Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Crypto market is getting interesting 👀
BTC is holding around $77K, with $80K to $82.8K acting as the key breakout zone.
BTC ETF flows remain positive, while ETH just saw its first ETF outflow after 12 straight sessions of inflows.
Meanwhile, macro is the real catalyst.
Weak jobs data could revive rate-cut hopes and push liquidity back into risk assets.
Strong data + higher yields could trigger another pullback.
For me, the setup is simple:
BTC above $82.8K = momentum expansion.
BTC below $75.7K = caution.
Until then, patience > leverage.

Tonight I invited a few girls to dinner and showed them Kim’s tweet explaining options. They had never traded crypto or stocks before, but they understood it immediately after reading it😄😄

ARB at $0.135—are you buying the dip or chasing?
Look at the surface first: three big bullish candles, with retail traders shouting, “The bull market is back!”
On August 31, ARB surged from 0.084 to 0.109 in a single huge move, gaining over 30% in one day. On September 1, it continued climbing to 0.119. On September 3, ARB skyrocketed 18.5% in a single day to $0.14, becoming the biggest gainer among major tokens. In three days, it went from being ignored to the most eye-catching token in the entire market.
The candlestick chart tells you: all moving averages have been trampled underfoot. Severely overbought—watch out for a pullback.
First: Robinhood Chain is backed by real money, not an empty narrative
This surge has nothing to do with BTC—BTC is still moving sideways around $77,000-$78,000. ARB is following an independent trend, with one core catalyst: Robinhood Chain.
The thing went live on mainnet on July 1, built on Arbitrum Orbit technology. After two months online, under the partnership agreement, Robinhood Chain must return 10% of the protocol’s net revenue to the Arbitrum ecosystem—8% goes to the DAO treasury and 2% to the developer guild. So far, it has contributed approximately $1.3 million in real money to Arbitrum.
Second: But don’t celebrate too soon—the technical indicators are already severely overbought
The daily RSI has surged above 80, while the 4-hour RSI is at 70-78
The 14-period RSI is 73.57, and the stochastic indicator %K has exceeded 91
The price is pressing against the upper Bollinger Band, with the %B reading above 1.0—indicating that ARB has already exceeded its statistically derived price boundary
The upper Bollinger Band is at 0.13, and ARB has already pierced through it
Third: A sword hanging over the market in mid-to-late September
On September 16, approximately 92.63 million ARB will be unlocked, accounting for 0.93% of the total supply.
On September 23, another approximately 139.2 million ARB will be unlocked, worth approximately $15.2 million and accounting for 1.4% of the total supply.
Together, the two unlocks exceed 230 million ARB.
An unlock does not mean an immediate sell-off, but—in a market that has just surged over 50% and is severely overbought, with massive new supply and profit-taking hitting the market, does this recipe look familiar?
Resistance above: 0.141 (intraday high) → 0.148-0.150 → 0.163-0.180
Support below: 0.122-0.125 → 0.110-0.115 → 0.100
For short-term traders:
Wait for a pullback to 0.122-0.125 before entering, with a stop-loss at 0.112. Alternatively, wait for the daily chart to hold above 0.141 before chasing on the right side, with a stop-loss at 0.130.
For swing traders:
Wait for a pullback to the 0.110-0.115 range and build a position in batches. This is the breakout zone from the previous move and also the pullback target indicated by technical analysis. Stop-loss at 0.100. Target 0.148-0.152, with a second target of 0.163-0.180.
Risk management rules:
Keep your ARB position below 5-8% of your total capital
Stay away from leverage—even 3x leverage cannot withstand this volatility
Watch the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and the unlock window in mid-to-late September
If BTC falls below $76,000, ARB will be the first to kneel
Every time you lose money, it’s because you don’t dare buy at the bottom and can’t bear to sell at the top.
ARB rose from 0.08 to 0.14, gaining 50% in three days. You missed the ride and are panicking. Now you want to chase—but the moment you chase in, you become someone else’s profit.
ARB at 0.135—are you waiting for a pullback or rushing in to become exit liquidity?
What is your ARB cost basis? Did you make money on this move or miss it? #Gate用户突破6000万 #Kimi秘密交表启动港股IPO #Kimi秘密交表启动港股IPO $BTC $ETH $ARB

$6 UNI: Are you on board or under the wheels?
Look past the surface first: a barrage of bullish news, prices skyrocketing, and retail investors frantically chasing the rally.
It rose 38% over the past 7 days, doubling directly from around $3 at the August low. On September 2, it briefly broke above $6.30, hitting an eight-month high. 24-hour trading volume exceeded $1 billion, and market capitalization surged to $3.7 billion. All moving averages are below the price. It has risen too much and needs a breather.
First: Robinhood Chain is the real driver behind this surge
Robinhood Chain, launched in July, saw $17.99 billion in trading volume in August, up 26% from July. On September 1, daily trading volume reached $1.95 billion, of which $1.75 billion went through Uniswap pools—nearly every dollar on-chain generated fees for Uniswap.
Uniswap collected $9.24 million in fees on Robinhood Chain over 24 hours, accounting for the vast majority of the network's total fees.
Robinhood Chain now generates two-thirds of Uniswap's total revenue.
Uniswap used to earn fees from DeFi users. Now it is starting to earn RWA fees from Wall Street.
Second: The Fee Switch is turning UNI from a “voting token” into a “deflationary asset”
The UNIfication proposal passed in December 2025, officially activating protocol fees. In January 2026, 100 million UNI were burned at once, accounting for approximately 16% of the total supply. Burns have continued since then—more than $300,000 worth of UNI burned in ten days, at an annualized rate approaching $160 million. Standard Chartered estimates that, based on the burn rate in mid-August, the annualized burn amount is approximately equivalent to 4% of the circulating supply.
On July 27, 2026, the Fee Switch was officially activated on V4, with average daily revenue surging from $118,000 in early July to $318,000.
UNI now has a dual engine of cash flow and deflation.
Third: Technical indicators are overheated, but what are the whales doing?
The daily RSI is at 78-81, severely overbought. MACD momentum is weakening. The price is far above all moving averages.
Whales are aggressively selling—the selling pressure is 71%, while buying pressure is only 20%. Exchange inflows are rising, holdings have fallen 5.7%, and funds are flowing out.
The funding rate is -1%, and the long-short ratio is 0.56—shorts are paying longs, and the market is extremely bearish.
Resistance above: 6.20-6.37 → 7.00 → 7.81 (200-week EMA)
Support below: 5.84-5.78 → 5.54-5.59 → 4.62 (EMA20)
You decide who wins the bulls-versus-bears battle
On one side:
Robinhood Chain is bringing real RWA trading volume, and protocol revenue is surging
The Fee Switch continues to burn UNI, with an annualized burn rate of approximately 4% of the circulating supply
It has doubled from $3 to $6, and the trend is now established
Standard Chartered has set a $100 price target for 2030
On the other side:
Daily RSI at 78-81, severely overbought
Whales account for 71% of selling pressure, and funds are flowing out
At the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, the probability of a rate hike is 66%
If BTC pulls back, high-beta coins like UNI will bear the brunt
Short-term traders:
Don't chase the rally. Wait for a pullback to 5.84-5.78—ideally on declining volume with a hammer candlestick—before entering, with a stop-loss at 5.54. Take half off at the 6.32-6.50 target range, and if it breaks above 6.50, look for 7+.
Swing traders:
Wait for a daily close to hold above 6.0 before entering on the right side, with a stop-loss at 5.54 and a target of 7-8. If it breaks below 5.78, exit and wait on the sidelines; don't hold through it.
Long-term believers:
Accumulate in batches below 5.5. UNI's fundamentals have already changed—from a governance token into a deflationary asset plus a cash-flow-generating asset. The target for the end of 2026 is 10+, betting on the continued explosion of the RWA sector and the Fee Switch continuing to burn tokens.
Short sellers:
If you really want to short, wait for resistance above 6.50 before trying with a small position, with a stop-loss at 6.60.
UNI's logic now is already similar to that of BTC in 2023—
Going from “no one cares” to “everyone wants it” requires only one fundamental inflection point.
The Fee Switch is that inflection point.
UNI rose from 3 to 6, and you hesitated for a month. When it really holds above 10, will you still say, “If only I had known”?
What is your UNI cost basis?
At the 6-dollar level, are you willing to get on board?#Gate用户突破6000万 #Gate7天净流入全球第一 #Kimi秘密交表启动港股IPO $BTC $ETH $UNI

What are U.S. Treasury yields? Beginners only need to remember one thing:
They are the market’s pricing of “interest rates and funding costs.”
The two most commonly watched:
2-year U.S. Treasury yield: reflects expectations for Fed policy
Rising = the market expects rates to be higher for longer
Falling = expectations for rate cuts are increasing
10-year U.S. Treasury yield: reflects long-term funding costs
A rapid rise = increased pressure on high-valuation tech stocks
A fall = more favorable for growth-stock valuation recovery
But don’t look at Treasuries alone; combine them with:
CPI + nonfarm payrolls + U.S. Dollar Index + Nasdaq
Simple guide:
Hotter-than-expected CPI + Treasury yields rising → generally bearish for tech stocks
Cooling CPI + Treasury yields falling → generally bullish for tech stocks
Strong employment + Treasury yields rising → rate-cut expectations decline
Treasury yields rising + dollar rising → financial conditions tighten
Treasury yields falling + dollar falling → the environment for risk assets improves
In one sentence:
The higher Treasury yields are, the more expensive money is; the lower yields are, the cheaper money is.
So when trading U.S. stocks, especially tech stocks, Treasury yields are one of the indicators I check every day.

I really miss the previous golden bottom
Too bad I missed the dip
Did anyone manage to get in at the exact bottom?

🚨 JUST IN: Prediction markets are now forecasting that Bitcoin could fall toward $73,000 this month.
September is known for volatility, but this remains a forecast.
Would you buy the dip at $73K?

Key dates for core crypto market data in September
September 4: August nonfarm payrolls report released
September 9: U.S. August CPI data released
September 17: Federal Reserve interest rate decision announced
September 18: Bank of Japan interest rate decision

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Seeing this SL8 update, I feel that what’s truly compelling about it isn’t just stacking up a high APY in the numbers, but that it has reorganized the underlying logic of how the platform works. Previously, everyone focused more on who offered the higher yield, but this time StarGate Bridge directly brings in XRP, BTC, ETH, and USDT backed 1:1.

Don’t believe that some coin on Robinhood can trigger a short squeeze, or that this is some retail-investors-vs.-Wall-Street battle. Aren’t you being ridiculous? Do you even have any idea how much you’re actually worth? We’re just helping people who recklessly trade crypto and shitcoins. You’ve only got a vocational-school education, and you think you’re taking on Wall Street? To me, you’re just completely FOMOing, and then once you get hyped up, you start saying you’re going all in. You might as well die.

Dear, people of our generation may rarely truly understand
what exactly happened during 9/11
September 11, 2001
American Airlines Flight 11 was hijacked
Young flight attendant Madeline Sweeney was not originally supposed to be on this plane
That day, she was filling in for a sick colleague
She knew the plane was out of control, yet did not show any panic
She contacted people on the ground by phone, repeatedly describing the hijackers’ appearances, seats, and the injured passengers, passing along everything she knew
Until the plane she was serving crashed into the World Trade Center’s North Tower at 8:46
Madeline never hung up the phone
She could not save herself, but left behind extremely important clues
And left behind a family who loved her
Twenty-five years have passed since 9/11
But there are some names we should never forget
Madeline Sweeney is one of them
RIP🕯️

Update on the alt account’s 1,000u–10,000u challenge: there has been basically no significant drawdown. Although trading has been slower recently, earning a few hundred u a day, it has been steady. Slow is fast. The account has now reached 8,000u, achieving an 8x return. Welcome to join the West Lake group and trade together. Our group mainly focuses on second-leg opportunities and finding high-quality alpha. There is basically no PvP; we do not engage in PvP and only aim for stable profits. After completing the wallet binding below, contact the TG on the homepage and join me in completing the 1,000u–10,000u challenge.

This integration with Lista DAO to launch ListaYield appears on the surface to provide yield management for Tax Tokens, but in essence, it is about competing for the right to capture on-chain liquidity. In the past, once projects graduated, most of their liquidity flowed directly into general-purpose DEXs. This time, the new OpenFour model takes the trading tax and invests it in Lista’s yield products.

I didn’t expect the pullback to be almost over. The bags I bought have basically started going up again, especially $Pons , which has hit a new high under its powerful buyback mechanism. The coins I currently hold are basically all solid projects that have been thoroughly researched in the group. For now, you definitely have to stay on Robinhood and keep playing. In another two or three months, once a large number of gold miners adapt to the new chain and start deploying all kinds of liquidity-draining tools, it’ll be hell difficulty. Enjoy the next two months. Golden September, silver October.

My Gate journey in one story 😂
I still remember when I first started trading…
I thought crypto was basically Buy → Hold → Profit.
Then the market introduced me to a completely different syllabus.
My first trade had me feeling like a professional trader.
I was already checking charts every 5 minutes, telling everyone, Bro, this is the next big move.
Then the market moved against me by 1% and suddenly I became a long term investor.
I learned about FOMO, leverage, stop losses, liquidation and patience… sometimes in the same week. 😭
Looking back, some trades make me laugh some make me question my life choices but every single one taught me something.
From my first nervous trade to now it’s been one crazy ride.
60M Gate users and millions of stories here’s mine.
And yes… I still open the chart after saying I’m done trading for today. 😂
#Gate60MUsers

Actually, I found out about this Bangladesh top-up service a few months ago. I immediately started offering top-ups on Xianyu. At first, I sold three months for over 100, then dropped the price to 60 after the competition intensified, and eventually the lowest price on Xianyu fell to just over 20🤣. However, I had developed some private channels, so I was still selling it for 60. By that point, I stopped selling. Now Xianyu has completely banned it, so everyone has moved to X to sell. Some are selling it for 2u, others for 3u. The costs are completely transparent now, and the competition has driven profits down to zero.

The larger the timeframe, the greater the stability; the smaller the timeframe, the weaker the stability. The higher the trading frequency, the greater the probability of errors; the lower the trading frequency, the lower the probability of errors. The more complex the trading system, the easier it is to fixate on details, while the simpler the trading system, the broader the perspective.
Using a simple trading system to trade large-timeframe market moves at low frequency is the correct approach.
This is merely Guilin’s practical confirmation, after years of hands-on experience in trading, of the principles passed down by trading predecessors.

Chen Guilin's Trading Notes: September 3, 2026 I. Put the nonsense first

[Whale/institution that unstaked 2.886 million HYPE at the end of July] completed its liquidation! 20 minutes ago, it transferred the last 969,000 HYPE ($79.18 million) to Coinbase Prime and FalconX. It accumulated and staked 2.886 million HYPE at approximately $19.8 early last year, then liquidated its entire position at approximately $64.9 over the past month. Realized a profit of $132 million (+228%).