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Next week: October 19 (Monday) — October 25 (Sunday) Daily Macro + Geopolitical Preview

Sources: CCTV, Cailian Press, Federal Reserve website, public schedules

✅October 19 Monday
📊Macro: The Financial Street Forum Annual Conference opens, with senior officials from the PBOC, SAFE, and CSRC delivering policy speeches; the Federal Reserve holds a closed-door discount rate meeting
🌍Geopolitics: Ukraine-U.S. talks may begin; the European Parliament opens discussions on Black Sea shipping security

✅October 20 Tuesday
📊Macro: China announces its LPR loan prime rate; closed-door meeting of F
Strategy Slumps 9.6% After MSCI Decision, Beats Bitcoin's Drop
The company’s disclosed bitcoin holdings remained about $5.1 billion above cost. MSCI’s final affected-company list is due Nov. 11.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.
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BTC-0.47%
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$ZEC I went from an unrealized loss of 2,500U to a profit of 900U and closed at take-profit. The price came within 2U of triggering my stop loss, then fell. Thanks for sparing me
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ZEC-2.36%
#DOGE #WCTCS9 Dogecoin May See Its First Major Daily Death Cross of 2026: Is a Potential Trend Reversal Coming?
A potential trend reversal could offset bearish pressure and invalidate the current pattern.
Dogecoin could see its first daily death cross of 2026 as moving averages suggest they will converge in the coming days. The daily 50-day moving average is currently trending downward, while the daily 200-day moving average is flattening, highlighting the potential for a death cross. Dogecoin saw its first daily golden cross since 2026 in October, but profit-taking in the crypto market drove
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#DOGE #WCTCS9 Dogecoin may see its first major daily death cross of 2026: Is a potential trend shift approaching?
A potential trend shift could counter bearish pressure and invalidate the current setup.
Dogecoin could see its first daily death cross of 2026, as moving averages point to convergence in the coming days. The daily 50-day moving average is currently sloping downward, while the daily 200-day moving average is flattening, highlighting the potential for a death cross. Dogecoin saw its first daily golden cross of 2026 in October, but profit-taking in the crypto market drove its price down to a low of $0.077. Bears seem to be making an aggressive effort to negate this bullish signal, with the possibility of a death cross drawing near.
The timing of a death cross remains uncertain, as a trend shift could counter the bears’ push and invalidate the current pattern. At the time of writing, Dogecoin was up 3.19% over the past 24 hours to $0.081, after briefly selling off as investors weighed higher-than-expected inflation data and the latest remarks on interest rates from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
Inflation data released this week was strong: the Producer Price Index released Thursday showed wholesale prices rose 6.3% year over year in September, the biggest increase since 2022. The Consumer Price Index also rose in data released Wednesday. Fed officials responded in September by approving the first rate hike in more than three years; markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady in October and hike again in December.
Could a trend shift be coming? The last time Dogecoin saw a death cross on the daily chart was in November 2025, followed by months of selling until a golden cross appeared recently. This has focused market attention on price action in case a death cross ultimately appears again.
Crypto analyst Ali recently posted a contrarian take on X, sharing three reasons to be bullish on Dogecoin.
First, the TD Sequential indicator has previously marked potential turning points for Dogecoin several times, and this time it issued a buy signal on the daily chart as the price neared $0.081.
Second, URPD data shows that about 36 billion DOGE previously traded near $0.081.
Third, whales appear to be buying near this support level, having accumulated 600 million DOGE since October 12.
If $0.081 holds and Dogecoin rebounds, Ali identifies the $0.16 to $0.17 range as a potential profit-taking zone. $DOGE
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DOGE-2.32%
BTC falls 0.62% in 24 hours, with $31.89 million in sell volume in the final hour
Gate spot BTC/USDT is currently quoted at 81285.5 USDT, down 0.62% over 24 hours, with a high of 81818.4 and a low of 80817.0. That 0.62% is almost negligible on the daily chart, but the final hourly candle was different: it opened at 81647.1, plunged to a low of 80817.0, and closed at 81124.9, with 31.89 million USDT in hourly trading volume—more than three times the previous hour’s approximately 8.71 million.
What I’m more interested in is whether this drop was accompanied by volume. Looking at the latest 48 ho
BTC-0.47%
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$ARB USDT — 4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
ARB is approaching the apex of a symmetrical triangle, with price currently trading near $0.1867. The next move could determine the short-term trend.
Entry: $0.1900 – $0.1930 (after breakout confirmation)
TP1: $0.2000
TP2: $0.2100
TP3: $0.2250
Stop Loss: $0.1800
Key Insight: A strong 4H candle close above the descending resistance, supported by rising volume, could confirm a bullish breakout. Failure to break out may lead to another retest of triangle support.
Trade setup is based on the provided chart; confirm the breakout before entry.
#ARB #Arbitrum #Cr
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ARB-5.56%
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$BTC Confirming this scenario with ETH movement $ETH
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BTC-0.47%
ETH-1.25%
Crypto Trade Today
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LIVE1,008
Strong rebound after sweeping the lows—the bulls fought tooth and nail to defend 80.7k. Try going long on $BT .
Entry range: 80,804.0 - 81,210.1Take-profit targets: 82,824.1 - 84,277.7Stop-loss: 79,996.0Note: If it fails to reclaim the 1-hour MA25, it may test the range low again. Don’t go all in, guys. Size your position according to your account. It’s time to go long! 👇👇👇These caught my attention today: $AV and $AGT .
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AGT+46.32%
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Post with hashtags for red packets, Up to 100 USDT weekly !
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💬 Topic
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks at an IMF fireside chat today. With inflation pressures rising, markets are watching for policy signals and their impact on the USD, stocks, and BTC.
💡 Discussion
1️⃣ Will Warsh sound hawkish or dovish? Could the Fed hike rates again?
2️⃣ How will his remarks impact BTC? Rally or pul
TSLA-2.17%
The Magnificent Seven are propping up S&P earnings growth. The earnings data is still there, but this level of concentration is a risk in itself. Once the social media buzz cools, the crowded trade can quickly unwind. After doing this for so long, I’ve learned that position sizing is always more important than getting the direction right. What do you think?
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I knew the market makers would drive it down with a wick, and sure enough, when it fell to 808, I opened a small long and made enough for porridge. I closed at 812.
That’s reassuring. I’m predicting a drop next week, though I’m not completely sure. I was waiting for this wick, and it was part of what I expected. Now that it’s happened, my prediction of a drop next week has a few more points in its favor!
I hope a big drop next week lets me make a little money on shorts too; otherwise, I won’t even be able to afford porridge!
‍$BTC
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BTC-0.47%
BTC | Short 🔴 | Bearish | 15-minute 24h: -0.51% | Volume: 3867.6M USDT. Short rationale: Price below EMA200; EMA20/50/200 are bearishly aligned; RSI14 is 46.0; MACD histogram is negative; ADX14 is 26.6; volume is 0.44 times the average of 20 candles; trend pullback/continuation. Entry: 81320.1 Stop loss: 81716.9 Take profit 1: 80824.1 | Take profit 2: 80526.5 | Take profit 3: 80129.6 For reference only; do not chase the trade. The strategy is invalidated if the stop-loss level is hit. Technical analysis only; not investment advice.$BT
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BTC-0.46%
$2 won’t make you rich. 72 good trades might.
Start with $2 USDT. Make 20% on a trade and reinvest it:
10 trades → $12
30 trades → $475
50 trades → $18,000
72 trades → $1,000,000+
At 30% per trade, you get there in 51.
Look at trade 30. That’s when $2 stops feeling like a joke and starts looking like a real account.
Nobody posts their $2 day. Everyone waits until the account looks impressive. I’d rather show the beginning.
Every big account was small once. Day 1 was never the problem. Quitting before Day 30 was.
So this is my challenge. $2. One setup. Every trade written down, wins and losses.
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$CT I took the full -12.73% hit on this move: entered at 0.385, cut at 0.34, down 11 points. The post-mortem is simple: greed. Before the Fed minutes, I clearly saw $CT 24h volume shrink to just over 20M and large on-chain transfers start flowing out, but I still fantasized that dovish minutes would spark a rally. Instead, the minutes were hawkish, and $CT plunged straight through 0.35, hitting a low of 0.3155. I set my stop at 0.34 and at least stuck to my discipline, but the entry thesis itself was wrong—loading up on a small-cap token ahead of a macro event; correlation is no excuse, I was
CT-12.64%
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$BTC $ETH $ZEC
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Gate_Square
Gate Social Rewards Are Here — Win Up to 10,000 USDT!
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$BTC $ETH $ZEC
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BTC-0.47%
ETH-1.25%
ZEC-2.36%
$JCT I know exactly how I lost on this trade: I got in at 0.0023 and cut my losses at 0.0019, riding out the full -11.93% drop. I contributed to the panic selling in the 5.4M trading volume. Seeing the price near its 24h low, I thought I’d buy the dip, but ended up buying halfway down. I didn’t admit defeat and exit until it hit 0.0019. During the two days I held the position, my mindset went from “it’ll bounce any minute” to “just don’t let it go to zero.” There’s only one lesson: in a downtrend, it’s better to wait for the falling knife to settle than to try to catch it. 0.0019 is today’s lo
JCT-13.37%
Sunday, October 18 [Macro]
✅The US postpones imposing a new round of large-scale sanctions on Russia
✅The ECB warns that geopolitical conflicts are driving up inflation risks
📅Sunday, October 18 [Geopolitics]
✅Strait of Hormuz: Iran opens fire to intercept vessels in violation, and an oil tanker hits a mine and catches fire
✅Ukraine: Ukraine and the US may begin a new round of talks as early as next week
✅Egypt says it can provide security protection at Saudi Arabia's request
( new streamer) market overview
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$SAND Bottom line: Short-term bias is bullish, but this is a short squeeze driven by crowded shorts, not a trend reversal. Wait for a pullback confirmation before chasing higher.
The funding picture is the key factor right now. The funding rate is -0.1930%, making it extremely costly to hold short positions, while the price has risen 9.97% over 24h to 0.05978, indicating that shorts are being squeezed and funding is being pushed toward the long side. But beware: the MACD histogram remains negative at -0.00023, and the RSI is only 52.7, so momentum is unconfirmed; the range over 30 candles is a
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AVAX-2.41%
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