TradFi

Since 1982, after 11 midterm elections, the S&P 500 has risen in the following year each time, with an average gain of 13.7%. Under a divided Congress benchmark scenario for 2026, high yields, oil-related risks, and AI concentration create constraints unlike those in past cycles. This article breaks down the statistical boundaries of historical patterns and the current path forward

S&P raised Kioxia to BBB. Net cash and confirmed AI data center SSD demand provided support, but weaker-than-expected Q3 guidance triggered a pullback in the stock price. Here’s a breakdown of the disconnect between the rating upgrade and growth-priced expectations, and what it means for valuation repair. We track the constraints tied to NAND prices, enterprise SSD shipment trend

CIFR’s stock price has fallen more than 60% from its September peak. Meanwhile, Cipher Digital has, for the first time, confirmed HPC lease revenue, and its Barber Lake contract has been expanded to $9.1 billion. This article breaks down the real gap between orders, costs, and cash-flow execution.

Oracle’s share price fell to $119.22, and the $20 billion equity-and-debt financing has triggered concerns about dilution and leverage. Even with strong growth in OCI revenue, free cash flow reality is bleak at negative $23.7 billion. ORCL’s valuation recovery depends on whether the FY2028 cash-flow inflection point can deliver.

Palantir’s Q3 revenue hit $2.313 billion, up 96% year over year. U.S. commercial revenue surpassed government for the first time. Still, the stock remained under pressure in after-hours trading. We break down why commercial contract value growth plunged to 11%, the shares are trading at 151.98x earnings, and the valuation appears inconsistent with its 2026 guidance. Then we outli

SpaceX’s $40 billion GPU leasing deal is now live, yet SPCX shares still trade at $136.37. Let’s break down the gap between Starlink cash flow, AI compute revenue, and capital expenditures, then forecast the key valuation variables for 2027.

ARK bought back 154,521 shares on the last trading day before Tempus AI’s earnings release. TEM reported Q3 revenue of $411.5 million, with adjusted EBITDA turning positive for the first time. The stock surged 8.67% on the day. Here’s a breakdown of Cathie Wood’s trade timing, the Personalis acquisition, and the valuation logic for AI in healthcare.

In October 2026, the AI sector saw its market value fall by more than $2 trillion, and the Nasdaq 100 dropped over 5.8%. This article breaks down how capital expenditures, valuation pressure, and the pace of earnings realization combined to trigger a selloff in tech stocks. It also outlines the rebound conditions and key watch metrics for Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet.

Intel fell 48.39% over the past month. Its Q4 guidance came in below expectations, and PC demand has started to contract. Meanwhile, the shift of 18A capacity toward foundry operations has raised doubts about execution and the outsourcing business. Here’s a breakdown of the financial strain and execution pressure behind Intel’s transformation.

Goldman Sachs raises its December Brent crude oil target price by 17% to $105. This article breaks down the historical patterns behind how supply disruptions in a daily 1 million barrel market get priced in, including war-premium dynamics, and maps out the transmission channels from oil prices to risk assets like Bitcoin.