Tongge’s BTC Outlook for 8.12
$BTC Enter a short near 642-646, stop-loss at 650, first target 632, second target 628.
Current price: 63758. Overnight, it dipped to 63211 before quickly bouncing back. This wick shows that there is indeed buying interest below, but don’t rush to call a bottom—the rebound does not mean a reversal; it only means someone picked up a bargain.
The structure remains the same: pressure is weighing on the upside, while the lows below have support, but each rebound high is lower than the last, and the center of gravity is still sliding downward. The bulls are only defend

A whale withdrew 9,000 ETH (approximately $16.87 million) from Gemini again today. Over the past month, the wallet has withdrawn approximately 121k ETH (approximately $227 million) in total, transferred it to self-custody, and staked most of its holdings.

Crypto market sectors broadly pulled back, with the NFT sector down 25.62% over 24 hours. Audiera (BEAT) fell sharply by 55.02%. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 1.85%, falling below $65k; Ethereum (ETH) declined 2.44%, falling below $1,900.

The Fed’s September rate hike expectations face renewed uncertainty. July nonfarm payrolls fell short of expectations, prompting the market to reprice the rate path:
Weaker employment weighs on the probability of a rate hike in the short term, benefiting BTC; however, recession concerns may create potential pressure.
The current market has entered a volatile phase of tug-of-war between bulls and bears, making a sustained one-way trend difficult.
Going forward, focus on August CPI, Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting, and real U.S. Treasury yields.
Rate hike expectations continue

🟠 BTC/USDT | Patience Before the Next Move
Bitcoin remains around the mid-$60K area, while recent spot Bitcoin ETF flows have provided a constructive backdrop. U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded about $853.5M in net inflows for the week ending Aug. 7, the strongest weekly inflow in that period. �
CoinDesk
But strong flows don't mean price must go straight up.
📊 What I'm watching today:
Key support holding
Resistance and breakout confirmation
Volume behind any move
Whether momentum can continue without a sharp rejection
The lesson: bullish sentiment is useful information, not a reason to chase.
🎯 W

8.12 Gold Morning Analysis
After surging to 4435, gold prices are consolidating at high levels, with the current price at 4390. The broader bullish trend remains intact, representing a short-term consolidation after the rise. Tonight’s CPI will bring significant market volatility.
There is short-term demand for a pullback, but the 4-hour upward structure remains intact, with no reversal signals for now. Volatility will intensify as the data release approaches, so be sure to trade with light positions and strictly use stop-losses.
Establish long positions on a pullback to 4350–4360, with target

Early Morning ETH Outlook
Operation:
Short around 1895-1910
First target: 1880-1850
Second target: 1830-1800
Set a stop-loss
ETH is hugging the upper Bollinger Band, with the rebound losing volume and momentum, while the MACD red histogram is weak, indicating insufficient bullish momentum. The Bollinger Bands have contracted extremely tightly, and a trend-change window is approaching. RSI is nearing overbought territory, limiting the upside. In terms of operations, patiently wait for signs of a stalled rise before cautiously opening a small short position, set defense above the previous high,

Key financial data and events on Wednesday, August 12!

Wake up, review
Keep going—small amounts of capital can grow big

Today's battle plan:
1890-1900 marks the lower boundary of the previous consolidation zone and a psychological level; a high-volume breakout would confirm the bulls.
1883 belongs to the “observation zone.”
1870-1875: if price pulls back and stabilizes, it is a signal worth watching.
A high-volume break below 1860 would mean stabilization has failed and the bearish structure has returned.
Yesterday's battle report: sold into buy orders at 1892.
Today's observation: the structure is recovering; the key is not whether prices rise or fall.
“Keep to your role; the virtuous win people over.”—“Stay i

#ExportsSurgeSamsungUp4%
South Korea just delivered one of the clearest real-world confirmations that the AI hardware cycle is still accelerating.
Semiconductor exports surged 155.4% year-on-year to $9.95 billion during August 1–10, reaching a record for the period. Total South Korean exports also jumped 45.3% to $21.29 billion, meaning chips alone accounted for roughly 47% of all exports during the first 10 days of the month.
That is the part markets should pay attention to.
This is not an AI narrative based only on projections or stock-market valuations. These are physical semiconductor shi

This BEAT chart is no longer a candlestick chart—it’s my blood pressure report.
My heart races when it rises, and my blood pressure spikes when it falls.
After trading crypto for so many years, this is the first time I’ve felt like my phone is about to become a medical device.😂

Long key levels (rebound resistance): 64300-64500; touching this range means handing money to the bears
Short key levels: 63500-63600; a break below will accelerate the decline directly, targeting 62800-62200
BTC pulled back after surging to 65800 and has continued grinding lower, now at 63834, breaking below the key 64000 support. The 4-hour chart shows a surge followed by a pullback, with continued bearish candles and the MACD dead cross formed. Wednesday’s CPI will be the final judge, but the technicals have already capitulated. A rebound is simply handing the bears fresh victims.
① The 4-h

$XAG
Should have juice to push till $72+
Not sure it's the full moon mission yet though
I think metals not dumping while oil bouncing is a new regime vs what we witnessed since the beginning of the war in Iran.

In August 2026, a major event occurred in the futures industry—Guolian Futures, Cinda Futures, Yide Futures, Zhongyuan Futures, Hongta Futures, and many other companies successively issued announcements declaring the termination of their futures intermediary business cooperation with all intermediaries.
Meanwhile, data from the official website of the China Futures Association shows that only 36 futures intermediaries have currently completed system registration, scattered across 15 small and medium-sized futures companies. At the peak, this figure exceeded 40k.
According to the “Administrativ

8.12 Lu Hong Gold Strategy
This pullback is merely a shakeout correction within the uptrend and has not completely reversed the broader bullish structure. Do not assume the market has turned bearish just because of a brief pullback; after support stabilized, rebound strength has gradually emerged.
The intraday outlook remains bullish on pullbacks
If the 4370–4360 range stabilizes on a pullback, consider entering long positions
The short-term target is first the 4400 level
A sustained breakout would point toward 4440
Place the protective stop-loss below 4355
The initial resistance above is arou

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