160 | Bullish on-chain, but falling in the short term?
If on-chain observations look positive but prices have been falling for several consecutive hours, the first thing I want to check is whether I’ve mixed up two different time horizons.
A set of data covering several weeks and a contract I only plan to hold for a few hours don’t answer the same question.
Even if a change benefits long-term demand, that doesn’t mean buying pressure will appear immediately in the short term; and a short-term decline alone can’t invalidate every long-term observation.
So I want to split my notes into two colum

This was the result of last night's final short trade
And another censored chart shows
I was too tired; for me, it was either take profit or stop loss.
The market changes in an instant, and I'm willing to risk 0 to make a 10% profit on the account.
I don't want to take you all into more risk, so please be patient.
After I woke up, the TP level had been reached, but the market hit the stop-loss level first.
But we didn't lose anything, guys
$XAUUSD ‌

Within our lifetime, we should be able to
see AI break through crypto at its most fundamental level
To avoid that most tragic ending
there are only three things you need to do now
1. Consult Warren Buffett
2. Leave Elon Musk a message
3. Be skeptical of the crypto world, but don't make an enemy of it

What the hell is going on—is everything about to crash? Damn, it inches up when it rises, but when it falls, it’s like diarrhea, plunging all the way down.

Started with 9,000 shares $GOOG
13,000 shares $SPCX
U.S. stocks are down more than $2 million
The more they fall, the more excited I get
I still have more than half my ammo left
March and July this year
had similar drops and sentiment
I caught the moves every time
This time will be no different
Come on, it's time to go all in
Let the storm get even bigger!

$SOXL Either it's me or it's them 😂😂😂$SOXL $SOXL

10.29 ETH Long/Short Strategy Review (Posted Late)
Operation Details, Strategy Review, Current Market Analysis, and Current Trading Recommendations:
Operation Details: $ETH
Yesterday morning, the price surged before pulling back, dropping from 2391 to 2291. I judged that the move was within the box's risk-control range and chose to enter long. In the evening, I exited alongside BTC, around 2365.
Momentum eased in the evening. After rising to 2378, the price pulled back. Considering its correlation with BTC, I judged that upside momentum was insufficient and decisively entered short. Take-prof

Google $GOOG had its worst single-day performance on record yesterday, wiping out about $500 billion in market cap. Google Cloud revenue doubled, but the market focused on search growth slowing from 17% to 12%. Search share is being taken by Claude, ChatGPT and Grok.
Cloud is accelerating, but the core business is faltering and losing ground. That said, it was only a matter of time.

$BTC
Hackers break in, coins stolen!
Incident: A major hacking theft has hit an exchange’s funds, with over 6 billion in user funds siphoned off. Despite emergency freezes, most of it was still converted and used! The bulk was used to dump BTC and ETH. This major theft has triggered panic withdrawals, leaving a huge hole in the market!!!😱😱😱😱
Inside details: The exchange disclosed that the theft was caused by a script infiltrating a laptop belonging to one of its own development and operations engineers. What an absurd failure of security.
Rumors online: Old hands on the blockchain suspect

I think every price decline is the result of news, technicals, and capital flows working together✊
Price declines are rarely caused by a single factor. Usually, news, technicals, and capital flows all come into play at the same time and reinforce one another.
Here’s a simple breakdown:
1. News flow
Provides the catalyst. For example, a hack, regulatory action, disappointing macro data, or a major exchange suspending withdrawals can first trigger panic or a shift in expectations.
2. Technicals
Provide room for prices to fall. When prices break below key support levels, moving averages

The goal has been reached, and I’ve changed my ID back.
My recent market analyses have all been shared with you while I’ve been on vacation, and I don’t post often, but they’re very precise and on point. That’s trading: in the end, it comes down to probability. Wait for the opportunity, then make your move.
But something happened that affected my mood on vacation. A few clever people subscribe as soon as I post a subscription post, then unsubscribe when I stop posting. I don’t really care, but this app sends me notifications, and I’ve blocked every one I saw. Go be clever on your own.
I won’t

Those who executed yesterday’s short trade as planned have already made substantial gains.
If you’re holding a losing position, don’t panic. Market fear can influence your own decisions. This sharp drop has sounded a warning bell for retail investors looking to buy the dip. $BTC has fallen nearly 5,500 points overnight so far, $ETH has dropped by more than 200 points, and $ZEC has clearly been dragged down, falling by more than 200 points.
I’m sure many bros entered long positions halfway up, thinking they were buying the dip, only for the market to turn against them.
If you’re unsure what

Why Doesn't a Sudden Spike in Trading Volume Necessarily Mean a Trend Reversal Is Imminent?
In crypto trading, many people see a sudden spike in trading volume and assume the market is about to reverse. But the reality is not that simple. The same increase in volume can mean completely different things in different market conditions.
First, trading volume reflects how active market trading is. An increase in volume means buyers and sellers are participating more actively, but it cannot tell us by itself whether buyers are gaining the upper hand or sellers are rushing to exit.
Second, a volume

#🚨 Intel Beats Earnings but Stock Plunges – What Went Wrong?
#IntelBeatsEarningsButStockPlunges
Intel has surprised the market with better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, but its stock price has faced a sharp decline. This unexpected reaction has attracted attention from investors around the world.
Intel reported adjusted earnings of $0.52 per share, beating analysts' expectations of $0.40. Its data center and AI business also showed strong growth.
So why did the stock fall?
The main reason is the company's weak future outlook. Intel expects fourth-quarter revenue between $15 billion an

$FET is currently at 0.1559, down 11.32% over 24H. The 1H trend is weak (RSI 15.6), weaker than the 4H trend (RSI 27.6), with EMAs on both timeframes above the current price. If price holds above the 0.1857 resistance, a rebound may be worth watching; if it breaks below the 0.1523 support, the decline could accelerate. Going forward, watch whether price can hold above 0.1857 and recover after losing 0.1523. Oversold conditions suggest potential for a rebound but do not mean a bottom is in. The market is highly volatile; for observation only.

Good Morning CT!
Happy Friday
Time to start new day

Looking back now, those two posts were incredibly valuable. Only my friend took my advice, opened a short, and held it. BTC is currently at 76500, ETH at 2170. Haha, let me predict another rebound for you: take profit on your shorts, and you can try entering longs with a small stop loss. Now we wait for takeoff😄