Today, MLB World Series Game 4
The Brewers, in the bottom of the 12th in extra innings,
missed their best chance to win the championship
and directly caused my lottery ticket to possibly lose
Tomorrow, let's see who gets the MVP
Contreras or Chourio?
@bagel_win @chessxyz

$ZEC Currently at 1,273.37, down 3.35% over 24H (range: 1,265.02–1,330.95). The 1H structure is weak, with RSI at 28 in oversold territory, but the 4H trend remains relatively strong, with EMA20 providing support at 1,262. The key is whether support at 1,265.02 holds; a sustained move above resistance at 1,330.95 would signal a potential turnaround. In the review, focus on how the divergence between the 1H and 4H timeframes resolves—if 1,265 is breached, the price could test 4H support at 1,176. Market volatility is high; for observation only.

Said tonight: short $BTC Bitcoin; wait for confirmation of a breakdown, not try to pick tops or bottoms.
200x short, 428.66% unrealized profit, price down 2.5%. Reviewing the trade: Before entering, I watched price action and volume at the top. Repeated attempts to push higher failed, and volume shrank—bullish momentum had dried up. I entered as soon as the breakdown signal appeared. Afterward, price moved lower and the rebound lacked strength, a classic capital outflow pattern.
But this must be emphasized: at 200x, the margin for error is only 0.5%. This isn't trading; it's gambling. This un

Has anyone followed my $HYPE short trade and made quite a bit of money with me??? Our short positions are performing very well! If you opened a short position with me, keep holding while managing your risk. I'm still holding my own position and waiting for the next big drop! Who else is holding the $HYPE short position with me??

2026.10.29
Daily entry point: 2334
Resistance levels above: 2343-2353-2375-2387-2400
Support levels below: 2330-2320-2310-2300-2290-2280-2245
When all support and resistance levels hold, trade with the trend; otherwise, trade the rebound. If the price fails to break above 2383, favor short positions; if it breaks above the previous high of 2387, chase long positions. In the middle, if 2343 holds, favor going long near the lows; otherwise, favor shorting near the highs. Lower down, if 2322 holds, favor going long near the lows; if it breaks, favor short positions. If 2279-2245 breaks, chase sho

$WLD At the current price of 0.425, the 1-hour RSI has fallen to 29.46, entering oversold territory, but the price is still hovering near the 24-hour low of 0.4172. More contradictory still, the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both weak, with the EMA20s at 0.433 and 0.445, respectively, creating layers of resistance.
The outlook remains weak. The oversold indicator only reflects short-term selling pressure easing; no bottoming structure has emerged. A rebound above the 0.4439 resistance would ease downward pressure, but a high-volume break below 0.4172 could trigger another wave of selling. The k

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It’s almost midnight—how’s everyone holding up after tonight’s roller coaster ride? BTC just wicked straight up to 81800. Did people start yelling “the bull is back” and rush in again? Then, in the blink of an eye, it slammed the door on them. Absolutely brutal!
$BT is now at 80600. The 4-hour long/short ratio just plunged from 2.38 to 1.66, and has now rebounded to 2.03. These rapid wicks up and down make it obvious the big players are aggressively shaking out positions, picking off high-leverage traders one by one. The market is a bit lighter now, but trapped holders at 81800 are still weig

$PI I said I have 100k stockpiled—would proving it to you even mean anything? You keep insisting I'm v1 or whatever. I'm buying and withdrawing at the same time, so how could I reach v5? What are you thinking

Where could BTC surge if the Fed unexpectedly turns dovish tonight?
Although the odds of a dovish pause are only 5%, it’s worth knowing what levels to watch in case it happens.‌
What counts as a dovish pause? It’s not just holding rates steady—the statement or press conference would need to clearly hint that a December hike isn’t certain, or show growing confidence that inflation is cooling. If that kind of language appears, market pricing for a December hike could quickly fall from 80%.
For BTC, this would be the strongest short-term catalyst. 82,000 is the first resistance level; if BTC bre

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i finally asked him why he rides that donkey backwards.
we were on the porch. the hodja had his tea, the donkey had my lettuce, and earth was up over the ridge, one small blue star.
"back home," he said, "my students followed me down the street. if i faced forward, my back was to them. rude. if they walked ahead, their backs were to me. also rude. so i turned around. problem solved."
"there are no students on mars," i said.
he pointed his tea at the little blue star.
"i cannot stop looking at earth."
then he went inside without paying for the tea.
some of us left home a long time ago and still

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The Secret of Leverage: The Fragile Balance Between Longs and Shorts Behind 0.246
When trading, the biggest fear isn’t a lack of market action—it’s calling the market right but getting liquidated because of your position. On the eve of the Fed decision, understanding the market’s leverage structure is 10,000 times more important than predicting whether prices will rise or fall.
CryptoQuant data shows that Bitcoin’s estimated leverage ratio has stayed between 0.22 and 0.26 over the past month, with a current reading of 0.246. What does this number mean? It indicates that overall market leverage

#美联储利率决议倒计时 I think it’s highly likely that interest rates won’t be raised

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【Fed Rate Decision Preview: Crypto × U.S. Stocks, Tonight Brings the Verdict】
At 2:00 a.m. Beijing time tonight, the Fed will announce its October rate decision; at 2:30, Chair Warsh will hold a press conference.
Key things to watch:
① A hold is almost certain—the market expects rates to remain at 3.75%–4.00% (90% probability). After a 25 bp hike in September, the Fed is expected to pause this time;
② The real signal will come at the press conference—inflation remains stubborn (September CPI at 3.7%, PPI at 6.3%), and the probability of a December rate hike is already above 80%. If Warsh strik

$SOXLB’s strength remains intact, but elevated levels are starting to test follow-through
At 105.53 USDT, the price is like a piece of paper folded over and over. $SOXLB surged from 98.32 to 105.86 in 24 hours, and behind the 5.50% gain lies a more subtle signal: both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts show strength, but trading participation is only 0.03x. This combination of strength and crowded positioning often tests judgment more than a simple rise or fall.
My view: the trend remains strong, but whether buyers will step in at elevated levels matters more than continuing to tell a story about ch