Fed Chair Warsh spoke yesterday and gave no clear signal, and the probability of an October rate hike was cut in half.
Warsh spoke yesterday at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, but didn’t reveal what would happen at the end-of-month rate meeting. CME FedWatch showed the probability of an October rate hike falling from nearly 30% to around 15%, giving the market some relief.
In crypto, BTC briefly fell below $80k on Thursday for the first time in a month, but reclaimed it in less than two hours. It’s now hovering around $81.5k, while ETH is around 2,440.
The altcoin market was

TIA breaks out strongly and rides the trend straight to new highs! A position has been opened at $TI .
Current planned entry: 0.690 - 0.706 Take-profit A: 0.7369 Take-profit B: 0.7680 Stop-loss: 0.6624 Click here to view the chart. Please keep an eye on $BT and $AGT .

Do the L, nature! #LETSGOLULA1️⃣3️⃣

How are the guys who chased longs above 82500 yesterday evening doing now?!!! 😱
That market maker’s performance during the day deserved an Oscar: it played dead and moved sideways at 82180 all day, then from 6 to 8 p.m. deliberately pushed Ethereum to 2470 and Bitcoin to 82600!
How many retail traders saw that and thought, “Hey, it’s about to break out!” In a rush, they all jumped in to chase longs above 82500!
Then, as soon as the 8 p.m. candle flipped, the main players didn’t give them even a second to escape. Opening at 82598, they slammed the door shut and drove the price down hard, crash

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💡 Trading volume

This move in gold is definitely interesting. The policy combination coming out of India lately is worth a closer look: the Reserve Bank of India has proposed that gold funds and ETFs no longer be backed by physical gold, while SEBI has notified asset management companies to restrict new retail investments in gold and silver funds. Taken together, the message isn’t complicated: demand for gold in India is so strong that there isn’t enough physical gold to go around, so they have to start by tightening the spigot on “paper gold.”
India is already one of the world’s biggest gold-consuming markets

$ETH Current conclusion: Short-term outlook is bearish; a rebound is an opportunity to reduce positions, not a signal to chase longs. The core method for assessing trend health with moving averages: the relationship between price, MA5, and MA20 determines the position direction—the current price of 2421.57 is below MA5 at 2422.8, and MA5 is below MA20 at 2436.43, forming a bearish alignment. This indicates short-term momentum is weaker than the medium-term cost basis, and going long is inadvisable until the trend recovers. Supporting indicators: RSI is only 44.8, in the neutral-to-weak zone an

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Machi loses $269K on ETH, opens another long 7 minutes later
Hyperliquid force-liquidated 1,650 ETH early on Oct. 15, and the tracked wallet held a new 2,500 ETH long by 13:16 BST.
Quick Take
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📈Oh wow, a big score $ICNT
has started pumping already. Lee asks to hop aboard Long at 1663; the upward momentum is still there, so keep holding the Long. $AGT
$BASED
Gradually open Shorts in anticipation🥳🥳🥳

Bears are crushing down! UNI's 90% token distribution is distorted; shorting from elevated levels is the only answer! Direction: Short Entry: 7.26 - 7.30 Target range: First target 7.00, second target 6.73 Entry rationale: Extremely bearish capital flows: the capital flow score is -48, with massive net outflows over 1D, 3D, and 15D; major players are firmly exiting. Distorted position distribution: the long/short ratio is as high as 90%, and a massive concentration of long liquidations lies in the 7.4-8.0 range overhead, creating enormous resistance to an upward move and making a cascade of li

Yesterday, the Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest single-day net inflow was BlackRock's IBIT, with a net inflow of $16.7857 million. IBIT's cumulative historical net inflow currently stands at $65.64 billion.

$TIA Current price 0.6952, 24h +17.63%, trading volume 42.0M USDT, 30-candle range approximately 21.19%; compared with peers in the same sector, $AVAX is down 1.14% over 24h and $PYTH is down 8.23%. All three share the infrastructure/modular narrative, but TIA is the only asset gaining strength on rising volume against the trend. The relative strength gap is close to 19 percentage points, which is the main reason it deserves separate attention. The funding rate is -0.0028%; with prices rising while the rate remains negative, shorts have not capitulated and longs are not crowded, indicating

Maybe we should all become eunuchs from now on. Society is too dangerous.

A new chain for AI agents launched yesterday
Its token rose 16% in a day
Market cap is over 600 million
It collected just over 30,000 in fees over the past year
Actual activity on the chain is shrinking
In mid-September, it was posting 2.7G a day
Now it’s down to 2.1G
Over the same 24 hours, Bitcoin fell less than 1%
Altcoins across the board are sliding
What’s pushing it up is those four words: AI agents
It bottomed at 0.3 in August; now it’s at 0.69
It’s still 65% below last September’s peak
I’m betting the next project to launch a new chain can sell another round like this

$BASED is making the original idea look increasingly wise.
So far, I’m happy with this trade. The results are good. My watchlist today is: $BT and $ARIA .

Good news: It finally unlocked.
Bad news: My 1,800+ U is now worth only 230 U.
Another episode of “everyone else is making money while I’m getting wrecked” 😭