Is a strategy with a 70% win rate necessarily better than one with a 40% win rate?
Not necessarily. The win rate only tells you “how many times you won,” not how much you won or lost each time.
Pure calculation example:
Strategy A: Win 7 out of 10 times, +1 each time; lose 3 times, -3 each time, for a total of -2.
Strategy B: Win 4 out of 10 times, +2 each time; lose 6 times, -1 each time, for a total of +2.
This is only an example and does not yet account for fees, slippage, or extreme market conditions.
When I break down strategy cases at OWL, I evaluate the win rate, average profit-to-loss

$ONDO /USDT RECLAIMING MOVING AVERAGE SUPPORT FOR A BULLISH CONTINUATION REBOUND ARE BULLS TARGETING $0.5434 NEXT?
Pair: $ONDO /USDT
Direction: LONG
Entry Price: 0.5017
Target Levels (Take Profit)
TP 1: 0.5173 +3.11%
TP 2: 0.5278 +5.20%
TP 3: 0.5434 +8.31%
Stop Loss
SL: 0.4809
Technical Breakdown
ONDO ($0.5014) is executing a measured consolidation phase following its prior upward impulse, holding steady above key support levels. This behavior reflects healthy buyer absorption and prepares the asset for a structural continuation toward overhead targets.
Price action is tightly interacting

The market is getting very strange
U.S. stock trading volume
hit a new low in decades..
Adjusting for inflation and the dollar’s purchasing power,
it may have been the lowest day ever…
Declining volume at the highs…

This next ETH move is a bit brutal
2200 won't hold
Then the main upward wave begins

🚨 WAIT… A SECOND TAMPERED LEDGER REPORTED AT ANOTHER MEDIAMARKT STORE.
What if the device you bought to protect your crypto was the very thing putting it at risk?
On October 12, a Ledger buyer using the name Johannes reported finding similar unauthorized hardware modifications inside a second device purchased from a different MediaMarkt store.
He claims both devices contained extra cables and an LTE module, and is calling for an immediate product recall.
⚠️ But there’s an important distinction: Ledger has confirmed a hardware implant in a separate case linked to reseller CryptoBilis in Southe

Analyst Gu Jingci: The repeatedly flagged Bitcoin/Ethereum short-selling strategy scored a major victory
The short-selling strategy repeatedly highlighted during yesterday’s Bitcoin/Ethereum rally paid off. After prices surged to around 84,300 and 2,578, they fell all the way, with the current lows reaching approximately 81,700 and 2,440. The short positions took off directly, capturing substantial room for profit. Congratulations to those who followed the strategy. Often, everything is explained very clearly: with more patience and a broader perspective, you will eventually reap greater rewar

$ENA enters the oversold zone, but a rebound and a bottom are two different things
$ENA 24-hour -12.53%, current price 0.2081. The 1-hour and 4-hour RSI are 13 and 40, respectively. Oversold conditions create demand for a rebound, but a rebound only shows that the decline was sharp; a bottom still requires the price to stop damaging the structure.
The opposing case also has a clear invalidation line. Falling below the 1-hour support at 0.207 would show that short-term buying support has failed the test; if the 4-hour support at 0.2063 is also broken, the previous assessment of strength or reco

Why is everything falling again?
Is this a continuation of 10.11?
🐷🐷🐷

Exactly one month, 30 days, with a return of 27.84%. I’m quite satisfied—steady gains over time are all that matter!
Let’s aim for a 30% return over the next 30 days!

High mountains, long roads, we journey together

$GTC Direction Looks Consistent, but the Volume Contraction Shows No Confirmation
$GTC 24-hour +56.46%, current price 0.28179. The 1-hour and 4-hour structures are both relatively strong, but current trading volume is only 0.58 times the average volume of the previous 20 candles. The direction is consistent, but participation has not kept up—that is precisely the most debatable point right now.
Let’s return to the 24-hour range: the low is 0.15653 and the high is 0.393. Where the current price of 0.28179 sits within this range will directly affect the meaning of the same signal. Near the high,

$DOS This data is terrifying. So many bulls are entering now! Aren’t you afraid of another jab?

What Black weekday is it today?

What is a dream? Life has been in an illusory realm from the very beginning
Language comprehension separates our imagination of things from their limitations
The difficulty of something depends on one's own view of
the form of completion that can be achieved for this thing
And the process leads us to try to find answers
Although perhaps nothing has any meaning to begin with
The question of finding answers > the angle of one's journey
We all use a false meaning to replace so-called time
What is youth
What is childhood
What is adulthood
I really like a film called Crayon Shin-chan: The Adult Emp

$CFX Current price 0.05765, down 14.25% over 24h, with a trading volume of 12.6M USDT; MA5=0.058918 has fallen below MA20=0.061284, RSI=28.7 is nearing oversold, the MACD histogram at -0.0003678 shows bearish momentum is still being released, the lower Bollinger Band at 0.0573362 is within reach, and the amplitude over 30 candles is 22.17%. The most intriguing aspect is the funding situation: despite the sharp price drop, the funding rate remains at +0.0041%, indicating that the willingness to hold long positions has not dissipated. If shorts continue applying pressure, it could easily trigger

Scumbag Watch: BTC Update 10.13
Bitcoin rebounded for several days, only to be doused with cold water by today's big bearish candle.
Strategy-wise, BTC first reached around 82500 last night and rebounded by roughly 500 points, in line with Scumbag's expectation yesterday to get in and out quickly at that level.
It is currently moving toward 81200
The strategy remains valid, but we can't hold for too long; take profits when profitable and set a protective stop, OK
After that, watch for a fake breakdown around 77900

$GTC Current price is 0.28151, with short-term key levels between MA5 (0.288376) and MA20 (0.255503): only holding above 0.288 would indicate trend continuation, while breaking below 0.2555 would invalidate the structure of this rally.
To determine whether the trend is healthy, a two-step method can be reused: first, examine the moving average arrangement and price position; second, check whether momentum indicators are confirming. $GTC Currently, MA5 is above MA20, so the bullish alignment remains intact, and the price is between the two lines, indicating that the medium-term trend remains he

Getting reports that people are having trouble bridging to Abstract.
Appears to be an ongoing issue with Relay.
The native bridge/Jumper are good alternatives in the interim