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What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can Win Rate, Average Wins and Losses, and Trading Costs Be Combined to Determine Whether a Strategy Has a Long-Term Edge?
In cryptocurrency trading, a strategy making money in the short term does not mean it will work over the long term. Catching one major market move by chance can mask problems with the strategy itself. Trading expectancy helps us evaluate a strategy as a whole, rather than judging it based on a few wins or losses.
First, what is trading expectancy?
Trading expectancy is the average profit a trade may generate when repeatedly trading according
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oil finally losing that nice uptrend
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$SKHYNIX Everyone is bullish on Hynix, but these institutions are traps too—the more they hype it, the more it has fallen lately.
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SKHYNIX+1.41%
Jiangyang ETH · bearish signal $MAGM The hourly moving averages are about to form a death cross, and the downtrend channel is now open! You can place a short order in advance now, with 0.35 as the first target. If you’re not holding a position, open a short at market! Wait for the price to plunge and take profits!
MAGMA +4.67% Risk warning: The above reflects only my personal market views and does not constitute investment advice. Contract trading carries extremely high risks, so please manage your position and set stop-losses.
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ETH-1.23%
MAGMA-0.95%
$UNITREE $UNITREE, the toy company, has finally collapsed. Keep shorting; it could fall below 50 this year.
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UNITREE+4.35%
Although U.S. stocks rose after the election, there’s definitely a bias. If the Democrats sweep, tech will suffer. Each party has different biases and supports different things.
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[New Streamer] Market Prediction
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can think of a few memes to pair with these
$HIMS
$MU
$NFLX
who's sending the next runner?
live on @base via @aeroxyz
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HIMS-6.81%
MU-5.28%
NFLX+0.01%
11.2 Monday Morning: Zhongling Gold Outlook
Multiple key factors are converging in the market this week, which could change the pace of price action. First, the market switches to standard time, pushing data releases and trading hours later overall. Second, ongoing discussion around the U.S. election will cause periodic shifts in expectations, with market risk aversion and risk appetite switching back and forth. Friday night's nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate data are the week's key releases and will directly affect expectations for the Fed's future rate path.
Expectations for Fed rate c
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XAU+0.38%
$TRUMP is currently trading at 1.736, up 9.53% over 24H. The 1H bullish signal (RSI 74.4) and 4H bullish signal (RSI 84.3) are aligned, but the 4H is more clearly overbought. If it holds above the 1.779 resistance, watch for further upside; if it breaks below the 1.579 support, it may move lower. In the follow-up review, watch whether it can hold above resistance. The current price is already near the resistance zone. Market volatility is high; for observation only.
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TRUMP-0.95%
Today, Musk admitted himself that Grok Bot’s operating costs have become unsustainable relative to its revenue.
Grok Bot’s usage limits may only get tighter. That makes building a workflow that works for you especially important. I’ll use running an account on X as an example, but even if you don’t run an X account, you can adapt this to gather information from X.
I’m sharing my complete Grok Bot X intelligence radar prompt. I recently built an intelligence radar specifically for X accounts and have gotten the basic workflow running. I’ll post the steps I’ve completed in the comments.
It only
I could never decide what to redeem the points from my JD Plus membership for. Then I got a notification today—problem solved, they’ve expired and are now worthless, so no more agonizing over it 😭
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LYN's 24-hour holdings are up nearly 50%. It's not whales shifting positions; it looks like a group of retail traders and small investors taking turns buying.
The top 10 addresses hold a combined 90.18%, while smart money holds 0%. The supply is tightly held, and short-term capital—not long-term investors—is mainly driving the price up.
$LYN If you're going long, be sure to exit in time, or you could easily get wiped out in a straight-line drop.
LYN-0.44%
11.2 ETH morning public trading idea
【Long Setup】$ETH
  Entry: current price in the 2230-2260 range
  Stop-loss: 2210
Take-profit targets
  First target: 2280
  Second target: 2300
Third target: 2320
Fourth target: above 2350
【Trading factors】: The higher timeframe has moved above the upper Bollinger Band, and bearish momentum has been fully exhausted. The higher-timeframe trend remains downward. MACD has formed a golden cross below the zero line, and market depth shows buyers in the lead.
【Trading advice】: Try a small long position. A break above 2300 is expected; loo
ETH-1.23%
BTC-0.65%
ZEC+1.29%
On October 31, a single-block Ethereum reorg led a THORChain vault to send out 10 ETH that had never arrived; the solvency checker halted ETH swaps for about two minutes, and after a node vote, ten chains were paused, while AVAX, BASE, RUNE, and XRPL remained open. The official account said users had been refunded the 10 ETH and the vault was fully funded again. CoinGecko spot RUNE was around $0.509 (snapshot at approximately 10:05 Beijing time, down about 17.7%).
The key issue is not that small transaction, but that the protocol paid out based on what it saw before cross-chain confirmations w
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ETH-1.26%
AVAX-0.10%
RUNE-0.11%
BTC-0.67%
market overview
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11.2 BTC Trading Setup
On the BTC 1-hour chart, after rapidly dropping from the previous high of 81953 to a low of 76270, price is now in a rebound and recovery phase following oversold conditions, trading around 78560. The Bollinger Bands have gradually narrowed after expanding sharply downward. After reclaiming the middle band, price has continued moving toward the upper band. The short-term rising support structure remains intact, and the rebound has held up well after retesting key support. There is still ample room for recovery above, offering an opportunity to trade this rebound followin
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BTC-0.65%
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Who posted the Bao La meme? How come so many leaders are still getting on board? P generals, come straight to me 😭 #baola
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MEME-0.94%
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