$CL Geopolitical risk premium continues to stay elevated! Keep buying the dips!
The US-Iran 60-day ceasefire agreement officially expires on August 17, with Trump publicly refusing to extend it. Iran has threatened to shift to a “full-scale offensive,” and the two sides are expected to enter a longer standoff. Geopolitical risk premium is making a full comeback. News-driven trading leads to chasing rallies and selling into declines—the source of losses. When the first US-Iran ceasefire took place in April 2026, oil prices plunged 16% in a single day, causing heavy losses for investors who cha