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On September 1, CME FedWatch showed a 66% probability of a Fed rate hike in September.
On September 4, the same tool showed 50.2%.
In three days, it fell 16 percentage points.
What happened?
Fed Governor Waller turned dovish.
Waller’s exact words: “If the inflation data released over the next two weeks continues to show cooling, I would lean toward supporting keeping rates unchanged in September.”
He even quoted John Lennon: “Give inflation a chance.”
Waller added a harsh line: “Even a 25-basis-point hike at a single meeting now wouldn’t bring CPI down to 2%.”
Just one week earlier, Fed Chair
ETH4.86%
SOL3.65%
BTC4.56%
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Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin will rebound on October 6, 2026.
Why this day? Because it is the 500th day before the halving.
BTC4.56%
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JUST IN: Alibaba Cloud’s Qianwen Office hits 30M users in 1 month with 120 updates and 1,000+ features; international version live and MyContext open-sourced, driving rapid iteration. Could signal strong enterprise AI tooling adoption. $ALI vs tech equities?
BABA0.00%
ALI1.91%
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#HYPE突破88美元创新高 On September 4, HYPE hit an all-time high of $88 and is currently trading in the $85-87 range, up 5-7% over 24 hours, with a market cap of approximately $20 billion. This is the third attempt to break into the $86-88 region since late August—after touching $86.71 on August 27, it pulled back due to pressure from the $1.2 billion token unlock, but has now finally broken above its previous high.

The real drivers behind this rally

This is not mere sentiment-driven speculation; there are three solid supports:

First, the AQAv2 buyback-and-burn mechanism has been implemented. Af
HYPE5.77%
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HighAmbition:
Diamond Hands 💎
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ChatGPT has released a new model, GPT-6, with usage resets every day before paid users can access it.
In other words, starting now, you can work on tasks intensively, and ChatGPT provides free resets. If you can, getting a Plus subscription is great, although Plus has a 5h limit. Pro is 7d, which is much more user-friendly; even 5x is the same.
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Bitcoin rose overnight, with the broader market surging directly to a high of 82300, again approaching the May high. This shows how strong the bulls are. As mentioned last week, the price dip was a bear trap to accumulate, and yesterday’s static post also noted that the price would rise and break out. As expected, the price reached the target directly. Nearly 3300 points of room
On the weekly chart, the price formed a large bullish candle, with small bearish candles followed by continued upward movement. The upper band is gradually moving higher, showing that the price is poised to move and ha
BTC4.56%
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The NFP data ignited the market, driving BTC sharply from 76151 to 80640, up nearly 6% in a single day and back above 80,000. The hourly MACD golden cross is expanding upward, while trading volume has increased significantly and bullish momentum is strong. However, 81000-81500 is the previous high resistance zone and the key resistance level for this rally. If it breaks through on strong volume, new highs can be expected; if it retreats under pressure, a double-top structure will form. Follow whichever side—bulls or bears—wins.
Keep a close eye on these two levels
Key level for going long: 800
BTC4.55%
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Friday Morning Market Updates
gate liveLIVE
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No big-picture thinking, can't hold on—the profits on this move were paper-thin, but I absolutely loved it 😂 When I checked the chart after lunch, $NIL 's rebound was limp, volume was getting thinner and thinner, and its push upward looked like a joke. The rebound was weak and smelled strongly of a bull trap, so I gave a short setup at 0.06426. Then I refreshed just now, and NIL was already at 0.04743, with +1261.27% in hand. From opening the position to taking profit, I timed the rhythm fairly well 🔥

Those in the front row, don't laugh yet—it's only real once it's in your pocket. I closed
NIL0.47%
SNDK1.06%
ZEC16.19%
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$BTC Signal】4H bullish pullback confirmation + 1H selling pressure release
$BTC Pullback to the EMA20 on the 1H timeframe, with the current price around 81154. The 4H lows continue to rise, and the bullish structure remains intact. RSI is 68.6 on 4H and 67.07 on 1H, showing high-level consolidation without overbought conditions. The 4H MACD histogram is 441, with bullish momentum contracting. The 1H MACD histogram is -85, indicating that short-term selling pressure is being released. Aggressive sell orders dominate the order book, with a clear depth imbalance. The funding rate is 0.0095%, OI
BTC4.55%
ETH4.86%
SOL3.65%
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What truly determines trade quality is not the rise or fall itself, but the position. Before opening this trade, I first confirmed that the range structure was still intact. Only after the upper boundary had been tested repeatedly did I assess whether it could be treated as a breakout.
The price-volume coordination during the final breakout of the range’s upper boundary was relatively clean, and the pullback did not fall back inside the range. I entered after confirming the key level around 0.01136. The position was not filled all at once, leaving room to add.
The price has now reached 0.01166
LAB5.60%
SNDK1.06%
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This midnight move has played out as expected.
Late at night, we clarified the market structure and direction of movement in advance, and the market has basically been moving at the pace we anticipated.
Many friends who followed the strategy steadily captured this round of gains.
To be honest, understanding the trend is not that difficult.
What truly creates the difference is whether you can act decisively when an opportunity is right in front of you.
Reading the market correctly is only the first step; only by aligning knowledge with action can analysis be turned into gains in hand.#BTC收复8万美元
BTC4.55%
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No action, no analysis, just sheer luck—this performance is embarrassing to even talk about. While everyone was still watching from the sidelines, $OKB held firm after the pullback. The market had not fully started moving yet, and funds were quietly entering, so I casually placed an order that happened to land at 89.13. The last thing I saw before bed was 109.75 already starting to push higher. Now +567.17% is secured—it was worth staying up. It was truly sluggish at first, but the result feels great. As for the position: I’ve taken 80% off the table, moved the stop-loss on the remaining 20%
OKB3.51%
LAB5.60%
SOL3.67%
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Bitcoin Returns to $80k—Is This a Rebound or a Reversal?
BTC has climbed back above $80k and is currently trading around $81k. But I don't think we should rush to declare that a "full-scale bull market has returned," because the real obstacles ahead have yet to be overcome.
From a fund-flow perspective, U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $301.6 million on September 3, following net inflows of $101.1 million the previous day, indicating that institutional funds are warming up again. However, inflows and outflows have continued to fluctuate recently, so it is too early to c
BTC4.56%
GLDX1.87%
NAS1000.28%
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🏎️ Red Bull Trading Tour · Phase 6 is now live
Trade to climb the rankings and split the 60,000 GT prize pool! Win F1 race tickets
Complete multiple types of tasks and claim GT airdrops with no threshold!
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#RedBull #GateRedBullRacingTour #F1 Grand Prix.
GT6.95%
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Crypto_Buzz_with_Alex:
Amazing
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Recent indicators from the US employment market point to a critical turning point for the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy decisions ahead of the September FOMC meeting. US ADP private sector employment increased by only 38,000 in August, marking the weakest growth performance since January. This weak signal, following the surprising negative employment data in July, has caused markets to focus directly on the upcoming August Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Consensus Expectations and Cooling in the Employment Market
Market consensus anticipates a limited increase of approximately 55,000
XAU0.81%
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HighAmbition:
To The Moon 🌕
guess we staying in today
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Make a little progress every day and keep generating profits.
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CrossChainPostman:
The power of compounding really works in the crypto market, but the key is keeping drawdowns under control—otherwise, all those small gains will be given back.
Taking profit is the safest gift—and I’ve taken profit yet again and again and again.
Following clear-thinking people who are on the right track means taking fewer wrong turns. Market opportunities are never in short supply, but reliable directions are hard to come by. $BTC #BTC收复8万美元
BTC4.56%
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