Polaris_xbt

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In the following months we can expect one final push on stablecoin dominance.
This is likely going to be the last good buying opportunity for the new cycle.
$ETH
Three day bear divs on RSI don't happen very often on this pair.
But when they do a major correction is around the corner.
I think we can expect weakness on eth in the coming weeks and possibly a 20% correction or even more against BTC
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ETH+0.86%
BTC+0.36%
$ETH
If we close below 2465, the breakdown toward 2k can begin.
▫️ Wait for confirmation
▫️ If the setup presents itself, we short everything
As it stands now, as long as the local trendline holds, we can still push higher.
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ETH+0.86%
$TAO
Stuck in a tight range against BTC for 2 years.
If we retest the range low again that likely marks the best buying opportunity for the new cycle.
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TAO+3.65%
BTC+0.36%
The most bullish scenario for altcoins would be one final spike on this chart later this year.
▫️ So far it's just been just a grind up
▫️ That final spike is what breaks people. It's what makes them give up on altcoins completely and dump the remaining dust into BTC
This is when the altseason starts...
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BTC+0.36%
$BTC Dominance
We are in the boring phase much like in 2019.
At the start of a new cycle we can expect initial BTC outperformance followed by a huge nuke in btc dominance.
Even in theory dominance can't go much higher than 70% so with that in mind it just doesn't make sense to go heavy into BTC in the new cycle.
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BTC+0.36%
$AVAX
Second attempt at range reclaim failed.
If we lose $7 we likely get insane spot buy opportunity around $5.
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AVAX+3.55%
$XRP
HTF log trendline is broken.
Locally we have a significant level reclaim.
Good RR here for swing longs, and probably for some spot buys.
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XRP+0.54%
If anything drags $BTC down later this year, it's the stock market.
▫️ This time of year, especially near the top of the macro log trendline, SPX tends to correct
▫️ This drop could run deeper than the last two - enough to actually bring fear back into markets
▫️ If it plays out, it hands crypto its final buying opportunity
The scariest dip is usually the last one before the real move.
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BTC+0.36%
SPX-2.74%
$IMX
Good level to bid.
Or has this drop changed your opinion on altcoins...
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IMX+1.31%
Altcoins are in a massive range
Last cycle it took 500 days before we finally broke out of the bottoming range.
If we don't pick up the pace soon I think we will get another buying opportunity, most likely a higher low in the coming months.
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Stablecoin dominance is at huge support.
We likely bounce from here soon.
It makes sense to derisk a bit here if you are in from the bottom.
One can wait for 3 day bull divs for confirmation but those do not always appear.
$LINK
Ideally we LINK should not spend lot of time below 11.
At most 1-2 days and than snap back up.
If we start having multiple daily closes below 11 the target is double bottom at around 7
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$ETH
We might have only one more decent chance to load up on ETH later this year.
Afterwards I think it is pretty much lock out mode and the masses will start piling in.
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ETH+0.86%
Altcoins
No resistance above...
Monthly MACD curving up...
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$INJ
Looks insane on BTC pair.
Monthly level reclaim with a huge bounce on retest.
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INJ+2.94%
BTC+0.36%