#美伊谈判出现新进展 This oil-price rebound may continue for a while, but it looks more like a recovery than a trend reversal.
Most of the decline in oil prices reflects the war-risk premium coming out; a ceasefire and the resumption of shipping have yet to materialize.
Why the respite may continue
US-Iran talks have made progress, and the US says renewed war is “extremely unlikely.” Brent has fallen from $107 to around $92.
Inflationary pressure has eased, and the market is less worried about Fed rate hikes.
US stocks and A-share tech stocks are both rising, while the fear index has fallen by about 20