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What Is Expected Shortfall (ES)? Why Does It Capture Tail Risk That VaR Misses?

In the cryptocurrency market, risk is not only about how much an account might lose, but also how much those losses could grow during extreme market conditions. Value at Risk (VaR) can estimate a loss threshold, but it does not directly indicate the average loss beyond that threshold. This is where Expected Shortfall (ES) offers important value.

First, what is ES?

ES measures the average level of tail losses when losses exceed a specified VaR threshold. For example, at the same time horizon and 95% confidence le
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#USCPIDataIncoming #ShareWeekly
Introduction: Global Markets Are Watching the Next US Inflation Report
The upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is one of the important economic events attracting attention across global financial markets. Investors, economists, institutional traders, and cryptocurrency participants are closely monitoring inflation developments because they can influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, interest rate expectations, bond yields, and overall market sentiment.
Inflation is not simply an economic statistic. It directly affects household purchasing pow
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OpenAI has added a hub called Control Room to its research infrastructure: it is used to monitor model tasks running across different areas and quickly stop them when safety or security concerns arise.
This could easily be mistaken for a product-side kill switch. The materials describe its scope as model workloads on research infrastructure, not individual conversations in a chat window.
【It monitors research-side tasks, not user sessions】
Control Room is described as a central system for tracking and stopping model workloads in research infrastructure. When safety or security concerns arise,
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#Ahr999EntersBottomBuyingZone #ShareWeekly
Introduction: A Significant Signal for Bitcoin Market Participants
The Bitcoin market is attracting renewed attention as the AHR999 indicator enters its historically recognized bottom-buying zone. This development is important for long-term investors because the indicator is designed to evaluate Bitcoin's price in relation to its historical valuation trends and long-term accumulation cost.
According to Gate's market indicator page, the AHR999 index was in the Buy at Bottom Zone on November 9, 2026. This suggests that Bitcoin's valuation has moved int
Ma, you keep resetting the quota all the time.
@bot Awesome.
So what did I subscribe to Super for, then?
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SUPER+0.00%
Layout: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin
live-cover
LIVE314
📉 After a sell-off in AI stocks, can Nvidia keep the computing boom going?
📊 With CPI coming out this week, how will rate-cut expectations change?

🎙️ Tune in to Gate Live every night at 8 PM (UTC+8)!
This week's featured livestreams are in the image. Come hear what the hosts think, or get on mic and share your views!
👉 https://www.gate.com/live

💬 What would you like to see next week? Leave a comment: 🤖 AI stocks | 🥇 Gold trends | 🪙 BTC
GateLiveChinese
📉 After a sell-off in AI stocks, can Nvidia keep the computing boom going?
📊 With CPI coming out this week, how will rate-cut expectations change?

🎙️ Tune in to Gate Live every night at 8 PM (UTC+8)!
This week's featured livestreams are in the image. Come hear what the hosts think, or get on mic and share your views!
👉 https://www.gate.com/live

💬 What would you like to see next week? Leave a comment: 🤖 AI stocks | 🥇 Gold trends | 🪙 BTC
repost-content-media
NVDA-4.34%
BTC-0.67%
XAU+0.38%
Not much but honest work
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$ZEC Currently trading at 1166.68, down 4.81% over 24H. Both the 1H and 4H charts are weak, with price below the EMA20 and RSI around 30 on both timeframes. Resistance is at 1249.69, and support is at 1153.5. If price holds above 1249.69, watch for a rebound; a break below 1153.5 would signal further short-term weakness. 1H volume is only 0.69x the average, indicating low participation. The 4H structure is also weakening, with the EMA20 above price at 1238. Review whether price can hold above 1249.69. The setup is invalidated if price breaks below 1153.5 and fails to recover. Market volatility
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ZEC+1.16%
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#ShareWeekly #BTC #WCTCS9 Writing
Bitcoin (BTC): Understanding the Market, Future Opportunities, Institutional Adoption, and Long-Term Growth Potential
Introduction: Bitcoin Remains the Center of the Digital Asset Revolution
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to play a leading role in the global cryptocurrency market. Since its introduction in 2009, Bitcoin has transformed the way people think about money, digital ownership, financial independence, and decentralized technology. What initially started as an experimental digital currency has developed into a globally recognized financial asset that attr
It's official.
DOT holders passed Referendum 1966 with 99.92% of the vote, step one of a plan to cut Polkadot's active validators from 600 to 320.
152,949,661 DOT backed it. The drop to 500 is enacted on November 10.
@Polkadot
DOT-1.51%
$PROM After a sharp drop, it is now consolidating sideways. Bulls have repeatedly tried and failed to reclaim the resistance from the moving averages above, and the overall trend remains dominated by the bears. The trading approach remains bearish.
$PROM Short trade reference: Watch the 5.239 - 5.265 area for entry. Downside targets are 4.996 - 4.791, with a stop at 5.423.
Note: If market volatility suddenly spikes, thin trading volumes can lead to rapid price surges that trigger stop-losses. Manage your position size according to your means, never go all-in, and allocate funds appropriately
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PROM+0.45%
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#ShareWeekly #401k #WCTCS9 401(k): Understanding Retirement Savings, Investment Strategies, and Long-Term Financial Security
Professional financial and retirement market analysis
The Power of 401(k): Building Long-Term Wealth Through Smart Retirement Planning
Introduction
Retirement planning is one of the most important aspects of personal financial management. While many people focus on their monthly income, daily expenses, and short-term financial goals, preparing for life after retirement is equally essential. One of the most widely recognized retirement savings tools in the United States i
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#USAIStocksHitHard #ShareWeekly

US AI Stocks Hit Hard: Market Sell-Off, Valuation Concerns, and the Future of Artificial Intelligence Investments
Introduction: Is the AI Investment Boom Facing a Reality Check?
Artificial intelligence has become one of the most powerful forces influencing global financial markets. Over recent years, AI-related companies have attracted enormous investor attention because of rapid technological development, expanding data-center infrastructure, advanced semiconductor production, and growing demand for intelligent software.
However, the recent weakness in US AI s
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11.10 BTC Analysis
BTC made the expected rally and pullback! After meeting resistance at the highs, it retested support and rebounded again. It is currently trading just below the upper Bollinger Band. The bands are opening upward. Although bulls have the short-term advantage, overhead resistance is heavy, and a rally could easily meet resistance and pull back.

Key levels: Support is at the middle Bollinger Band at 74900, with strong support at 74500. Short-term resistance is in the 75300 - 75500 range.

Today's short strategy: Patiently wait for a rally into the 75500 - 75800 range, then go
BTC-0.65%
Whoa! Did the Grok bot reset itself?
I remember usage was already at 85% yesterday. I woke up this morning and it had only used 2%? Go check your Bots
@bot
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【ETH | Short-Term Strategy】
Current price: 2125.41
Timeframes: 1-hour chart for direction | 15-minute chart for candlesticks | 1-minute chart for entry
Pivotal level: 2150
✅Long: Go long if price holds near 2081 on a pullback, target 2135-2150, stop-loss below 2076
❌Short: Go short if price faces resistance at 2150 on a rebound, target 2100-2082, stop-loss above 2156
Profit/loss target: $15–20
Note: The market is range-bound at low levels, with longs and shorts alternating. Focus on waiting for tonight's CPI data release; volatility will increase after the data comes out. Always use a stop-los
ETH-1.26%
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The U.S. October CPI report will be released on November 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET. September CPI came in at 3.7% year over year, and markets will be watching closely for signs that inflation is cooling, especially in core CPI. A softer-than-expected reading could strengthen rate-cut expectations, while hotter inflation may pressure risk assets through higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar. How do you think this CPI print will move $BTC, U.S. stocks and gold?

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