Nov 9: ETH trades weakly sideways after breaking down; short the rebound in line with the trend
【Today's Strategy】
Entry timing: Price rebounds to the 2150–2180 range
Stop-loss: 2195
Take-profit targets:
First target: 2110–2100
Second target: 2080–2055

【Key Conclusion】
After October nonfarm payrolls delivered “three consecutive hot readings,” bets on a Fed rate hike in December rose to nearly 80%, and the 10-year Treasury yield surged to 4.9%, pointing to tight liquidity conditions. Meanwhile, concerns that a Congress controlled by Democrats could tighten crypto regulation are weighing on ris

Why Can a High Backtest Win Rate Still Lead to Persistent Losses in Live Trading?

Have you ever seen a trading strategy like this?

Its backtest win rate reaches 70%, and the equity curve keeps climbing. Its parameters have been optimized repeatedly, and its historical performance looks quite impressive.

But once it goes live, the account starts bleeding slowly.

Some people think market conditions have changed, some think the parameters still need improvement, while others start looking for new indicators.

But before modifying the strategy, there is a more important question:

Does your ba

Jensen Huang hit by sudden controversy! Nvidia falls 2.2% after hours—is the AI chip leader in trouble this time?

Nvidia has recently been at the center of global tech news, but this time not because it launched a new chip. Instead, CEO Jensen Huang has become embroiled in controversy related to personal relationships and potential foreign intelligence activities, and the company's board has announced an independent investigation. After the news broke, Nvidia shares fell as much as about 2.2% after hours. Investors may be too preoccupied with this to even look at graphics cards.
Why is the ma

11/7 ETH short trade verification
Entry zone: 2255–2275; actual high: 2250.6. A precise entry.
Two target levels: 2205 / 2170. Both hit.
Actual low: 2050.32, a 200-point move, exceeding expectations.
This isn’t hindsight—it’s a call I publicly posted a day and a half in advance. I don’t brag about my ability; the market will speak for me. $ETH ‌#美国10月CPI即将公布

Where can I buy this jacket @JensenHuang ?
Asking for a friend

Can NVDA take off again? After the Jensen Huang controversy, NVIDIA stock faces three scenarios!

This latest controversy surrounding NVIDIA has reminded investors once again that the biggest risks for tech giants sometimes don't come from competitors, but may also stem from uncertainty around corporate governance, regulation, and management.
So, where will NVDA go next? Three possible market scenarios are worth watching.
First: The negative news gradually gets priced in. If an independent investigation finds no confidential information leaks or major compliance issues, Jensen Huang continues

Why More Trades Don’t Necessarily Lead to More Profit

Many traders have experienced this:

When the market is calm, they feel there are no opportunities; when volatility picks up, they worry about missing out.

So they open their trading app more and more often and enter trades more frequently. Their accounts seem busy, but their returns ultimately show little improvement.

Sometimes, trading more actually leads to greater losses.

The question is: Are you capturing more valid opportunities, or just creating more trades?

The number of trades reflects activity, not profitability.

I. Why Do T

ETH falls below its previous low and retests 2096! Its losses far exceed BTC’s, with the 2,000 level facing a major test!

Ethereum extended its weakness today and accelerated its decline: it broke below the 2,100 mark in the morning, hitting a low near 2096 and setting a new low for this correction. It fell more than 6% from its 24-hour high, then rebounded from the bottom to around 2141, with a 24-hour decline of about 4%—significantly larger than Bitcoin’s over the same period. The support at 2237–2250, which had held through “three tests of the bottom,” has now given way, further reinforci

okay I launched 28 instead of 40

The market repeatedly faced resistance and fluctuated around the 76000 level over the weekend. Bulls lacked the strength to push higher; this was merely a bullish fakeout during a corrective bounce within the downtrend. Sellers stepped in decisively early this morning, driving the price to a low of 73333. Our 73000 target was nearly reached, precisely as forecast.

Looking at the current market, the daily Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with price remaining under pressure below the middle band. MACD is in bearish territory below the zero line; this is merely a brief recovery after becomi

🔥Called it perfectly—nailed the 73,000 target!
Bitcoin hit a turning point at 80,800, and we stuck firmly to the short side, calling the 73,000 target in advance. It rebounded to the 76,000 level along the way, then plunged violently to a morning low of 73,333, coming extremely close to our 73,000 forecast. This high-level short trade swept up nearly 7,500 points, with not a bit of the gains left on the table!

Ethereum delivered a synchronized heavy-hitting harvest. We firmly positioned for shorts at 2,440, ignored minor rebounds in the market, and rode the decline straight to 2,050, capturi

$META
Meta Holds $612 After $583 Low - AI Spend Hits Cash Flow, Ad Power Holds

Price $612.00, after-hours +1.88 (+0.30%), intraday $610.12 +4.45 (+0.73%), 24h high $625.55, low $599.00, open $607.27, prior close $605.67. Market cap 1,559.61B, P/E TTM 20.817. MA5 609.95, MA10 613.21, MA30 616.77. Top $748.80, low $583.80. MACD -0.78, DIF -3.92, DEA -3.14.

Meta aim is to be the AI layer for social and ads. It runs large social apps and messaging, plus Reality Labs for headsets. Now focus is AI agent Muse, which got over 10M users in 6 weeks with 25% daily use, and AI tools for ads that lift p

Why Can Unrealized Profits Keep Increasing While Actual Risk May Be Rising?

Many traders start taking on more risk after making a profit.

A trade makes money, so they increase their position; the account posts consecutive gains, so they raise leverage; the market keeps rising, and they start to think they have figured out how it works.

But one easily overlooked fact is:

An increase in unrealized profits does not mean risk has decreased; the more you earn, the more it does not necessarily mean you can afford to lose.

I. Why Is It Easy to Relax Risk Controls After Making a Profit?

1. Overc

How to build a risk alert mechanism for a trading strategy and identify anomalies before losses escalate?

Many traders spend a great deal of time studying entry signals, but rarely plan another thing in advance:

If a strategy starts to fail, how can I detect it in time?

By the time consecutive losses and a major account drawdown prompt a review of the strategy, unnecessary costs have often already been incurred.

A truly mature trading system should have not only entry and exit rules, but also a mechanism to identify anomalies, limit risk, and trigger a review.

I. First define what to moni

Why Can a Backtest Perform Well While Live Trading May Continue to Lose Money?

A trading strategy performs excellently on historical data, with a high win rate, a beautiful equity curve, and very low maximum drawdown.

But once deployed in real markets, the results are completely different: execution prices are poor, trading costs keep rising, returns gradually shrink, and losses may even continue.

Where exactly does the problem lie?

Often, it is not that backtesting has no value, but that we treat backtest results as a guarantee of live performance.

1. Backtesting Tests Historical Conditi

Why Can a Strategy with a Higher Win Rate Be Less Profitable Than One with a Lower Win Rate?

Many traders have an intuition: the higher the win rate, the stronger the trading ability, and the more money they should make.

But in real trading, this judgment is often wrong.

Some strategies win seven out of ten trades, yet the account keeps shrinking; others win only three or four out of ten trades but may perform better over the long term.

Why?

Because long-term trading performance depends not only on the win rate, but also on average profits, average losses, trading costs, and the distribut

$BTC $ETH Yesterday, BTC and ETH once again perfectly validated the short position

Precise entry points, perfectly timed

BTC and ETH harvested in sync

Trading doesn’t need all that fancy stuff. Enter decisively when it’s time, and don’t hesitate to exit when it’s time. Align knowledge with action, exercise self-discipline, and stay vigilant in private.
#美国10月CPI即将公布

During the review of the $SOL livestream, some crypto community members asked where they could enter. I marked out a range of 87–92, and now the level looks broadly in line with my earlier prediction. The advice I gave them was reasonable.

Hope the regulars in the crypto community can make money.