Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Powell hawkish 🦅

Uncertainty about interest rate cuts in December

GDP, strong consumption, will not decline in the short term.

Weak job market: Companies laying off employees

Amazon will cut 14,000 jobs, and it will all be handed over to AI!

From December 1st, stop quantitative tightening and balance sheet reduction, liquidity favorable.

Overall, the Federal Reserve has still poured a bucket of water on the market 💦

Powell hawkish 🦅

Uncertainty about interest rate cuts in December

GDP, strong consumption, will not decline in the short term.

Weak job market: Companies laying off employees

Amazon will cut 14,000 jobs, and it will all be handed over to AI!

From December 1st, stop quantitative tightening and balance sheet reduction, liquidity favorable.

Overall, the Federal Reserve has still poured a bucket of water on the market 💦

In fact, many people take celebrity endorsements as a buy signal, but they overlook a basic logic: the investment cost for these pros is completely different from the cost of buying in the secondary market.

It's just like opening a restaurant; investors hold the original shares, while you buy a ticket to queue for a meal. Can the prices be the same? The capital platform is the biggest selling point signal, but it's meant to cut you, not to help you get rich.

The real logic is very simple: KOL promotion fees, marketing costs, and various platform fees ultimately have to be taken from the pockets of the suckers. If the project party spends 1 million to hire a pro for promotion, they need to recover 3 million from the market to break even.

I have always adhered to a strict gold standard: besides Bitcoin, everything else is speculative. Setting a goal to accumulate coins is the right way, and this simple investment concept is actually the most reliable. The market is not short of seductive scammers; what it lacks is rational players.

🔥 Current Market Guide (2025 Easy Earnings Version )
$BTC : The market rebounded slightly during the day yesterday, but fell after the U.S. stock market opened in the evening. By 2 o'clock, the rate cut was announced, with a focus on Powell's speech. Closely monitor the upcoming trends.
$BNB : It has weakened again, even participating with 250,000 BNB in the new listing can't drive the price! However, there will be a sunny new listing tomorrow, and it is estimated that 400,000 BNB will participate, so those who want to sell can wait until tomorrow.
$ETH : It has fallen below the 4000 mark again, which is also weaker than Bitcoin. The insider whales have completely closed their long positions, and currently, there are 2.46 million Ethereum being queued for staking. Must clear out in November!

Yesterday's important news:
1. Reuters: The Trump family made over $800 million through its cryptocurrency business in the first half of 2025.
2. The first Solana spot ETF in the United States saw a net inflow of $69.45 million on its first day of trading, with total assets reaching $289 million.
3. Nvidia's total market value has surpassed $5 trillion, becoming the first company in the world to reach this milestone, with the stock having risen 50% so far this year.

Let's return to today's daily BTC technical analysis. From the candlestick chart perspective, the 1-hour level is down, the 4-hour level is down, the 12-hour level is down, and the daily level is down. The intraday resistance is at 113500, and the support level is at 107000 dollars.

Disclaimer: Personal operation diary, not investment advice! This article comes with a 50% inverse Buff, don't blame me if the market slaps you in the face #Bitcoin #Crypto

[pro stands busy suckers catch a falling knife]

In fact, many people take celebrity endorsements as a buy signal, but they overlook a basic logic: the investment cost for these pros is completely different from the cost of buying in the secondary market.

It's just like opening a restaurant; investors hold the original shares, while you buy a ticket to queue for a meal. Can the prices be the same? The capital platform is the biggest selling point signal, but it's meant to cut you, not to help you get rich.

The real logic is very simple: KOL promotion fees, marketing costs, and various platform fees ultimately have to be taken from the pockets of the suckers. If the project party spends 1 million to hire a pro for promotion, they need to recover 3 million from the market to break even.

I have always adhered to a strict gold standard: besides Bitcoin, everything else is speculative. Setting a goal to accumulate coins is the right way, and this simple investment concept is actually the most reliable. The market is not short of seductive scammers; what it lacks is rational players.

🔥 Current Market Guide (2025 Easy Earnings Version )

BTC: Yesterday during the day, the market saw a slight rebound, but after the opening of the US stock market in the evening, it dropped. At 2 o'clock, the interest rate cut was announced, and the key point is Powell's speech. Closely monitor the subsequent trends.

Some NB: It's weakened again, participating with 250,000 BNB in the new listing can't even drive the price! However, there will be a sunny new listing tomorrow, estimated to have 400,000 BNB participating, those looking to sell can wait until tomorrow.

ETH: It has fallen below the 4000 mark again, and is also weaker than Bitcoin. The insider whales have completely closed their long positions, and currently there are 2.46 million Ethereum waiting to be staked. Be sure to clear out in November!

Yesterday's important news:

1. Reuters: The Trump family made over $800 million through its cryptocurrency business in the first half of 2025.

2. The first Solana spot ETF in the United States saw a net inflow of $69.45 million on its first day of trading, with total assets reaching $289 million.

3. Nvidia's total market value has surpassed $5 trillion, becoming the first company in the world to reach this milestone, with the stock having risen 50% so far this year.

Let's return to today's daily BTC technical analysis. From the candlestick chart perspective, the 1-hour level is down, the 4-hour level is down, the 12-hour level is down, and the daily level is down. The intraday resistance is at 113500, and the support level is at 107000 dollars.

Disclaimer: Personal operation diary, not investment advice! This article comes with a 50% inverse Buff, don't blame me if the market slaps you in the face.
‍#GateVentures战略收购PerpDexADEN $BTC $GT $ETH

There was a guy saying the bullish has arrived.. $BTC $ETH

I have been waiting for the news of interest rate cuts tonight. With such favourable information, there has been no fluctuation in the market at all, everything is in a trap.

Doves advocate for a more aggressive rate cut, suggesting a one-time reduction of 50 basis points instead of the actual 25 basis points; hawks, on the other hand, oppose any rate cut measures and argue for maintaining the interest rate.

The last meeting of this bidirectional dissent occurred in September 2019. This rare situation of "dovish-hawkish inversion" superficially appears to be a policy divergence, but in reality, it exposes the Federal Reserve's cognitive dissonance regarding economic signals. The dovish push for a 50bp cut seems more like a forward-looking panic about a potential recession rather than being data-driven.

In contrast, the hawkish stance of "zero rate cuts" underestimates the lag effect of monetary policy. The cumulative rate hikes have reached 525bp, and the tightening effect is still being gradually released. If no further action is taken, it may push the economy towards a hard landing.

The lack of fluctuation in the market is precisely a dangerous signal, not calmness, but rather price numbness, as investors have grown weary of the "expectations falling short" with each meeting of the Federal Reserve.

The deeper issue is that the Federal Reserve is trapped in data dependence, with contradictory short-term indicators (employment vs inflation, manufacturing vs services), leading to a lack of consistent expectations for policy.

This is very similar to September 2019, when, under the shadow of the trade war, internal divisions ultimately forced Powell to shift to "insurance-style rate cuts."

I think 25bp is just a stopgap measure, and the real risk lies in if the next meeting maintains this division, the market will shift from 'no fluctuation' to 'misaligned fluctuation', then policy expectations will be completely unanchored.

The Federal Reserve has just cut interest rates by 0.25% in today’s FOMC meeting.

This move could have a big impact on stocks, crypto, and the dollar.

Everyone is now waiting for Jerome Powell’s speech to see what comes next.

Michael Saylor's latest Bitcoin price prediction 👇

$BTC end of the year ➜ $150,000

In the next 4-8 years ➜ $1 million

20 years later ➜ $20 million

Maintain a 30% annual growth over the next 20 years.

The situation is fully opened! 🫴

Michael Saylor's latest Bitcoin price prediction 👇

$BTC end of the year ➜ $150,000

In the next 4-8 years ➜ $1 million

20 years later ➜ $20 million

Maintain a 30% annual growth over the next 20 years.

The situation is fully opened! 🫴

Fascinating to see how strong seasonal trends are for $BTC .

Looking at the last decade, October often registers as one of the best months for average returns, but this time at -2.5%.

Investors are betting on a similar Q4.

Keep an eye on the volume!

$BTC price is retesting the key horizontal support zone after a local rejection from recent highs.

If this level holds, a short-term bounce toward resistance is likely.

However, a breakdown below this purple support could open room for a deeper drop toward the blue demand zone below.

Bulls must defend this area to maintain the structure.

#GateVenturesAcquiresPerpDEXADEN #ETHOn-ChainActivityRises

I remember watching "The Lord of the Rings" when I was young, and that One Ring is the perfect metaphor for wealth—shining gold, yet locked away in darkness. In fact, BTC has been quite like that ring over the years. We old HODLers have held onto it for ten years, treating it as a talisman for safety and a shield against inflation, but to be honest, it has also been "asleep for too long."

Recently, I really feel that this guy has started to wake up. He doesn't want to just lie in the cold wallet and daze anymore, but wants to go out for a run and enter the world of DeFi. And Solv Protocol @SolvProtocol is the alarm clock that woke him up.

The previous BTC ecosystem was like an island—you were the king, no doubt, but the gold mine could only be dug by yourself. Cross-chain troubles, unstable lending, and DeFi had all turned into a Disneyland played by ETH. As a result, BTC just watched others revel. Until Solv stepped in, using the "alchemist" method to turn your BTC into SolvBTC—a liquid avatar that can freely roam in a multi-chain world.

It is not the traditional type of bridging, but rather turns "holding" into "participation". You still hold exposure to the native BTC, but its avatar can earn yields, be staked, borrowed against, cross-chained, and even leverage across different ecosystems. The logic is very similar to what Lido did with ETH back in the day: turning originally static assets into "working" assets, making your position liquid.

This matter has left a deep impression on me. Solv hasn't rewritten the narrative of BTC; it has merely transitioned it from being a "digital gold" to conquering as a "liquidity engine." BTC has always been referred to as Layer 0, but if it remains static forever, it would just be a tombstone. Now, it flows in the veins of DeFi and generates electricity in the cycle of yields; this is what true life looks like.

In the past two weeks, I've also tried moving some BTC to play with Solv, not to chase trends, but to see the "awakening" process with my own eyes. To be honest, that feeling of "BTC finally coming to life" is quite shocking.

Don't let your BTC stay forever in a cold wallet. It is not a souvenir; it is an engine. Solv just pressed the start button.
#BTCFi #SolvProtocol

#Linea $LINEA @LineaBuild
After reviewing a lot of information about Linea, I will analyze the opportunities and risks of Linea.

First, let's state the conclusion: Linea is indeed an interesting asset, but entering the market now requires great caution.

From a technical perspective, the ZK Rollup route actually has more long-term value than the Optimistic Rollup, akin to the difference between high-speed trains and green-skinned trains. Linea is backed by Consensys, has a solid technical foundation, and a TVL of 1 billion USD is not too shabby.

But the problem lies in timing and valuation. Although 0.014 USD is down 70% from its ATH, the L2 space itself is a red ocean, with ARB, OP, and Base all fighting for a piece of the pie. What’s even more critical is that there will be 100 million tokens unlocked in November, which is like a sword hanging over your head.

From my trading experience, the washout period after the new coin's TGE usually lasts 3-6 months. Linea has only been online for 2 months, so it may not have finished washing out yet. Moreover, the current OI is $380 million, with long positions accounting for 60%. This one-sided situation often indicates that the bottom still needs to be further tested.

If you must make a layout, I suggest waiting to break 0.012 USD before entering in batches, keeping the position control within 2% of the total funds, and setting the stop loss at 0.010 USD. The target is 0.020 USD, but don't expect any explosive growth in the short term.

In simple terms, Linea is more like a medium to long-term value investment target, rather than a short-term hot item. In a market where everyone wants to get rich overnight, such "slow bull" targets may actually be undervalued.

#Linea# $LINEA @LineaBuild
After reviewing a lot of information about Linea, I will analyze the opportunities and risks of Linea.

First, let's state the conclusion: Linea is indeed an interesting asset, but entering the market now requires great caution.

From a technical perspective, the ZK Rollup route actually has more long-term value than the Optimistic Rollup, akin to the difference between high-speed trains and green-skinned trains. Linea is backed by Consensys, has a solid technical foundation, and a TVL of 1 billion USD is not too shabby.

But the problem lies in timing and valuation. Although 0.014 USD is down 70% from its ATH, the L2 space itself is a red ocean, with ARB, OP, and Base all fighting for a piece of the pie. What’s even more critical is that there will be 100 million tokens unlocked in November, which is like a sword hanging over your head.

From my trading experience, the washout period after the new coin's TGE usually lasts 3-6 months. Linea has only been online for 2 months, so it may not have finished washing out yet. Moreover, the current OI is $380 million, with long positions accounting for 60%. This one-sided situation often indicates that the bottom still needs to be further tested.

If you must make a layout, I suggest waiting to break 0.012 USD before entering in batches, keeping the position control within 2% of the total funds, and setting the stop loss at 0.010 USD. The target is 0.020 USD, but don't expect any explosive growth in the short term.

In simple terms, Linea is more like a medium to long-term value investment target, rather than a short-term hot item. In a market where everyone wants to get rich overnight, such "slow bull" targets may actually be undervalued.

This Friday, @gaib_ai will迎来关键时刻——AID and sAID Mainnet launch. This is not only a technological upgrade, but also a step towards the integration of Web3 and the real-world AI industry.

What is AID?
It is the dollar of the AI economy layer, supported by the real revenue streams of AI and robotics projects.
sAID is its staked version, which can participate in yield and governance, and is the financial hub of GAIB.

🧩 In this upgrade:
AID/sAID will become the core asset of the Mainnet, launching the new Spice Season 2;
Launch synchronized with Pendle's Mainnet market, allowing DeFi liquidity to flow directly into the AI economy layer;
Alpha stage users can migrate AIDa → AID/sAID, and those who complete the migration early will receive extra rewards;
All Season 1 points and event rewards will be distributed when the $GAIB token goes live.

With the launch of AID and sAID, the infrastructure for GAIB is officially complete:
Physical AI asset tokenization
Revenue stream on the chain
DeFi liquidity directly connects to the real economy
This means that AI is not just computational power and models, but a new class of tradable and compounding assets.

From robot production to on-chain cash flow, @gaib_ai is defining the underlying logic of RWAiFi, allowing AI to autonomously settle, allocate, and grow. When the Mainnet lights up, AID and sAID will become the first bridge connecting the AI world with crypto finance.

@Galxe #Starboard

At that time, everyone was still talking about "AI" and "RWA", and only a few people mentioned "privacy computing". I remember many people were still asking:
"Isn't blockchain supposed to be open and transparent? Why the need for privacy?"
But @zama_fhe's way of playing is different.
It uses a technology called FHE (Fully Homomorphic Encryption), which means that the data is encrypted throughout, but the system can still compute.
For example, if I transfer money to you, the result can be verified on the chain, but no one can see the amount.
Sounds like magic, but it's real technology.

What's even more exaggerated is that recently Zama's actions before the TGE have been simply "steady yet fierce":
Figment has directly become the Genesis operator (that is institutional-level security assurance);
18 DPoS operators are running nodes simultaneously on the testnet to ensure network security.
After the release of fhEVM v0.2.0, there have actually been active transactions on the chain.
The technology in this area is very stable.
And I really like their #ZamaCreatorProgram,
This event is not at all the kind of "airdrop scheme where people just come and go."
It allows all creators to participate and build together through the transparent mechanism of NFTs.
You can feel a sense of "a real community is growing."
For me, this is not just a project growing,
more like the "dawn" in the Web3 privacy space —
The technology has landed, the ecosystem is expanding, and the community is also warm.

Now we are just waiting for the mainnet and $ZAMA to go live in the fourth quarter.
I just hope that by then, I can pat my chest and say:
"Bro, I've been waiting since season three and it was worth it."

At 2 AM, the FOMC interest rate decision is highly likely to meet market expectations of 25 basis points, and the market has already rebounded in advance. It all depends on how Powell speaks at 2:30. The market has been in a wide range of fluctuations for quite a while at this position, and I have a feeling that a direction will emerge soon. It is expected that this rebound is just one last shiver away before we can start looking at a comprehensive bearish trend this year, and the dip-buying position we will wait for next year will be unimaginably low!
#美联储# #降息# #BTC#

Try shorting $KITE
The valuation is a bit high, and new coins are only experiencing a temporary rebound upon launch.
Can rebound and gradually do shorting.
————
Today around $PERP 0.21 the shorting dropped to 0.16, easily securing a 25% profit.
But I haven't closed the position yet, I can hold for a few more days.

The next evolution of Web3 is unfolding and it’s happening on @LineaBuild

#Linea isn’t just another L2 it’s a new paradigm for scalability, speed, and developer freedom. With zkEVM precision, ultra-low gas, and #Ethereum-level security, $LINEA bridges the gap between innovation and accessibility.

For builders, it’s a frictionless playground. For users, it’s pure performance. Linea is turning complex blockchain experiences into smooth, scalable realities powering the apps, economies, and metaverses of tomorrow.

The future doesn’t wait. It scales on #lineanotte

$LINEA #Linea