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Macro News (October 12)

1. The entire market is waiting for the U.S. September CPI inflation data on Wednesday night, which is the biggest macro turning point recently. Institutions currently broadly expect headline CPI to rise 3.7% year-on-year, with core CPI expected at 2.5%.
If the data comes in above expectations, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will strengthen, putting pressure on risk assets; if it comes in below expectations, a rebound is likely.
​
2. The Fed’s October rate meeting is coming up, and traders have already sharply reduced their bets on a rate hike this time. Large fu
Why is everyone ignoring the bearish setup forming on $FIL /USDT right now?

$FIL /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1.2200 – 1.2338
SL: 1.3124
TP1: 1.1628
TP2: 1.1200
TP3: 1.0559

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is bullish, which makes the short bias at 84 percent confidence feel like a high-probability reversal setup. The 1h price sitting at 1.2269 means we are right at the entry_ref level where the ATR of 0.027402 defines a single hour of noise as roughly 2.7 cents, so any wick above 1.2338 invalidates the idea that sellers are in control. The 15m RSI at 57.04 shows momentum has
FIL+10.98%
$CLO HERE WE GO
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CLO+3.65%
There is no need to deny $ONDO ’s strength, but treating overbought conditions as safety often comes when sentiment is at its most expensive.
This time, let’s ignore the gainers and losers rankings and look only at the levels. The current price is 0.521, about 7.83% above the 1-hour support at 0.4802 and about 0.35% below the resistance at 0.5228.
My criteria are simple: only a breakout above 0.5228 followed by continuation would count as an upside handoff; a drop below 0.4802 invalidates the original view. The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both strong, with RSI at 76 and 70, respectively.
The
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ONDO+4.98%
Insiders are fading the bullish trend on $NEAR /USDT right now.

$NEAR /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 5.7767 – 5.8363
SL: 6.1785
TP1: 5.5275
TP2: 5.3415
TP3: 5.0625

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend remains bullish, yet the 1h price is pinned at 5.8065, creating a contradiction that favors a short. The 15m RSI reading of 64.08 shows the bounce lacks momentum, while the 1h ATR of 0.119238 confirms the move is volatile enough to target 5.5275 and 5.3415. The entry zone between 5.7767 and 5.8363 offers a precise setup, and the invalidation level at 5.1940 is the line in the sand tha
NEAR+12.15%
Macro data will be dense this week, so we still cannot let our guard down
I think the most important thing to watch this week remains the US CPI data.
The market has been pricing in expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue raising rates. Although the probability of an October rate hike has declined recently, this does not mean macro pressure has completely disappeared. The real key is whether inflation data will make the market concerned about rate hikes again.
On Wednesday, focus on the US September CPI and core CPI. On Thursday, watch initial jobless claims, retail sales, PPI, and
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BTC+0.85%
$NEAR ‌NEAR USDT - Technical Outlook | Oct 10
NEAR is trading at $5.014with over 5% gain in the last 24 hours.
Highlights on the Chart (4H):
After a sharp pullback to the $4.30level in recent days, a strong recovery has taken place. The price managed to bounce approximately 16% from the bottom.
We are at a technically important level:
Price has moved above MA5 ($4.852)and MA10 ($4.783).Now the MA30 resistance at $5.024is being tested. 4-hour closes above this level could strengthen the momentum.
Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $5.056(24h high) / $5.34/ $5.60Support: $4.85/ $4.63/ $4.30
The Order
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NEAR+12.20%
$NEAR You should definitely hold on to good coins—they've already multiplied several times by now, and they're the ones that really make money
NEAR+12.20%
Good morning, $DOGE family! ☕🌞
Gm C X 🫡📈
Happy Monday, dear friends! 🐶🙌🤍🏞
Dogecoin is heading to the moon! 🐕🚀🌑
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DOGE+1.05%
U.S. stocks are open as usual today, but the bond market is closed. If you see yields unchanged, don’t breathe a sigh of relief for tech stocks just yet.
10/12 is Columbus Day in the United States. The NYSE is trading as usual, opening at 21:30 Taiwan time; SIFMA recommends that the U.S. dollar bond market close. If the bond yield page is still showing an old date, that means new quotes are unavailable, not that interest-rate pressure has disappeared.
The energy market is not off work yet either. According to the latest official survey as of 10/12 00:00 Taiwan time, approximately 1.17 million
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Nobody is talking about the quiet move forming inside $SOL /USDT right now.

$SOL /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 111.06 – 111.42
SL: 109.47
TP1: 112.57
TP2: 113.45
TP3: 114.77

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is bullish, setting the stage for continuation, while the 1h price sits at 111.24 and the 15m RSI at 51.48 shows neutral momentum with room to run. The 1h ATR of 0.736161 confirms enough volatility to push through the entry zone between 111.06 and 111.42. From there, the first target sits at 112.57, with the second objective at 113.45 offering a higher reward. The line in th
SOL+1.04%
#Ledger事件损失近9000万 Ledger has run into trouble again and again—what's the safest way to hold coins? Can hardware wallets still be used, and how can assets be protected?
The past two years have been quite eventful for hardware wallets. Every time something happens, people question: if hardware wallets can also be tampered with, why buy one at all? Wouldn't it be better to just use a mobile wallet?
I completely agree! I have always believed that hardware wallets are not suitable for everyone. Their core advantage is that “the private key is completely physically isolated in a dedicated hardware e
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ThisIsTranslateContent:
#Ledger事件损失近9000万 Ledger has run into trouble again—what’s the safest way to store crypto? Can hardware wallets still be used, and how can assets be protected?
Over the past two years, it has been a particularly troubled time for hardware wallets. Every time something happens, people question: If hardware wallets can also be maliciously modified, why buy one at all? Wouldn’t it be better to just use a mobile wallet?
I strongly agree! I have always believed that hardware wallets are not suitable for everyone. Their core advantage lies in physically isolating private keys in a dedicated hardware environment, preventing everyday internet-connected computers and phones from easily accessing the private keys, while confirming transaction details through an independent screen. As a single-point defense, this remains an exceptionally robust design.
The problem is that many people treat them as “万能 safes,” believing that buying one means they can rest easy. For ordinary users, layered defense is more important:
1. An idle old phone as a cold wallet
If you have a retired iPhone or Android phone at home, completely erase its data, configure a reliable open-source offline signing tool, then keep it disconnected from the internet and use it as a dedicated signing device to build a cold wallet. This can also avoid targeted supply-chain attacks that may occur during the purchase and delivery of dedicated hardware wallets.
After all, when you buy a Ledger, SafePal, or OneKey, the product order, delivery information, and even shipping records may not necessarily mean you are a major holder, but they allow people with access to this information to know that you use crypto assets. An ordinary phone is different: If you take an iPhone outside, who would know whether you use it to watch videos or whether it contains BTC worth several million dollars?
Of course, phones themselves also carry risks from software vulnerabilities, device provenance, and hardware supply chains. Simply turning off Wi-Fi and enabling airplane mode does not automatically turn one into a qualified cold wallet.
What truly matters is a trustworthy software source, a strict offline signing process, and proper backup of the seed phrase.
2. Passphrase
Many hardware wallets support the BIP-39 Passphrase, commonly known as the “25th word.” Simply put, in addition to the original seed phrase, you set an additional password phrase known only to you, deriving another wallet from it. Thus, even if an attacker obtains the original seed phrase, they generally cannot recover the accounts protected by this additional layer without knowing the Passphrase.
However, considering the attack method involved this time, a problem arises. If a malicious module can steal the seed phrase displayed on the screen, it can very likely record the Passphrase input process as well, not to mention that the Passphrase itself introduces additional backup and recovery risks. Getting even one character wrong could make the assets unrecoverable.
Therefore, my view is that Passphrase can be used, especially by long-term holders with a certain level of technical knowledge, but only after understanding how it works and then deciding whether to add this layer of complexity.
3. A multisig setup using multiple brands and devices
Given this kind of hardware-tampering-level risk, after considering all the options, multisig is almost the only ultimate solution.
For example, set up a 2-of-3 multisig and purchase three hardware wallets from different brands to manage the same assets. Transfers would require authorization from two signatures. Since the devices come from different manufacturers and procurement channels, this directly eliminates the single-point failure risk of relying on one brand and one supply chain.
Even if a hacker physically compromises one of the devices and obtains one private key, they still cannot transfer your funds.
Of course, multisig has a higher barrier to entry. Implementation varies across different chains and also involves smart contracts and complex backup mechanisms. A security strategy is not necessarily better simply because it has more layers. It must match the size of your assets and your practical capabilities. Do not get yourself tangled up in pursuit of maximum security and end up unable to recover your assets.
Ultimately, I have always preferred “layered custody”:
Small, frequent transactions: keep them directly in a hot wallet for convenience;
Daily trading and liquidity: keep them on a Top2 exchange. To be blunt, for many beginners, the risk controls and technical defenses of leading exchanges are far safer than blindly tinkering with cold wallets themselves;
Large long-term holdings that will remain untouched: use a cold wallet shipped directly by the official source, or configure multisig and Passphrase for segregated storage;
In summary, there is only one principle: Never bet your entire net worth on a single manufacturer or a single link in the process. This suspected Ledger supply-chain attack also serves as a reminder: The security of a hardware wallet is not limited to the chip and firmware themselves; it also includes the entire circulation process from the factory to the user. Once a device leaves the original manufacturer and passes through third-party warehousing or personal intermediaries, the risk of physical tampering, such as disassembly or the insertion of malicious modules, may increase. Even if the device passes official authenticity verification, that does not necessarily mean it has not been tampered with. #WCTCS9
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BTC+0.85%
Layout: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin
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The sun rises every day, but there is always one worth waiting for.
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I have joined #WCTCS9 . Click the link to join my team and share the 3,200,000 USDT total prize pool with me. Fight for glory! https://www.gate.com/zh/competition/wctc-s9?page=teamCompetition&teamId=69556&ref_type=165&utm_cmp=tgv0wayw&ref=UQNBUFxZ
$SAND has basically reached the end, closed everything out, and tried to catch the bottom with a short position
SAND-1.28%
Daily Trading - BTC
it's always like this, the price matched the analysis but hit SL before continuing its decline 😅.
$BTC ‌
CryptocurrencyAnalysis
Just watch and pay attention. The price will drop temporarily. I don't hold positions for too long here.
$BTC ‌
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BTC+0.87%
Last night, BTC rose first and then fell, stopping after climbing to around 84,200 at its peak before beginning another downward move. It fell to around 83,200 this morning at its lowest, marking nearly 1,000 points of one-way decline. It has now recovered to around 83,600 and is fluctuating.
From the market structure, the 83,000 level has been tested several times and quickly reclaimed, indicating buying support below this level and initial signs of a short-term bottom. The 84,000–85,000 area above is currently the zone with the densest concentration of recent positions, forming a core resist
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BTC+0.87%
What is your top #Altcoin pick right now ⁉️
And which #Memecoin are you betting on next 🚀
👇👇👇
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MEME+0.74%
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