Bitcoin's Bullish Turn: Breaking $115,000 Could Signal a Major Rebound in October 2025

In the volatile crypto markets of October 2025—still recovering from last week's $19 billion liquidation storm triggered by U.S.-China tariff escalations—Bitcoin is showing early signs of a bullish reversal, with analysts eyeing a break above $115,000 as the key catalyst for a sustained rally. Trading at $114,738 as of October 13 (up 3% from weekend lows), BTC has stabilized after plunging 16% from $122,000 to $101,500, purging overleveraged longs and resetting sentiment from extreme fear (Fear & Greed at 12) to neutral (now 48). Technical indicators point to oversold conditions and a potential V-shaped recovery, but the $115,000 resistance—coinciding with the 50-day EMA—remains the litmus test for bulls.

Technical Setup: Oversold Bounce with Momentum Building

Bitcoin's daily chart reveals a classic oversold bounce: The RSI dipped to 28 (deeply oversold territory) before rebounding to 55, signaling seller exhaustion and buyer resurgence. A bullish divergence emerged as prices formed a higher low at $101,500 while RSI traced a lower low, mirroring August's setup that sparked a 25% rally. The 50-day EMA at $115,000 acts as dynamic resistance; a close above it could invalidate the downtrend, targeting $119,000 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) and ultimately $122,000 highs. Support holds firm at $110,000 (200-day EMA), with on-chain metrics bolstering the case: Exchange inflows dropped 20% post-crash, and whale accumulation hit $500 million in ETH/BTC dips, per Santiment.

• RSI Momentum: From 28 oversold to 55 neutral; bullish divergence confirmed.
• Key Levels: $115K resistance (50-day EMA); $110K support (200-day EMA).
• Volume Clue: +20% daily to $50B; short-covering drives the lift.

Expert Views: Tariff Thaw and ETF Flows as Catalysts

Analysts like Sean Dawson of Derive call the rebound "mechanical recalibration," with funding rates flipping positive (+0.002%) squeezing shorts. Dean Serroni of Merkle Tree Capital adds: "Beyond $115K, we see a 15-20% push, fueled by ETF inflows resuming post-shutdown." Grayscale's recent TAO filing hints at broader alt ETF momentum, indirectly lifting BTC. Fundamentals remain robust: Halving scarcity and institutional buys (MARA's $46M BTC grab) buffer macro risks like November tariff deadlines.

For newcomers wondering how to buy ****Bitcoin, start with compliant exchanges like Binance or Coinbase—fund via bank transfer, verify KYC, and purchase spot BTC at current levels for long-term holds. Secure it in a multi-sig wallet like Gate Web3 for DeFi staking.

In summary, Bitcoin's path beyond $115K signals a bullish flip—batch dips with 5% stops on compliant DEXs, hedge 20% stables, and monitor EMAs. In October 2025's thaw, this level could unlock the next leg up.