The Final Chapter of the Bitcoin Bear Market: A Data-Driven Breakdown
【Plain-Language Intro】On-chain data indicates that Bitcoin has entered the late stage of the bear market. The historical high concentration of holdings among long-term holders reached 84%, and the near end of short-term capitulation shows the market is shifting from “pain” to “accumulation.”
Although a bottoming framework is starting to take shape, key momentum and institutional capital flows have not yet broken through resistance; in the short term, downside risk still needs to be watched closely, and a full recovery will t

$BTC Signal | 1H buy order gap + 4H bearish bias, short-term short game
$BTC 1H buy order density drops sharply, depth imbalance -78.99%, with sell-side orders far exceeding the buy side. The 4H MACD histogram bars keep shrinking, and rebounds lack strength. Price is stuck between EMA20 and EMA50, repeatedly rubbing back and forth, with no funds for a proactive push.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry/limit order: 63976.100
🛑Stop loss: 64615.861
🚀Target 1: 63016.459
🚀Target 2: 62536.638
🛡️Trade management:
- Strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce the position by 50% and move the stop loss up to

📈$ETH ‌The shakeout is over! The violent spike needle at 1855 can’t break the previous low— the third consolidation zone has stored energy and will go straight for 1980!
Yesterday, eth made a violent spike needle: a four-hour support at 1855, then it reopened a violent rally. Judging from the rally’s magnitude, it’s visible that the main players have started coming in to go long again. And 1855 still hasn’t broken the last four-hour low at 1846. Most likely, it’s building the third four-hour consolidation zone and then going to break 1980. If you haven’t entered yet, you need to be patient a

【$BULLA Signal】Going long + 1H capital flow push into the final leg
$BULLARSI surged to 90.7, and the 4H upper Bollinger band at 0.0192 is under pressure. The MACD histogram bars have shortened for 3 consecutive candles—signs of momentum decay are already visible. The depth of sell-side orders is down 21%, and the buyer’s willingness to absorb is weakening. The bulls are actively pushing forward, but the pace is slowing; the current price 0.018948 is right along the top edge of the entry range.
🎯 Direction: long
⚡ Entry / Pending orders: 0.01889116 - 0.01894800
🛑 Stop loss: 0.01875852
🚀 Ta

260729 Bitcoin is trending on the weekly line 2; there’s a 12-hour “outflow” risk. On higher timeframes, the larger-scale long trend is still dominant, so long positions are the main focus. For the short term, don’t trade without a stop loss—don’t place trades without a stop loss!
BTC resistance levels: 65065 / 66216 / 67111
BTC support levels: 62765 / 61614 / 60719
ETH resistance levels: 1957 / 1991 / 2018
ETH support levels: 1887 / 1853 / 1826
Put the stop loss slightly after the third price. Intraday trades should not exceed 5% of the position size. Live times: 1, 3, 5 afternoons

Ondo has been charting the path of making RWA on-chain for two years
Now they’re moving on—private high-speed transaction networks are more reliable
This isn’t a small team turning around
Ondo is the biggest banner in the RWA narrative
BlackRock’s BUIDL followed their route
They found something
Real institutional trading doesn’t care about decentralization
What they want is speed, privacy, and certainty
Blockchain can’t deliver all three
What’s interesting is that BlackRock and Fidelity just co-backed the Clarity Act
One side is legislating to push compliance; on the other,

What caught my attention was the detail where things started to change. The price is still hovering near a high level, but after multiple breakouts, the move hasn’t followed through; selling pressure has gradually become apparent. This kind of condition is often more worth watching than a simple drop.

After confirming that the momentum has weakened, I executed a long at 65034.0—I didn’t chase the trade into key levels. Now the price is back at 63695.1, which corresponds to +359.17%, and it has also validated my earlier judgment.

I’ve always put a high value on patience in short positions:

#晒出我的持仓收益 Can I get 1863?

$SOL Signal: Bearish rebounds lack momentum; the 4H mid-band is suppressing
$SOL 74.06 is consolidating sideways. The 1H MACD forms a golden cross on declining volume; the 4H Bollinger mid-band at 74.91 forms a strong resistance. The funding rate is 0.0042% with no anomaly; the order book shows heavier sell pressure at -2.73%. Upside rebound is limited, and the bearish structure has not been broken.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry/Order: 74.00
🛑Stop-loss: 74.8006
🚀Target 1: 72.9491
🚀Target 2: 72.3937
🛡️Trade management:
- Strategy execution: After reaching Target 1, cut position by 50% and move

7/29 Strategy:
On the BTC 4-hour chart, a high-volume large bearish candle appeared early yesterday morning. After that, the price found support around 63,350 and attempted a rebound. Recently, the last several 4-hour K-lines have been small real bodies, indicating insufficient rebound momentum and that the market is in hesitation.
DIF and DEA are both below the zero axis, and the DIF line is running below the DEA line. The MACD histogram is negative, so the overall trend is bearish. The negative MACD histogram values have somewhat converged, suggesting that short-term downside momentum is wea

#BitmineHolds5.78METH
This development is noteworthy for Ethereum because the amount of ETH held by a single public company has begun to take on systemic significance.
Key highlights:
Total holdings: Bitmine holds 5,787,414 ETH. Valued at approximately $11.3 billion, this amount represents about 4.8% of Ethereum's circulating supply.
Close to the target: The company's stated goal of owning 5% of the global ETH supply is nearly realized.
Staking ratio: Approximately 4.91 million ETH (85% of the total) is staked via the MAVAN validator network.
Staking revenue: These staked assets reportedly ge

ETH is currently around 1,916 u. Today it’s up 1.3%. After yesterday’s failed attempt to spike higher, it didn’t keep sliding all the way down. Today it has once again reclaimed the level above 1,900.
On a weekly basis it’s basically flat—down just 0.7%. The one-month gain is still expanding, now up to 22%. The strength on the monthly chart still hasn’t been genuinely broken. The 24-hour high is 1,925 and the low is 1,861. Today saw a drop first and then a rise, and it has partially made back yesterday’s losses.
In the earlier move, it touched 1,974 and then got slammed back down. This time, b

$KLAC Even with the same 1000U, the outcomes are worlds apart—some people bottom-fish and profit, while others chase higher and lose everything! Today, we’re going to go at it directly with data.
Bears vs Bulls: KLAC is down 13.73% in 24h, with trading volume of $3.6M, the low at 167.96—total bear domination, with 170 smashed through without hesitation. The bulls struggled and bounced to 201.88, but were immediately hammered back to 173.8—utterly weak.
The key duel: the high at 201.88 vs the current price at 173.8, a drop of 14% like a slap in the face. Trading volume is $3.6M, and there’s a c

The Federal Reserve meeting is coming tomorrow.
Prices are rising ahead of the Fed. The last time we saw a similar situation, the price formed a lower high and then crashed by -14%.
This time, I also expect something similar to happen.
A rise before the meeting > forms a lower high > drops to 60-62k.
Catching the liquidity below is only a matter of time.
$BTC $GT $ETH

Wanxin has already cashed out this morning, and has now received 20 picks. #黄金

【$DEXE Signal】Short squeeze hunt: 1H rebound meets resistance + 4H Bollinger mid-band suppression
$DEXE RSI 1h 47.91 is stuck below the central axis, and the MACD 1h histogram is still in negative territory. The 4H Bollinger mid-band at 3.192 forms strong resistance. The price rebounded to 3.007, with noticeably shrinking volume—buyers lack the strength to push it higher. Depth ratio 0.99 is close to balance, but the sell-side order slope is sharply increasing.
🎯 Direction: Short
⚡ Entry / limit orders: Short directly in the 2.99798 - 3.00700 range
🛑 Stop loss: 3.03707
🚀 Target 1: 2.961

July 29 morning: BTC analysis
After BTC bottomed out at 62,700, it saw a rebound, rising to a peak of 64,179. However, upward momentum then weakened, and the price gradually fell. The current trend is choppy, with clear overhead pressure. Support below is holding things up, so it is unlikely to see a one-way move in the short term.
Market back-and-forth trading is intense, with large swings. The current price is around the middle of 63,690. There are heavy resistances above at 63,800–64,000, while short-term support sits below at 63,500.
Short-term strategy: watch whether the price can rebound

European banks launch RL1, a member-owned blockchain cooperative backed by major institutions like ABN AMRO, DekaBank, and Natixis CIB. Potential tailwinds for interoperable rails across Europe’s financial ecosystem. $XRP ? (Note: avoid unfounded ticker unless clearly relevant)