Polaris_xbt

Spot accumulation started today.
I have laid out a full 6 month plan in TG.
Every buy will be tracked live and the performance will be measured.
A detailed selling plan as will follow soon :)

$BTC vs SPX reveals the important missing piece.
The bottom is still few months away at least.
We do not just bottom on a V reversal... bottoms take time.. and we will range at least for a few months before we finally start seeing BTC outperform.

Stablecoin FUD is final ingredient of the bear market bottom.
We get these every cycle coupled with a small depeg event.
Looking at stablecoin marketcap the patterns are obvious. We get flattening of the inflows at the start of the $BTC bear market, followed by outflows few months before the bear market bottom.
This is your big signal to start accumulating spot.

$BTC Dominance likely bounces soon.
This bounce most likely happens once we break 58k support and everyone who tried to catch the bottom on altcoins capitulates.
The other scenario - BTC.D dropping into the bear market -would be much worse, and would likely bring us a much deeper and longer bear market.

$BTC
Getting close here but still no full sweep.
What I dislike about the price action here is the relative strength of altcoins (overall BTC weakness) this is not something you wish to see for a good bottom.
Most are trying to load up on alts and frontrun btc bottom but this usually ends up in a total wipeout before a true reversal

June trading journal done.
8 trades | +3.91R
Quiet month, but intentionally so. When price goes flat, the setups dry up, and forcing trades is how you turn a good month into a bad one.
Caught some very clean shorts on $BTC and $INJ when the opportunities were there.
Every trade posted live in TG

One of the main reasons why I don't think $BTC's cycle low is in is because we are still due for the typical year-end correction in the stock market.
These historically align very well with the BTC cycle low.

Smoll update
I am traveling over the weekend but I'll be watching for potential $ETH long if we break the trendline.

$SOL
Last cycle I bought a bunch of SOL around $20.
This time the plan is to buy in the 55-40 range.

$TAO
Value area low retest.
Good RR here for longs with tight invalidation.

$BTC
Shared this short setup in TG a week ago.
We're actively shorting futures while accumulating selected altcoins on spot.
The full plan was laid out in TG group.
Access is completely free.

$ETH Potential setup.
If we break the trendline I will start looking for longs.
No break and we look for a sweep of 1370 at least before buying anything.

$BTC vs Gold
One more dip into the Q4 for the final cycle bottom and we are good.

Total Stablecoin Dominance
The parabola is still intact but I think the worst is behind us.
At worst I think we have one more spike up and then months of ranging left for $BTC and altcoins
Use this summer wisely.

$AVAX
Looking to build a big swing long around 5.5 - 4 in the coming months.
This is the very final support and losing it would likely put this into eternal bear market.