During the 9.14–9.20 period, the market was not optimistic about Ethereum surging to 2700; compared with a deep drop to 2200, the market was more concerned about first testing the 2300 level.
Although the overall probability of falling below 2300 was only 16%, it was already the most-traded scenario among the three, indicating some concern about a pullback, with no overwhelming consensus among bulls.

The long-short battle for Solana in September is intense. The probability of falling below 90 has a slight edge, with the probability of surging to 110 close behind; the two are almost evenly matched.
The market is not optimistic about a move to 120 this month; this scenario is a low-probability, high-odds event.
This means September has two equally likely scenarios: testing 110 to the upside or pulling back to 90 to the downside, with a high degree of uncertainty over the direction.

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After $PONS surged to 0.7579, I instead took 70% off first. It’s not that I’m bearish; this level is right at the key prior-high resistance, making it less cost-effective to keep chasing. The move up from 0.6155 formed a breakout-pullback-breakout structure, with each pullback holding at a higher key level and volume expanding on the breakouts.

The key levels are clear now: the prior high is the first key level. After the breakout, only a pullback on declining volume that holds the upper boundary would provide a new entry setup; if it merely pushes up and then falls back, it could be a fake

The tug-of-war between Solana bulls and bears will be intense in September. The probability of falling below 90 has a slight edge, followed closely by the probability of surging to 110; the two are nearly even.
The market is not optimistic about a push to 120 this month; that scenario is a low-probability, high-payoff event.
This means September has two scenarios of comparable magnitude: testing 110 to the upside or retesting 90 to the downside, with a high degree of uncertainty over the direction.

9.18 BTC Analysis
On the one-hour BTC timeframe, after rapidly dipping to establish a low at 74887, BTC staged a technical rebound. The current price is consolidating around the Bollinger middle band, while the Bollinger Bands continue to narrow and volatility remains compressed, forming a typical bearish continuation consolidation pattern. Buying pressure in the order book has a slight edge, but no incremental capital has entered the market, with only existing funds competing, so the rebound’s sustainability is questionable. Combined with potential negative pressure from external policy event

ZEC’s four-hour trend is exceptionally clear, forming a classic staircase pattern, with each bottom support level higher than the last and the price rising step by step. Major funds are pushing it upward incrementally, and every pullback during the shakeout has held above the previous low, showing strong buying support below.
The Bollinger Bands have opened up like a trumpet, with price flying along the ceiling, and the bulls are unstoppable. After an earlier period of sideways consolidation and position shakeout, the buildup ended with consecutive large bullish candles surging upward, strongl

Gold Midday Session | After Breaking Below 4350, First Watch Whether 4334 Can Hold
After gold broke below 4350 in the morning, it quickly moved lower, reaching a low near 4334. It is currently still consolidating weakly.
Focus on three levels this afternoon:
🔴 4350—4356: Rebound resistance
🔵 4334: Short-term key level
🟢 4323—4300: Key support below
Maintain a bearish bias before 4350 is reclaimed;
If 4334 breaks, watch 4323 next;
Only consider opportunities at lower levels after 4323—4300 stabilizes.
Do not chase in the middle; wait for the price to reach key levels.
See the chart for the c

After $AKE surged to 0.0214026, I actually took profits on 70% first. It’s not that I’m bearish, but this level is right at the key prior-high resistance, making it less cost-effective to keep chasing. The move up from 0.0177255 formed a breakout-retest-breakout structure, with each pullback holding at a higher key level and volume expanding on the breakouts.

The key levels are clear now: the prior high is the first key level. If, after breaking through, price can retest on declining volume and hold the upper boundary, that would establish a new entry setup; if it merely pushes up and then f

$牛来 on-chain data anomaly: Slight buying by the bulls can push the price up, indicating that the bears are weak. A takeoff is highly likely. What is needed now is hype. The weekend is almost here. Bulls, charge!!!!

Another god-tier call!! Yesterday’s overnight ETH and BTC longs were once again entered and exited at the wick tips: ETH long at 2438, first take-profit at 2481 with a wick-top exit; BTC long at 76350, first take-profit taken around 77100.

#SEC批准代币化股票有限链上交易 The US SEC Launches a Tokenization “Innovation Exemption”: The Gate to On-Chain Stock Trading Opens, but a DeFi Frenzy Is Still Premature
The benefits brought by the innovation exemption are not evenly distributed. Projects across different sectors are clearly divided, ranging from direct beneficiaries and indirect beneficiaries to those essentially unaffected—and even those whose business models come under pressure.
First tier: Direct beneficiaries gain a compliant entry ticket to the US market1. Uniswap v4 and AMM protocols that support permissioned pools. This is the secto

After $ARB surged to 0.22346, I instead took 70% off first. It’s not that I’m bearish; this level is right at a key prior-high resistance, making further chasing less attractive. The move up from 0.13354 has formed a breakout–pullback–breakout structure, with each pullback holding at a higher key level, while volume expanded on the breakouts.
The key levels are clear now: the prior high is the first key level. After the breakout, a low-volume pullback that holds the upper boundary would establish a new entry setup; if it simply surges above and then falls back, it could be a false breakout. I’

$XRP Key levels: 1.31583 above (upper Bollinger Band) is the bull-bear dividing line, while 1.30173 below (MA20) is the last line of defense.
The current $XRP price of 1.3263 has risen above the upper Bollinger Band at 1.31583. MA5=1.30698 has crossed above MA20=1.30173, maintaining a bullish alignment, while the MACD histogram at +0.002247 remains positive and the trend is intact. However, RSI has reached 67.5, approaching overbought territory, and the price is trading outside the Bollinger Bands, indicating a short-term pullback may be needed. The amplitude over 30 candles is only 3.7%, wit

9.18 Market Trend Analysis
ETH (“Two-Pancake”) Silk Road Reference Setup
Pullback range: around 2440–2456 — “Kongduo” (original term; meaning unclear)
“Zhisun” (original term; meaning unclear): above 2420
First target: 2490; second target: 2520
In the chart, ETH retreated after previously surging to 2484, then rebounded with a bullish candle after pulling back to moving-average support. The short-term moving averages are turning upward to provide support, while the MACD green bars below are gradually contracting, indicating weakening bearish momentum. This is a corrective rebound pattern

PONS inverse head-and-shoulders breakout pattern, second-wave recovery begins~

The offshore yuan against the U.S. dollar has officially strengthened past the 6.7 level, hitting a new high since early 2023.
China’s export trade surplus reached approximately $119 billion last month alone. After receiving U.S. dollars, export companies continuously sell them back for yuan to pay wages, purchase raw materials, pay taxes, and meet other needs. AI semiconductors, servers, new energy vehicles, and batteries made major contributions.
The over-the-counter dollar stablecoin USDT has now fallen to 6.65 yuan.

JUST IN: Bankless co-founder argues NEAR is a generalized version of Zcash, extending privacy beyond funds to commercial activities. This framing could influence privacy-themed debates around $NEAR.