Next week: October 19 (Monday) — October 25 (Sunday) Daily Macro + Geopolitical Preview

Sources: CCTV, Cailian Press, Federal Reserve website, public schedules

✅October 19 Monday
📊Macro: The Financial Street Forum Annual Conference opens, with senior officials from the PBOC, SAFE, and CSRC delivering policy speeches; the Federal Reserve holds a closed-door discount rate meeting
🌍Geopolitics: Ukraine-U.S. talks may begin; the European Parliament opens discussions on Black Sea shipping security

✅October 20 Tuesday
📊Macro: China announces its LPR loan prime rate; closed-door meeting of F

At 5 a.m., Ethereum saw another sharp wick down, mainly as Brent crude broke above $106 in after-hours trading, up more than 4% intraday
Combined with the U.S. September CPI annual rate accelerating to 3.7%, markets repriced the rate-hike path and risk appetite contracted; continued net outflows from spot ETFs and declining exchange reserves amplified the drop, leaving the short-term outlook weak.

The Polish prime minister said outright that they’re preparing for war with Russia. Two years ago, that would’ve sounded alarmist. Now nobody’s laughing. As the U.S. shifts its focus, Europe will have to handle Ukraine on its own. If it can’t, Poland’s border will be the next line. The great powers step back, and the frontline countries pay the price. If you think I’m talking nonsense, take a screenshot and save it.

A little bit of extra weight is ideal. Too skinny just doesn’t do it for me.

$STRK This 12.86% plunge is a high-risk game, so I placed a limit order at 0.0635 and picked up the first batch. First, a position update: I’m currently flat and waiting for an entry. I closed yesterday’s short from 0.0710 at 0.0652 to take profit, capturing most of this drop. The 24h low of 0.0631 landed right at the lower edge of a previous high-volume trading zone. Turnover of 148.9M is clearly up, suggesting that some buyers are picking up coins amid the panic selling. But the large bearish candle from 0.0747 to 0.0631 had no meaningful rebound, so short-term sentiment remains bearish.
My

Strong rebound after sweeping the lows—the bulls fought tooth and nail to defend 80.7k. Try going long on $BT .
Entry range: 80,804.0 - 81,210.1Take-profit targets: 82,824.1 - 84,277.7Stop-loss: 79,996.0Note: If it fails to reclaim the 1-hour MA25, it may test the range low again. Don’t go all in, guys. Size your position according to your account. It’s time to go long! 👇👇👇These caught my attention today: $AV and $AGT .

Is this rally finally going to hold, or are we watching the same old liquidity trap again? Seeing $EIGEN
try to reclaim these levels today has me a little nervous. Is anyone else waiting to see whether buyers actually step in this time? Take profit: 0.261 Stop loss: 0.241 Other coins: $BTW : Current price 2.5221 - 24-hour change: +32.53%$ZEC : Current price 1,119.5 - 24-hour change: -1.89%

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💬 Topic
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks at an IMF fireside chat today. With inflation pressures rising, markets are watching for policy signals and their impact on the USD, stocks, and BTC.
💡 Discussion
1️⃣ Will Warsh sound hawkish or dovish? Could the Fed hike rates again?
2️⃣ How will his remarks impact BTC? Rally or pul

Fees paid to apps on Filecoin rose 68.34% in the past 30 days to $111,353. GLIF, the network's largest app by fees, took in $91,398 of it, up 47.76% over the same window.
@Filecoin

Good morning, $DOGE fam! 🤝🐕
Gm C X ☕️🌎
Happy weekend! ✌️🌦🍂
Dogecoin to the moon! 🚀🌑

Something doesn't look right. $AVA is currently at 0.3957, up 34.73% in 24 hours, but look at this candle—the low was 0.2810, the high was 0.4226, a 50% swing, with $72.9M in trading volume. This isn't normal turnover; someone's aggressively sweeping up.
Three possibilities: first, someone positioned early in the derivatives market, with spot buying helping push the price up; second, low-priced holders have finished rotating their positions, and the whales are testing the selling pressure above; third, it's a pure sentiment-driven short squeeze, with 24-hour volume piling above $70M as short-

2015 — Buy
2016 — Hold
2017 — Sell
2018 — Bear market
Cycle 3 (2019-2022)
2019 — Buy
2020 — Hold
2021 — Sell
2022 — Bear market
Cycle 4 (2023-2026)
2023 — Buy
2024 — Hold
2025 — Sell
2026 — Bear market ← We are right here
Cycle 5 (2027-2030)
2027 — Buy
2028 — Hold
2029 — Sell
2030 — Bear market

$BTC Confirming this scenario with ETH movement $ETH

$ELA SEND IT TO THE STARS!

this army will see heaven sooner than later, looks like 2024

$ETH is currently at 2,396.89, down 1.15% over 24 hours, with volume at 0.12 times the average over the past 20 candles. Put these figures together, and the key point to explain is that $ETH’s price has already moved, but trading activity and volume have not followed.
One verifiable update: Gate’s official announcement reads, “Gate Research: Corporate Earnings Support U.S. Stocks, KR1 Launches Ethereum Validator Nodes…”. It may explain why people are paying attention, but it cannot answer which way the price will move.
You can tentatively trust the direction, but not assume the move will conti

hyperliquid:native is back at the 77–75 support area, the same zone that started the September rally.
A short-term bounce is around the corner. A break above the descending trendline would open the way back to 82–84.
Will this support hold again?

$DOGE Current price: 0.07909. The first resistance above is 0.0799, where the Bollinger midline and MA20 converge. Support is at the lower Bollinger Band at 0.0786; a break below opens up room to 0.0780. The chart is in a bearish alignment: MA5 at 0.07937 is below MA20 at 0.07989, the MACD histogram remains negative at -5.47e-05, and RSI at 41.3 is weak but not oversold. The 30-candle range is only 5.17%, indicating a low-volume drift down rather than panic selling.
The real point of contention is the funding rate: at -0.0009%, it is negative, with shorts continuously paying longs, indicating