’s last pull-out warning, adding that there is a possibility of coordination with the US side to intervene. Analysts said the warning is nearing the intervention threshold, and the next steps will be to watch for the yen to retest 158–160, the Bank of Japan’s position in June, and any coordinated US-Japan statements.
ChainNewsAbmedia·04-30 12:35
Japanese yen surged nearly 5 yen in a single day to 155: Koga Harutsuki warns of an imminent “decisive intervention”

U.S. Core PCE Rises to 4.3% in Q1, Beats Forecast of 4.1%

According to China Finance, the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for Q1 2026 rose to 4.3% on an annualized quarterly basis, surpassing market expectations of 4.1% and the prior quarter's reading of 2.7%.
GateNews·04-30 12:33
U.S. Core PCE Rises to 4.3% in Q1, Beats Forecast of 4.1%