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The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points yesterday—the shoe has dropped
Gold fell, U.S. stocks fell, but crypto held up
The CLARITY Act didn't pass, but BTC didn't fall
The Fed raised rates, and BTC still didn't fall
Will this cycle's low be $75,000? What do you all think? Feel free to discuss in the comments 😁
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Walsh hikes rates, forced to go head-to-head with Trump!
First rate hike in three years, approved unanimously with all 12 votes.
The federal funds rate rose from 3.50%–3.75% to 3.75%–4.00%. The first move since July 2023.
Walsh’s statement was brief and forceful, just over a hundred words.
The economy was described in very strong terms: steady growth, resilient domestic demand, strong productivity, robust capital spending, employment keeping pace, and an unemployment rate that has barely moved. Then came the line that killed all fantasies: inflation remains elevated.
Today’s move is intended t
The Senate Closes Its Doors, the House Opens a Window: U.S. Crypto Legislation Is Shifting Gears
On September 15, the CLARITY Act went down in the Senate by 49:50. On Polymarket, its probability of becoming law this year plunged from above 30% straight to 5%.
Bitcoin immediately fell to around $75k, Coinbase dropped 6%, and Circle, Robinhood, and MicroStrategy were dragged down together.
Everyone thought U.S. crypto legislation was dead.
But within 24 hours, two House committees did two things—
On September 16, the Ways and Means Committee passed the Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act by 38:5.
On
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COIN-4.42%
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$ARB is trading near $0.16568, up 10.62%. The strong percentage move suggests buyers are stepping in aggressively. A sustained hold above the current zone could keep momentum alive, while rejection and a move back below support would signal caution.
Bias: Bullish 📈 | Key level: $0.16568
#BTCDrops3.3% #ArcEcosystemAndMemeCoinsPlunge #FedHikes25bpsForFirstTimeIn3Years #GateTrenchesExclusive0GasTrading# #OpenAISeeks1.2TrillionValuationBeforeIPO #WhereToParkStablecoinsWhileWaiting
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ARB+6.86%
After $PONS surged to 0.6254, I instead took profit on 70% first. It’s not that I’m bearish, but this level is right around the prior high, a key resistance area, making the risk/reward of chasing lower. The move up from 0.6155 formed a breakout-pullback-breakout structure, with each pullback holding at a higher key level and volume expanding on the breakout.

The key levels are clear now: the prior high is the first key level. After a breakout, only a low-volume pullback that holds the upper boundary would create a new entry setup; if it merely breaks upward and then falls back, it could be
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#FedHikes25bpsForFirstTimeIn3Years The U.S. Federal Reserve has raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, marking its first rate hike since July 2023. The federal funds target range now stands at 3.75%–4.00%, with the decision approved unanimously by the FOMC.
🔥 Why does this matter for markets?
The decision comes as inflation remains elevated, while U.S. economic activity continues to expand. The Fed highlighted resilient domestic spending, strong productivity growth and robust capital investment, while also noting elevated uncertainty linked partly to geopolitical developments.
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Market updates
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$ETH Signal】Short · 1H upper-band resistance/sell-side depth imbalance
$ETH The 1H price is pressing against the upper band, with the current price at 2422.99, the Bollinger upper band at 2422.49, and sell-side depth imbalance at -70.13%.
The 4H EMA20 at 2443.28 and EMA50 at 2464.87 are exerting overhead pressure. The 1H MACD histogram is expanding at +4.7314, while the 4H histogram is contracting at -3.6185, creating a divergence between the short-term rebound and the medium-term bearish alignment. RSI is 42.97 on the 4H and 55.47 on the 1H, with momentum near the midpoint. The order book bi
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BTC+0.63%
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morning market update btc
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The total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $15.42 billion, with the ETF net asset ratio (market value as a percentage of Ethereum’s total market capitalization) reaching 5.25%; cumulative historical net inflows have reached $13.37 billion.
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The Fed kept it short, but the message was loud.
Kevin Warsh’s post-FOMC press conference lasted just 28–30 minutes, reportedly the shortest since regular Fed press conferences began in 2011.
Yet the brevity didn’t come with a dovish pivot.
The Fed raised rates 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, while Warsh made it clear that inflation is still running too high and recent data haven’t provided enough evidence of a meaningful improvement in underlying price pressures.
And when it comes to the next move, the Fed is keeping its cards close.
No predetermined path.
No promise of another hike.
No promise of a c
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9.17 ETH: Open a light short around 2450, with targets at 2400/2350.
Those looking to go long can open a light long around 2370, with 2330 as the defense level and targets at 2450/2500.
ETH’s 1H chart fell all the way from 2666, hitting a low of 2357 before beginning to recover. It is currently rebounding around 2430.
However, 2450–2480 above remains resistance, with multiple moving averages entangled, so the trend has not fully turned bullish yet.
Last night, the Fed raised rates by 25bp and signaled that it would continue tightening, compounded by the setback for CLARITY.
With tensions in th
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ETH+1.16%
As multi-chain trading volumes peak during the **#GateMeme** event, **Pons ($PONS )** reinforces its position as the ultimate high-utility, high-upside asset. Operating as the primary platform utility and meme launchpad engine on the Robinhood Chain ecosystem, $PONS combines viral retail momentum with structural protocol demand.
📊 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐌𝐞𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐬
• Current Price: ~$0.6327
• Market Capitalization: ~$451.39 Million
• 24H Trading Volume: ~$138.35 Million
• Circulating Supply: ~712.10 Million PONS
• Primary Chain: Robinhood Chain (1 Ranked Meme Launchpad Asset)
• Market Bias: Strongly Bulli
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#FedHikes25bpsForFirstTimeIn3Years
The Fed just changed the market conversation.
On September 16, the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, marking its first rate hike since July 2023. The decision was unanimous, 12–0. But for me, the bigger story is not the 25 bps itself. It is the message behind the move: the Fed is still uncomfortable with inflation and is willing to keep financial conditions tight for longer.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh made that message even clearer after the decision, saying inflation is still too high and that recent readings have not shown enough
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$ZEC 🔥ZEC whale’s short position was completely wiped out!
Before the interest rate decision, this whale opened a $10 million short on ZEC with 10x leverage. Just three hours later, the market surged, liquidating the entire position and causing a loss of nearly $900,000. This is clearly a short-trap market, so don’t open shorts recklessly. The next target could reach 1500.⬇️
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The total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $15.42B, with the ETF net asset ratio (market capitalization as a percentage of Ethereum’s total market capitalization) reaching 5.25%; historical cumulative net inflows have reached $13.37B.
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The Fed has just delivered a 25-basis-point rate hike, lifting the target range to 3.75%‑4.00%. This also marks the resumption of rate hikes after 2023, with further tightening still being signaled.
Just a few hours after the decision, Trump publicly called on social media for U.S. interest rates to be quickly lowered to 1% or even below!
Based on the lower bound of the current rate range, the two sides differ by a full 275 basis points.
On one side, the Fed is still prioritizing the fight against inflation and leaning toward further tightening; on the other, the White House is urging immediat
BTC+0.63%
Why did everything go to zero after waking up from Arc?
Now I’m scared whenever I see Indians.
Returning to BSC.
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Woke up to find that all the tokens on ARC smell like curry
I absolutely won't participate in Indian projects!
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Last night’s move was entirely expected. I also mentioned during yesterday’s livestream that it was a combination of macro events and technical-level shakeout. Before the announcement, the market had already priced in a rate-hike probability as high as 92%, so it did not trigger panic. Large funds had already started seeking safety well in advance. Last night, the market formed precise long upper and lower wicks at key levels. I’ve said before that this kind of data-driven market action is most likely to trigger such wicks, much like the previous CPI release. I did not place any trades immedia
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