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Will Tonight’s CPI Rewrite September Rate-Hike Pricing?
Last Friday, the moment the nonfarm payrolls data came out—
-23k.
You didn’t misread that: U.S. July nonfarm employment turned negative.
The market expected an increase of 80k, but the result went straight into negative territory. May and June data were also revised down by a combined 103k.
At the time, everyone thought: Rate hikes are over! September is a lock!
And then?
Two days later, Federal Reserve officials collectively turned hawkish. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said directly: “The biggest problem facing the U.S. economy right n

8.12 Bitcoin Analysis
Analysis: Short around 64300‑64800 on the rebound, with defense at 65300, first target at 63500, and second target at 62500
On the 1H Bitcoin timeframe, after rising to the stage high of 65482.7, the price turned downward and formed a continuous pullback structure, dipping to a low of 63211.6 before making a slight corrective rebound. The short-term MA7 and MA30 are both pressing downward on the market, with the 64300‑64800 range forming an overhead resistance zone. The previous decline created concentrated trapped selling pressure, and this rebound is a short-term correc

Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its bearish trend. After rebounding to 64,500 and encountering resistance, it pulled back all the way down, reaching a low of around 63,200 in the early morning. We have repeatedly emphasized positioning for high-level shorts recently, and once again secured solid profits!
From the current chart, the daily-level price is stagnating at high levels, the consolidation center is continually moving lower, and bullish momentum is weakening, with the market gradually shifting from consolidation to a weaker pattern. Resistance above is obvious. On the 4-hour chart, the Bol

The Ethereum spot ETF with the largest single-day net inflow yesterday was Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF ETH, with a net inflow of $8.5908 million. ETH’s cumulative historical net inflow has now reached $1.81B.

JUST IN: Michael Burry deepens bets against NVDA, PLTR, ORCL, CAT, and SOXX, while adding a long on MOH. If institutional hedges mount, risk-off could spread across semis and big tech names. $NVDA $PLTR $ORCL $CAT $SOXX $MOH

Key financial data and events on Wednesday, August 12!

Breaking: Tencent, ZhenFund, Sequoia China and other investors are paying $2B to repurchase Manus shares from Meta, making Tencent the new top holder as Manus resumes independent ops. $MANUS

Today’s trading strategy prioritizes going long on pullbacks; a retreat to the 4375–4380 range is suitable for opening long positions.
4403–4404 is the short-term resistance level above, so do not blindly chase the rise; aggressive traders can try a small short position, with a stop-loss at 4415 and a target of 4380.
#黄金

#股票交易分享挑战 U.S. stocks closing review: Major indexes collectively declined, memory chips surged strongly, and high-level sectors showed divergence
U.S. stocks closed on August 12, with the three major indexes edging lower and overall volatility remaining manageable. Structural divergence was extremely pronounced: memory-related stocks rose across the board, some high-level hot stocks suffered sharp pullbacks, and Chinese concept stocks continued to weaken, providing a clear external reference for the A-share market's opening today.
U.S. major indexes at the close
Dow Jones: 53791.85, ‑0.34%
Nas

8.12 ETH Morning Analysis
Short if the price rebounds to the 1900–1920 area
Stop-loss defense at 1940
First target: 1870; second target: 1840. I
On the 1-hour chart, ETH came under pressure and fell back after rising to a periodic high of 1943, resulting in a significant pullback. The intraday low dipped to 1852.22, and it is currently experiencing a slight rebound from the lows.
The MA7 and MA30 moving averages are both trending downward, creating strong resistance for the price. The 1900–1920 area forms an important resistance zone, where a large amount of previously trapped positi

#晒出我的持仓收益 They all think they’re geniuses, but genius is merely the threshold for meeting me.

Three eggs are enough this morning.

$ZJINNOLIGHT If you can do it properly, make it official; if you can’t, then don’t do it. What are you listing without liquidity? Where are the market makers? Isn’t this embarrassing? Among these Hong Kong stocks, aside from minimax and ZHIPU, which other one can you handle? I’m asking you. The current price is 141*7.85=1106.85, while the stock price is 1102, so there isn’t much of a spread right now. The key point is that the stock price has risen above yesterday’s price, while the contract price is lower than yesterday’s. What kind of logic is that???? Can’t you keep it properly pegged? Oth

$XAG
Should have juice to push till $72+
Not sure it's the full moon mission yet though
I think metals not dumping while oil bouncing is a new regime vs what we witnessed since the beginning of the war in Iran.

8.12 Bitcoin $BTC Analysis
Entry: Short around 64,300–64,800
Defense: 65,300
First target: 63,500
Second target: 62,500
After this rebound and surge, short-term indicators have gradually moved into overbought territory, while bullish momentum has weakened somewhat, indicating that the rebound is approaching a resistance zone. 64,300–64,800 is a previous area of concentrated selling pressure. As the rebound reaches this level, trapped holders and short-term profit-takers are likely to exit in large numbers. As long as the price cannot firmly hold above 65,300, it will be difficult for this reb

8.12 Lu Hong Gold Strategy
This pullback is merely a shakeout correction within the uptrend and has not completely reversed the broader bullish structure. Do not assume the market has turned bearish just because of a brief pullback; after support stabilized, rebound strength has gradually emerged.
The intraday outlook remains bullish on pullbacks
If the 4370–4360 range stabilizes on a pullback, consider entering long positions
The short-term target is first the 4400 level
A sustained breakout would point toward 4440
Place the protective stop-loss below 4355
The initial resistance above is arou