Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Revenue doubling still not enough? Nvidia’s $91 billion earnings guidance faces a major test—beware of a sell-off at the open!

Wednesday, August 26
1. Nvidia $NVDA
Wall Street expects revenue of approximately $91.8-$91.9 billion, nearly double year over year, with EPS of approximately $2.08-$2.09. The company previously provided revenue guidance of $91 billion ±2%, with a gross margin of approximately 75%. The data center business remains the key focus, while Blackwell and Vera Rubin production continue to ramp up. In recent earnings reports, the company has often exceeded expectations, but the stock initially fell before rebounding. Options-implied volatility is approximately 7%. The market has very high expectations for the guidance, and sentiment is cautious.

Thursday, August 27
2. Marvell Technology $MRVL
Consensus estimates call for revenue of approximately $2.71 billion, up about 35% year over year, with EPS of approximately $0.93. The company previously guided for revenue of $2.56-$2.83 billion, with a midpoint of approximately $2.7 billion. Demand for custom AI chips and optical interconnects remains strong, while data center revenue continues to account for a larger share. Options-implied volatility is approximately 14%. The stock has gained significantly this year, and sentiment is optimistic but already reflects a high valuation.

Wednesday, September 2
3. Broadcom $AVGO
will report its Q3 FY2026 results after the market close. Consensus estimates call for revenue of approximately $29.4-$29.5 billion, up 84% year over year, with EPS of approximately $3.21-$3.22. The company previously guided for revenue of approximately $29.4 billion, including approximately $16 billion from AI semiconductors. AI accelerators and networking chips are the primary growth drivers, and the full-year AI business target has already been raised substantially. Options-implied volatility is approximately 7%-12%, and the market is highly sensitive to whether the AI guidance can once again exceed expectations.

Nvidia is forever the GOAT!

Sequoia China is preparing its first U.S. dollar fund since “going independent.” According to people familiar with the matter, Sequoia China is in talks with investors and plans to raise at least $1.2 billion for an early-stage fund, focusing on AI, healthcare, and consumer sectors. It is also considering growth and renminbi funds. Relaunching U.S. dollar fundraising after the split and continuing to increase its investment in the Chinese market is a signal worth watching. #AI #Sequoia China #PrimaryMarket

Aggressively cutting AMD and PLTR! Cathie Wood is pouring $22 million into Nvidia!
Reductions
1. Roblox $RBLX
was significantly reduced, mainly due to slowing growth on the gaming platform and user activity falling short of expectations. Funds were shifted toward higher-certainty AI-related assets to rebalance the portfolio.
2. Shopify $SHOP
was reduced by approximately 105,000 shares (about $15.7 million). Growth at the e-commerce platform has slowed under macroeconomic pressure, while margins are under strain, freeing up funds to increase positions in more disruptive innovative technology stocks.
3. Advanced Micro Devices $AMD
was reduced by approximately 26,000 shares in total across multiple funds (about $13.1 million). As a competitor to Nvidia, the short-term competitive landscape is tilting more toward Nvidia's dominance in the AI accelerator market, prompting moderate profit-taking to adjust exposure.
4. Natera $NTRA
was reduced by approximately 20,000 shares (about $6.4 million). Its genetic testing business faces intensifying competition and uncertainty surrounding reimbursement policies, so the portfolio is being tilted toward assets more focused on AI healthcare.
5. 10x Genomics $TXG
was reduced by approximately 95,000 shares in total across multiple funds (about $5.5 million). Growth in single-cell sequencing has slowed and its valuation is relatively high, prompting a shift toward other areas of biotech innovation.
6. Twist Bioscience $TWST
was reduced by approximately 63,000 shares in total across multiple funds (about $7.9 million). Progress in its synthetic biology business has fallen short of expectations, reducing exposure to highly volatile biotechnology stocks.
7. Palantir $PLTR
was reduced by approximately 22,000 shares (about $3.8 million). Although its AI software is benefiting from industry enthusiasm, its valuation is already high, so some profits were taken to optimize portfolio risk.
8. AtaiBeckley $ATAI
was significantly reduced by approximately 226,000 shares (about $1.6 million). Its mental health drug development pipeline has relatively high uncertainty, so exposure to high-risk biotech holdings was reduced.
9. CareDx $CDNA
was reduced by approximately 18,000 shares (about $840,000). Its organ transplant monitoring business is growing steadily but lacks strong catalysts, prompting a minor position adjustment.
10. SL Brera Holdings $SLMT
saw its small position largely liquidated across multiple funds. Due to the stock's poor liquidity and non-core status, it was completely cleared out.
Increases
11. Nvidia $NVDA
was increased by approximately 101,000 shares in total across multiple funds (about $22.8 million). As the undisputed leader in AI chips, it offers extremely high long-term growth certainty, and the funds are bullish on Nvidia's $500 billion AI financing plan.
12. Block $XYZ
was increased by approximately 192,000 shares in total across multiple funds (about $15.4 million). Its digital payments and Bitcoin ecosystem strategy is well developed, with significant fintech innovation potential, benefiting from cryptocurrency adoption and the digital transformation of small and medium-sized businesses.
13. Cerus $CERS
was increased by approximately 450,000 shares in total across multiple funds (about $1.3 million). Its blood safety technology is unique and serves an essential need in the healthcare supply chain, giving it clear medium- to long-term growth potential.
14. Tempus AI $TEM
was increased by approximately 23,000 shares (about $1.17 million). Its AI-driven precision medicine platform is a leader in the field, with clear data advantages and the potential for continued breakthroughs in areas such as cancer diagnosis.
15. Cloudflare $NET
was increased by approximately 5,000 shares (about $1.54 million). Its cybersecurity and edge computing infrastructure are strong, while the accelerated adoption of AI applications is driving demand for its cloud services.
16. Securitize $SECZ
was newly added with approximately 190,000 shares (about $1 million). As a digital asset securitization platform, it benefits from the trend of bringing RWA (real-world assets) on-chain and is at the forefront of financial innovation.
17. Nu Holdings $NU
was increased by approximately 52,000 shares (about $760,000). As the leading digital bank in Latin America, it is experiencing rapid user growth and has clear advantages in combining financial inclusion with technology.
18. Freenome $FRNM
was newly added with approximately 145,000 shares (about $1.88 million). Its AI-based early cancer screening technology has the potential to disrupt traditional testing, offering significant long-term value in medical innovation.
19. Ionis Pharmaceuticals $IONS
was increased by approximately 6,800 shares (about $400,000). It has a rich RNA drug development pipeline and differentiated advantages in the fields of genetic and neurological diseases.
20. Scribe Therapeutics $SCTX
was increased by approximately 16,000 shares (about $340,000). Its gene-editing technology focuses on precision therapies and represents a disruptive biotechnology segment that aligns with long-term innovation themes.
Abandoning highly valued AI applications and shifting fully toward AI infrastructure + RWA!

$BTC is testing a key trendline again.
The last two similar setups ended with sharp drops.
If Bitcoin reclaims this level and holds above it, the structure starts looking stronger.
If it gets rejected again, another move lower becomes more likely.

Hahahahaha, this heavily modified Easter egg from Welcome to the Dragon Restaurant seems to make sense logically after all. The Avengers need to eat too, you know.🤣🤣

FOMO’s biggest effect is to dispel Chinese bros’ illusions about foreigners
What foreigners? Once they get on BSC, they dump on us bros just the same when Alpha goes live.

SNDK at $1,690—would you dare chase it?

Look at the surface first: a violent 70% rebound from below 1,000, and retail investors have started chasing the rally.

What happened over the past six weeks? The July low dipped into the 1,000-1,200 range, then rebounded all the way to 1,690, up 30%+ over five days and 30%+ over one month. U.S. stocks closed at 1,787 yesterday, up 8.88%, while perpetuals retreated overnight to around 1,690.

After breaking out of the descending channel on the daily chart, the price accelerated higher, with the medium-term moving averages in a bullish alignment and MACD momentum continuing to improve.

First: rising from 40 to 2,354 and then falling below 1,000 is called a shakeout, not a crash.

When SNDK was spun off from Western Digital in February 2025, its share price was only $40. It rose 5,000%+ in 15 months, peaked at 2,354 in June, then dipped below 1,000 in July, with a maximum drawdown of over 57%.

For a stock that surged 5,000%, a 57% pullback is called a “violent shakeout,” not a “trend reversal.”

Second: Investor Day delivered strong words, and Wall Street turned bullish across the board.

Investor Day on August 13 provided a long-term model: mid-to-high double-digit revenue growth in FY2028-2030, non-GAAP gross margin maintained at around 80%, FCF margin of approximately 50%, and 100% of excess cash returned to shareholders.

This company can not only make money, but also return all the money it earns to you.

The Q4 earnings report was even more explosive: revenue of $8.97 billion (+51% quarter-over-quarter, +372% year-over-year), non-GAAP EPS of $39.25, far above expectations, and a surge in data center revenue. The board additionally authorized $14 billion in buybacks.

Third: NAND is in short supply, and SNDK is no longer a “cyclical stock.”

The company has signed multi-year New Business Model (NBM) contracts with multiple hyperscale customers, locking in volumes and pricing and covering approximately half of FY2027 bits shipments and around two-thirds of FY2028 bits shipments.

What does that mean? Storage used to be cyclical, with fortunes rising and falling based on market conditions. Now revenue is locked in, and cyclicality has been significantly reduced.

Institutions are shifting from viewing it as a “cyclical stock” to viewing it as “AI storage infrastructure.” This is the same script as NVDA’s transformation in 2023 from a “gaming graphics card company” into an “AI computing leader.”

Bulls and bears face off—you decide

On one side:

Wall Street’s average price target is 2,210, with the highest at 3,250, versus the current 1,690

Q4 revenue +372%, gross margin 80%+, and data center revenue exploding

NBM contracts lock in half of FY2027 bits shipments, significantly reducing cyclicality

$14 billion in buybacks + commitment to return 100% to shareholders

Technically, the price has broken out of the descending channel, with the medium-term moving averages in a bullish alignment

On the other side:

Just six weeks ago, it fell from 2,354 to below 1,000, leaving massive profit-taking pressure

High beta (around 3.8) and extremely high volatility

The Fed’s “higher for longer” stance is weighing on high-valuation growth stocks

Key levels

Upside resistance: 1,750-1,800 (around the U.S. market close) → 1,900-2,000 → 2,354 (all-time high)

Downside support: 1,600-1,650 → 1,500-1,550 → 1,450-1,500

Trading strategy

Short-term traders:

Take a small long position around 1,690, set a stop-loss at 1,620-1,650, with a first target of 1,750-1,800 and a second target of 1,900+. Add to the position on a high-volume breakout above 1,800.

Swing traders:

Bullish approach—hold for 2,000+ as long as the 1,500-1,600 range holds. Build positions in batches: accumulate at 1,650-1,700 and add on a pullback. Set a wider stop-loss at 1,450-1,500.

Long-term believers:

Build positions in batches below 1,500. AI storage is one of the most certain infrastructure sectors for the next 3-5 years, and SanDisk is the purest play.

This is not a “dead-cat bounce”; it is a continuation of the main upward wave in AI storage.

From 40 to 2,354, down below 1,000 to shake out panic sellers, and then back to 1,690—this is a textbook “shakeout-reversal” structure.

Wall Street says it is worth 2,210, while the most optimistic target is 3,250.

On the day 1,800 breaks out, you will realize:

It was not that SNDK was incapable—it was that you kept selling at the lows and chasing rallies at the highs.

What is your cost basis for SNDK?

At 1,690, would you dare get on board?#Gate首发上线茅台等10只A股 #我的七夕交易分享 #Gate7天净流入全球Top3 $SNDK $MU $SK Hynix $NVDA $SPCX

What if the next crypto cycle goes much further than most expect? 👀
I’m not saying these targets are guaranteed. Markets can surprise both ways. But if adoption, liquidity, and the next major bull cycle align, these levels don’t look impossible:
• $BTC → $135K–$190K
• $ETH → $7K–$9.5K
• $BNB → $950–$1,350
• $SOL → $400–$700
• $XRP → $3.20–$4.80
• $LINK → $280–$450
The interesting part isn’t predicting the exact top.
It’s being prepared before the market starts moving parabolic again.
12–18 months could look very different from today.

This new upgrade for tax-bearing tokens is pretty interesting—it directly builds charitable donation functionality into the contract. Projects launching now can set a percentage in the backend, and the trading tax will automatically be swapped through the smart contract into the pool’s quote asset, including previously launched bStocks U.S. stock tokens, and sent directly to selected charitable organizations. The first one supported is Giggle Academy.

2026 YTD is wild
Brent +42.7%
Nasdaq +14.5%
S&P 500 +13.3%
Gold -1.5%
Bitcoin -29.0%
Ethereum -37.4%
Crypto clearly missed the party so far.

Has the marriage rate fallen so low that you can now get a marriage certificate at hospitals and banks?
So the question is, why get married?
Two guys together:
Playing games, working out, cuddling cats and dogs, outdoor sports, fishing, anime, starting a business together, aggressively saving money, spontaneous trips
Two girls together:
Binge-watching shows, following celebrities, reading novels, yoga, cuddling cats and dogs, taking photos and checking in, trendy restaurants, Xiaohongshu’s must-eat list, travel diaries, flower arranging, taking
A man and a woman together:
How much the bride price should be, whose name the house should be under, the Marriage Law, whose family to visit during the New Year, splitting everything in half after divorce, raising kids, breastfeeding, pushing kids to excel, rushing between extracurricular classes, all the aunts and uncles, mother-in-law versus daughter-in-law battles, finding a mistress/young boy toy, getting one’s hair done, lining up for divorce, chains, knives, refrigerator suitcases

Bitcoin Stands at the Crossroads of a “Fair Coin Toss”

Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has looked as if someone pressed the pause button. It has been grinding around $64k, unable to rise or fall, with the market so quiet it makes you want to fall asleep.

But the quieter it is, the more alert you need to be.

Sean Farrell, head of digital asset strategy at Fundstrat, reviewed eight historical instances in which Bitcoin’s 30-day volatility fell to historically low levels.

The result: over the subsequent 60 days, the median absolute move in Bitcoin’s price was 30.2%.

Four of the eight instances saw gains, and four saw declines.

This is not some mystical indicator. It is a market pattern that has held up in backtesting—

A major move always follows low volatility.

The question now is: Are you betting on a 30% rise or a 30% drop?

Translating the numbers into real money—

Based on the current price of $64k:

Up 30% → $83.2k

Down 30% → $44.8k

That is a difference of nearly $40k.

This is not a minor market move. This is volatility on the scale of “wealth redistribution.”

Farrell himself said that Monday’s 2% rebound was mainly driven by short covering, not new buying.

Since last Friday, Bitcoin-denominated futures open interest has fallen by about 8%. Shorts are retreating, but longs have not entered in force.

This is a standoff in which “no one wants to be the counterparty.”

What hurts even more is that the global 10-year real yield surged to 2.41% on August 14, the highest level since Bitcoin was created.

When government bonds can offer you a nearly 5% risk-free return, why would an asset like Bitcoin—which pays no interest—attract incremental capital?

Farrell’s exact words were: Continued increases in real yields are Bitcoin’s biggest downside risk at present.

On one side is the historical pattern that “low volatility must be followed by a major move”; on the other is the macro headwind of “record-high risk-free yields.”

This is not a simple multiple-choice question. It is a “coin toss”—$83k on heads, $45k on tails.

Bitcoin has already fallen nearly 27% since the start of 2026.

At this level, the fearful are selling at a loss, while the greedy are buying the dip.

But the truly smart are waiting—waiting for the sound of that “coin hitting the ground.”

None of the eight historical instances failed.

This time will be no exception.

Over the next 60 days, it will be either $83k or $45k. #Gate事件积分系统上线 #Gate7天净流入全球Top3 #我的七夕交易分享 $BTC $ETH $SOL

@zordcrypt @openservai The reasoning infrastructure angle is much more interesting than another agent marketplace.

@zordcrypt Still early, but the direction looks promising.

Guys, many people complain that money is hard to make, but the truth is, you just look down on small amounts.
A few days ago, I went home and chatted with my younger female cousin. One thing she said stuck with me: making money takes vision, patience, and attention to detail.
She does just one thing on Xianyu: selling Sam’s Club trial cards. One account has sold more than 360k.
I did a rough calculation: even earning just a few yuan per card would mean seven-figure net profits.
The wildest part is that this business involves no high tech—just an information gap and unmet demand.
One person, one phone, breaking membership perks into small services and steadily turning them into online cash flow.
I’ve researched similar models myself, but honestly, I don’t have her patience.
Many people look down on small businesses like this, but money tends to flow toward people who can repeat simple tasks to perfection.
Stop chasing trends every day; some opportunities are hiding in the corners you dismiss as too much trouble.

After scrolling through several matchmaking bloggers similar to Tianshu and Wukong, I’ve realized that this really is the “era of big results.” Regardless of whether they’re men or women, they open by saying they want to find an A8 or A9. But I looked it up, and according to a report released by the Hurun Research Institute, there are only approximately 2.07M A8+ households in mainland China. It seems that in the internet era, people’s perceived combat power has inflated—A8s are supposedly everywhere now.
There’s another case where a post-2000s guy asked two bloggers at the same time whether he should marry an A10 woman more than 12 years older than him, who had “run off while pregnant” and was now asking to reconcile. To me, this case feels like either the man made the story up, or he was scammed. At first glance, it looks like the man is greedy for money and the woman is driven by lust. But on closer inspection, the woman has a history of lying about her age, so fabricating her assets is not impossible either. An A10 woman in her thirties wants him to pay for a lifestyle costing 10,000 a month. So even if they really got married, he might not gain any advantage at all, yet he thinks he’s playing the long game to land a big fish. There’s a good chance he won’t get any benefit whatsoever. He wanted to live off a woman, but in the end, his pursuit of big results only brought about his own downfall.
At the end of the day, in this era, you still have to be capable yourself. Don’t always think about taking shortcuts—the shortcuts you want to take are already crowded with people. Being too calculating and trying to outsmart everyone may actually leave you worse off.

1. Speaking from my personal trading habits, I more often buy the dip on the left side and less often short at the top on the left side. I also posted last night to point out that this is a time when you can sell some. 2. At the beginning of May, I bought a position at 196 $NVDA

Payrolls Shock, Cooling Inflation + Strategy Hoarding Cash: Three Things Point in the Same Direction

How long has it been since you saw news about Strategy “buying every week”?

It used to happen almost every week—Strategy bought another XX Bitcoin at an average price of XX dollars.

But over the past week, Strategy bought zero.

You read that right: still zero.

What’s even more unusual is that it also sold $334 million worth of stock, building its cash reserves to $4.8 billion.

A company that rose to prominence by “constantly buying Bitcoin” has suddenly started hoarding cash.

First, let’s look at what is happening in the United States.

July retail sales fell 0.6% month-on-month, while the market expected a 0.1% increase.

The biggest decline in 14 months.

July nonfarm payrolls fell by 23k, while the market expected an increase of more than 80k.

The expectation was 80k; reality was -23k. A difference of 103k.

May and June figures were also revised down by 103,000.

CPI rose just 0.1% month-on-month, while PPI showed zero month-on-month growth.

Inflation is fading, consumption is cooling, and employment is weakening.

Three data points, three directions, all pointing to the same thing: the U.S. economy is slowing down.

What does Goldman Sachs think?

Chief Economist Jan Hatzius put it very bluntly in a report dated August 16:

The possibility of the Federal Reserve raising rates in September is “extremely low.”

Unless the data released in early September undergoes a dramatic shift—but that is not his base case.

His exact words were: “The market’s pricing of the federal funds rate is too hawkish.”

In plain English: Stop raising rates—the economy can’t take it.

CME data shows that the market-implied probability of rates remaining unchanged in September has reached 65%-66.9%.

Now connect these two things.

On one side, U.S. macroeconomic data is weakening across the board, and rate-hike expectations are collapsing.

On the other side is Strategy—the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder—stopping purchases and beginning to hoard $4.8 billion in cash.

Do you think this is a coincidence?

I don’t.

What did Michael Saylor say?

He said stock buybacks are not currently a priority.

He said the company will maintain a sizable cash reserve.

He wants STRC to return to around its $100 par value.

Over the past five weeks, Strategy accumulated this $4.8 billion in cash by selling approximately $2.1 billion worth of common stock and $213 million worth of Bitcoin.

Someone who used to buy Bitcoin aggressively is now aggressively hoarding dollars.

Some might say: Isn’t this simply bearish on Bitcoin?

Quite the opposite.

I think this shows precisely that smart money is preparing for the next market cycle.

What does $4.8 billion in cash represent?

At Bitcoin’s current price, that money could buy more than 70k Bitcoin.

Strategy is not retreating; it is waiting for a better price.

Waiting for what?

Waiting for the moment when macro liquidity turns.

Waiting for the moment when the Federal Reserve truly stops raising rates, or even begins to pivot.

When that “dramatic shift” occurs, Saylor will have $4.8 billion of dry powder in his hands.

What are retail investors doing? FOMOing, chasing highs, and fearing they will miss out.

What are institutions doing? Hoarding cash and waiting for the liquidity inflection point.

Strategy’s image as a company that “only buys and never sells” over the past few years has become so deeply ingrained that many people have forgotten—Saylor has never been a fool.

He is simply playing the retail-investor game at an institutional pace.

While everyone is shouting “hold forever,” he is quietly hoarding cash.

Expectations of a shift in macro liquidity are taking shape.

The institutional narrative for BTC has not disappeared—it is simply waiting for a better moment to ignite.

Strategy’s $4.8 billion in cash is the best footnote to that “waiting to ignite.”

It’s not that it won’t buy; it’s that the time to buy has not yet arrived.

It’s not bearish; it’s waiting for a better price.

When the Federal Reserve truly pivots—whoever has cash will be the ultimate winner.

Don’t be fooled by the candlestick chart.

Strategy is not refraining from buying Bitcoin because it is bearish.

Quite the opposite: it is because it is so bullish that it wants to wait for a better price.#SpaceX股价反弹40% #我的七夕交易分享 #USD1合约挂单0手续费 $BTC $ETH $SOL

ETH VS RUSSELL
Something interesting is happening again.
Before the major ETH rallies in 2016 and 2020, two things happened:
• Russell 2000 broke out
• ISM Manufacturing moved above 55
2016 → ETH: $10 to $1,400
2020 → ETH: $88 to $4,800
Fast forward to 2026.
The Russell 2000 is breaking out of its multi-year range, while ISM has hit 55.6, its highest level in 4 years.
Both signals have now triggered again.
$ETH has also started recovering from its $1,505 low.
Could history repeat?
Definitely something to keep on the radar.

Current market conditions: U.S. stocks are surging, Bitcoin is moving sideways, and altcoins are slowly declining. If U.S. stocks plunge, Bitcoin will most likely crash along with them, and another batch of altcoins will go to zero.
It feels like this rebound in U.S. stocks is coming to an end. The door-shaped pattern this morning indicates that the resistance level has been reached; if the market moves sideways without continuing to break through the resistance level, the rally will most likely be over.