25 basis point rate hike (blue): 59% probability, 1.69x odds, currently the market’s top consensus option
No change in interest rates (black): 40% probability, 2.50x odds, the second-most expected outcome
A rate hike of 50 basis points or more (green): 1% probability, 90.9x odds, an extremely low-probability black swan event.

Is breakfast too healthy? 🫣

$XAUUSD Record, Day 20, smooth.

Tong Ge’s 9.2 BTC setup
Enter shorts around $BTC 775-780, stop loss at 785, first target 760, second target 740.
Current price: 77024. Those who entered shorts at 785-790 yesterday are now at the doorstep of the first target, 770. Reduce your position if you should, and move the stop loss on the remainder down to breakeven. Continue targeting 760. Don’t be greedy—profit only counts once it’s secured.
The market has dropped to the 770 support. Don’t rush to bottom-fish, and definitely don’t chase shorts. At this level, the bulls may bounce a couple of times; a rebound to 775-780 is a window to

ETH is currently around $2,420, down 2.25% over 24h; it fell 0.52% within a 15-minute window, mainly due to rising expectations of a September rate hike pushing up Treasury yields and capital rotation out of AI tokens, constituting a mild correction; 11 consecutive days of net ETF inflows and BitMine increasing its holdings provide support, while the daily trend remains intact—weak in the short term and bullish in the medium term, with clear divergence between bulls and bears. #Gate用户突破6000万

No vision, can’t hold, the profits on this move are paper-thin, but I love it. 😂
During the repeated intraday swings, I was looking for signs of a pullback holding steady. Holding without breaking was the signal, so I knew what to do and directly called for a low-level long.
$OKB Entered at 89.13, now at 109.79, with a return of +563.31%—enough for a good meal. 🍗
Don’t get greedy for the last bite. Bank the bulk first: take 80% off the table, and protect the remaining 20% at the entry price. Even if it breaks, it won’t hurt.
I’d rather miss a limit-up move than catch a falling knife and end

I was just about to go rant on the forum, but then I looked at my balance and thought, forget it—the market is always right. A short order I placed before bed a few days ago, I woke up to find it had moved into a comfortable position on its own. The market was still grinding around the highs back then, with weak rebounds, and every push upward fell just short. I warned not to chase longs and to watch for resistance first. Now it has played out: entered at 0.007043, current price 0.004905, return +596.87%—this profit feels great. Manage the position by the book: close 70% first, move the stop-l

I’m watching $BTC for a short here.
BTC has already slipped below the rising trendline, and the bounce around $77.3K still looks weak. If price pushes back toward the broken structure and gets rejected again, that’s the area I’d rather sell than chase it lower.
Entry: $77,500–$77,850
Targets:
TP1: $77,000
TP2: $76,600
TP3: $76,400
SL: Above $78,100
For me, the broken trendline is the main clue. As long as BTC stays below it, sellers still have the edge. A clean reclaim above $78.1K would make me drop the short idea.
#Gate60MillionUsers #AnthropicSigns35BCloudDeal

【$ONG @Signal】Long setup + 1H retest confirmation
$ONG @Funding rate -0.1211%, shorts are paying to hold positions, OI is stable, the spot price is holding firmly above EMA20, the 1H MACD histogram is narrowing, and selling pressure is gradually weakening.
🎯@Direction: Long
⚡@Entry/Limit order: 0.1066391 - 0.1069600
🛑@Stop-loss: 0.1058904
🚀@Target 1: 0.1085644
🚀@Target 2: 0.1093666
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce the position by 50% and move the stop-loss up to breakeven. If the price falls back to the entry level, exit automatically to protect th

JUST IN: Full Sail, a Sui DeFi protocol, will gradually wind down after the Switchboard oracle incident, with Virtue Money losses around $455k and 45 liquidations; remaining liquidity to be prioritized for user compensation, while Mysten Labs declined support. $SUI

there are really ppl out there shoving half a mil into sub 8 fig mcap?
wtf lol

Robinhood received an upgrade from Morgan Stanley to Overweight, with the price target raised to $150 from $124. The firm highlighted stronger monetization across Robinhood’s existing 28 million users, including prediction markets that generated $156 million in Q2 revenue.
The call follows record quarterly results, with net revenue of $1.31 billion and GAAP EPS of $0.62. Transaction revenue rose 44%, driven by options and equities activity. Retail sentiment remains tilted toward Robinhood versus SoFi, though the stock can still move independently of the upgrade. DYOR.
#Robinhood #HOOD #Fint

#FedRateHikeOddsRise
🔥 SEPTEMBER FED MEETING: THE RATE-HIKE BET IS BACK — AND MARKETS ARE PAYING ATTENTION
September has arrived with a major shift in the macro landscape.
Just weeks ago, traders were largely positioned around the idea that monetary policy could become more supportive. Now, that assumption is being challenged. Market pricing is pointing toward roughly a 60–66% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 16 decision, putting the Fed firmly back at the center of the risk-asset story.
The biggest question is no longer simply whether the Fed will cut.
It is wheth

The longer you play SOL, the more paranoid you tend to become.
After coming to Robinhood, I realized that wasn’t the case.
I’ve cut myself several times already—just give me some time to adjust to the pace.

Reviewing yesterday’s public strategy, both trades played out perfectly!
$BTC BTC: A short position was opened in advance around 79,000 yesterday. It reached as high as 79,228 before selling off all the way, with the current low at 76,368, opening up nearly 3,000 points of room directly.
$ETH ETH: A short position was opened around 2,480, reaching as high as 2,484. It has now dipped to a low of 2,381, delivering the expected 100-point move.
The levels were set in advance and the direction identified ahead of time. Once the market moves play out, all that remains is to capture the profits.
Ke

#GateIdleEarnAutoYieldUpTo3%
Gate Idle Earn 3%: Why Capital Velocity Matters More Than Headline APR for Sustainable Edge
Gate’s Idle Earn offers up to 3% APR on USDT/USDC with instant access. But "instant" is a relative term in high-frequency markets. The real edge lies in validating whether the yield compensates for the latent friction costs of moving capital between earning and trading states. Here’s my validation framework. 👇
🔍 Why Velocity Topology Determines True Value
• Execution Latency Creates Hidden Slippage: While funds are "available," the internal transfer from Earn wallet to Tr

The first 40× in the group this morning. The members are all veteran players, and the quality is top-notch. The elite group will remain open for another hour; there will be a fee afterward.