This morning’s top story in Maharashtra is the same old drama between the Shinde and Thackeray camps. Uddhav’s camp keeps talking tough, while Shinde remains firmly in the chief minister’s seat. After covering the news for so long, I’ve learned that position sizing always matters more than calling the direction—and politics is no different. Whoever loses their cool first loses. What are you seeing on your end? I’m watching just one thing: who ultimately gets stuck with the bill for the monsoon subsidy and CJP.

Damn, 10 days and only 5k
How am I supposed to grind this

$TIA has entered oversold territory, but 1-hour trading participation is only 0.28x, which looks somewhat weak. Price is already approaching the 1-hour resistance at 0.769, but whether it can truly break through and hold remains to be seen. This looks more like a tentative breakout than a genuine hold.
My view is that rebound demand has emerged, but until the structure stops weakening, I won't treat oversold conditions as a bottom. A sharp decline only shows that selling pressure has occurred; it doesn't automatically mean the price is cheap, much less prove that buyers are actually defending

My favorite coffees are from Thailand’s First Officer Coffee Roasters and Graph, and whenever I go to Chiang Mai, I always make sure to leave room in my suitcase for two bags of coffee beans
The coffee I usually drink☕️ generally comes from Colombia, Costa Rica, or Ethiopia. These regions are very established. You can’t say their coffee is bad, but the flavor is simply the kind you can expect.
Many of the beans sold in Chiang Mai come from Chiang Rai. You can sense their aroma before even taking a sip: fresh, delicate, with a hint of mountain fruitiness. They have layers without being overpowe

Sentiment Shift: Is Returning "Greed" Fueling the Next Leg Up, or Is the Market Overheating?
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has shifted back into the Greed zone as risk appetite improves across the market. With $BTC , $ETH , and other major assets showing signs of strength, market sentiment is recovering quickly. This raises a crucial question: will this greed fuel the next leg higher, or is the market starting to overheat?
Rather than relying on emotions, let's break down the current technical picture for BTC and ETH based on recent price action.
📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis
Looking at the dai

The base Discord roles were for aesthetics

More bearish on #BTC than before, slightly bearish on U.S. stocks in the medium term. More bullish on AI applications. How will hyper be regulated in the U.S. in the future: a Uniswap-style exemption or onshore CEX regulation?
✖️Jin Ming’s latest interview: In the AI era, how can ordinary people place their bets?

gm frens
let's touch grass today, who's coming?

$TIA TIA just plunged to 0.6273, down 14% in 24 hours, with 277M in trading volume—nothing but blood-soaked chips.
On-chain data is even more direct: Over the past 6 hours, three whale addresses (0x7a3f…9c2e, 0x1b8d…4f6a, 0x9e2c…7d1b) transferred a total of around 4.2 million TIA to exchanges, worth more than $2.6 million at current prices. WhaleAlerts flagged one as an early institutional unlock address. The last time it did this was 3 weeks ago, and the token price fell 9% the following day. Glassnode shows net exchange inflows hitting their highest level in nearly 30 days, while whales' sha

$GTC The compensation is pretty good for me.
No need to stay too long. If you followed all the way, congratulations. Profit: $479 This is my watchlist for today: $EPI and $BR .

A few days ago, over dinner in Singapore, we were also talking about the period from mid-June to early July. Every Saturday and Sunday, crypto-stock contracts would trade at a 10% discount, making arbitrage very easy.
Unexpectedly, it happened again this morning, but unfortunately I was asleep at 5 a.m.
Crypto-stock contracts have no pricing power, and apparently no market maker is willing to make markets in them either. The lack of liquidity is why this kind of opportunity appears

#美国9月PPI大超预期 The “data vacuum” is approaching. How will gold and silver prices move?
Recently, gold and silver prices rebounded somewhat after a downturn, showing signs of stabilizing. Wang Weimang, an analyst at Zhonghui Futures, told Futures Daily that the rebound in gold and silver prices was driven by interest rates and safe-haven demand.
“The rapid decline in long-term U.S. Treasury yields was the direct driver of the rebound in gold and silver prices,” Wang Weimang said. Against the backdrop of U.S. September inflation data exceeding expectations, AI technology stocks faced a global sell

A journalist was beaten in the West Bank, and Trump said he was “concerned.” That’s it? One expression of concern in response to life-threatening violence—anyone could say that. What really matters is whether there’s any action afterward, or whether this gets swept aside after another statement. The pattern is: the softer the words, the easier it is for the incident to blow over. Save this assessment, and come back tomorrow to see if it holds up.

What exactly is the probability of a rate hike in October? I looked at three data sources and found a huge discrepancy
Before Warsh's speech, I spent an hour comparing how different data sources priced the probability of a rate hike in October, and found the differences were unbelievably large.
CME FedWatch shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in October jumped from around 21% before the CPI release to 43.7%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged fell from 78.3% to 56.3%. Another source shows that the market sees the probability of a rate hike this month as close to

In China, any highly profitable venture is covered by the Criminal Law.

#沃什IMF讲话 #每周来晒 The core of Warsh’s IMF remarks wasn’t that he was dovish or hawkish, but that he refused to signal either direction. Markets interpreted them in the short term as meaning “the probability of an October rate hike has fallen,” but the real impact is that the Fed’s rate path will be harder to predict going forward.
To be clear about the context: this was a fireside chat at the IMF/World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok on October 16. Warsh repeatedly emphasized that he wouldn’t prejudge rate decisions or say in advance what the Fed would do at the remaining meetings this year. The

#WarshIMFSpeech 🌍📢 Warsh’s IMF Speech: Global Markets on Alert! 📊
All eyes are on Kevin Warsh as investors look for insights into inflation, interest rates, global economic growth, and financial stability. 🏦📈
His remarks could influence market sentiment across stocks, bonds, and crypto as traders assess the potential impact on the global economy. ₿💹
👀 The big question: Will the latest signals bring optimism to the markets or create fresh uncertainty?
Stay informed, follow the economic trends, and make decisions based on research—not emotions! 🚀

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