Expectations peaked early in the year before entering a sustained long-term downtrend; the probability has recently fallen further to a low of 14.5%, with market expectations that the bill will be enacted within the year continuing to cool.

Saturday morning ETH outlook
Long:
If the pullback holds at 2430-2435, cautiously try a long with a small position, targeting 2470-2480, stop at 2415
Short:
If a rebound to 2480-2490 meets resistance and stalls, cautiously try a short with a small position, targeting 2440-2430, stop at 2505
Today, ETH is following BTC in a high-level consolidation, with a short-term bearish bias, but a rebound remains possible as long as 2430 holds.
In one sentence: ETH is more volatile than BTC, so there are opportunities for both longs and shorts, but wait for key levels before entering—don't chase $ETH #美国8

US equities closed lower: Dow -0.51%, S&P -0.38%, Nasdaq -0.29%; TSLA -5.92%, AAPL -2.51%, MSFT -2.04%. AI chip names led gains (SNDK +11.9%, MU +6.1%, INTC +4.5%). $COIN and crypto names drifted lower.

JUST IN: Robinhood CEO says tokenization could bring U.S. capital market advantages to global investors, enabling 24/7 trading, programmable assets, and self-custody. If adopted, this could shift how non-U.S. users access major assets. $BTC ? $ETH ?

JUST IN: Trump downplays US-Iran clash, calling it a “military conflict” not a war and framing it as limited, intermittent strikes. This could influence risk sentiment around Middle East headlines and global macro flow for crypto markets. $BTC $ETH

260905 Bitcoin is at weekly level 2, with bearish risk on the 6/8-hour timeframes; ETH has a No. 2 divergence point on the 12-hour timeframe. For short-term longs, use a cost-based stop-loss and control liquidation risk. No short-term trades without a stop-loss! BTC resistance levels: 81094/82528/83643 BTC support levels: 78226/76792/75677 ETH resistance levels: 2499/2543/2578 ETH support levels: 2411/2367/2332 Place the stop-loss slightly beyond the third price level. Intraday trades should not exceed 5% of the position. Livestream times: 2:30 PM on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, and 9:30 PM

is drawing attention as the latest U.S. jobs report points to stronger employment growth than many expected. A better than expected Nonfarm Payrolls figure can influence how investors view the health of the economy, especially when markets are closely watching labor data for signs of changing momentum.
The jobs market remains an important part of the economic picture. Strong hiring can suggest that businesses are still active and that consumer demand may have solid support. At the same time, traders will also look at other details in the report, including wage growth, the unemployment rate, an

The expected peak at the beginning of the year was relatively high, followed by a sustained, long-cycle downtrend; recently, the probability fell further to a low of 14.5%, while market expectations that the bill will be enacted within the year continued to cool.

The more sharply $PONS rises, the harder it falls—by ten times as much.

JUST IN: Xiaomi launches Xiaomi-TabLDM, a general tabular data foundation model that handles classification and regression without retraining or tuning. Could boost efficiency for structured data tasks across industries; watch for downstream AI tooling impacts.

Please don't #FOMO!
This trader made 2 #FOMO trades in one day and lost $907K.
He spent $916.5K to buy 7.28M $MEME at $0.126, then sold for $353K, losing $563K(-61.45%).
He then spent $356K to buy 8.93M $SLINK at $0.04 and sold for only $12K, losing $344K(-96.62%).

I did nothing—just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me. During the intraday plunge, I was still watching for bid support, but the rebound was weak and each volume bar was shorter than the last. I judged that the momentum couldn’t be sustained, so I immediately placed a short order, entered at 0.013728, and then went to wash my hands. When I came back, it was at 0.01227, +104.61%. Feels good, brothers. This move wasn’t talent—it was the market sending a red envelope to patient people. Close 80% first and take the profit; don’t get greedy for t

JUST IN: Bitcoin is trading as an amplified version of gold amid macro uncertainty, with BTC/Gold correlation at multi-year highs and a four-year cycle headwind ahead. $BTC

#GateEventContractTradeSharingChallenge #ETH
ETH is currently around $2,452, and this is becoming a very important decision zone for ETH traders. After recovering from the lower levels of the recent seven-day range, ETH is now approaching the psychological $2,500 level and the much more important $2,550–$2,560 resistance zone. From $2,452, a move to $2,500 would give roughly +2.0%, while a breakout toward $2,560 would mean around +4.4%. The real question now is whether ETH can finally break this ceiling and start another powerful upside leg.
The seven-day chart is showing a recovery and cons

$ETH 1000 USD is challenging a 1,000x gain, currently at 3500
It’s not that I don’t provide trade signals; just look at the chart and you’ll understand.

#Gate60MillionUsers
My first Gate trade still makes me laugh 😂
I remember staring at the chart like I had everything figured out. I saw a move, got excited, and entered without giving much thought to risk.
For a few minutes, everything looked perfect.
Then the market moved against me.
I kept staring at the screen thinking, “It’ll come back.”
Spoiler: it didn’t. 😂
That tiny trade taught me something I still remember today: the market doesn’t care how confident you feel.
Looking back, losing that trade wasn’t the worst part. The funny part was how seriously I thought I knew what I was doing.

ETH (Ethereum) 1-hour chart

After completing a rally, price entered a Wave 4 correction. It is currently consolidating in a converging range, waiting for a directional breakout. In terms of trend, however, it is in a rebound pullback adjustment and repair phase. As long as short-term support at 2429‑2443 holds and this range is not broken, the Wave 5 bullish structure remains intact. But for Wave 5 to continue, price needs to hold above the 2490-2520 resistance zone; only a breakout will open up room for a new round of upside.
​
Breakdown condition: Conversely, if price effectively breaks be

A Brief Analysis of BTC’s Short-Term Trend from Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action (Strategy Recommendations)
综合研判
Dow Theory confirms that the primary trend remains strongly bullish, but the low-volume pullback on September 4 shows that 82,000-82,260 is an extremely strong short-term resistance zone, while 78,600-79,600 is the core short-term support zone.
Chan Theory shows that the downward stroke from 82,262 was extremely strong (-6,014), followed by a moderately strong upward stroke (+3,840). The upward stroke was weaker t