#FedSeptemberMinutesLeanHawkish
‍#ShareWeekly #每周来晒 #美联储9月纪要偏鹰 $BTC
GM ☕ Six days to CPI. Instead of one big take, I'm laying out the next three weeks as a countdown, because the Fed story has a calendar, and so does my plan.
Where the Fed stands today
The Fed hiked by 25bp in September to 3.75%-4.00%, and nobody voted against it. The minutes confirmed the rest: most officials think one more hike by year-end would likely be appropriate, but they want data first and saw no rush for October. Traders agree with that, October odds are under 20%, while a hike by year-end is priced as very likely.

Trump Media’s 4,260 BTC flagged as whale, bullish on $BTC
Trump Media Group has been flagged as a $BTC whale, with 4,260 BTC sitting on-chain, but the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is holding at 5.3%, and the macro hand is still pressing down. I’m bullish at this level.

The market really can’t be pushed down, at -1.5% over 24h. After the event, it pulled back from 82,729.62 to 82,952.31, rebounding only +0.27%. This is a recovery during a high-level retreat, and the outlook is bullish across multiple timeframes.

There are three reasons. First, the daily RSI is 53.0, with no overbought condit

I took a lap around the first floor of Singapore TOKEN2049
Ended up with a bunch of project merch in hand🤣
I think this Oncoin bag is pretty nice
The color scheme and design are quite distinctive
What weird merch did everyone get at TOKEN2049🤣

🔥 What are we talking about today? Gate Square’s trending topics have been updated!
🔹 The Fed’s September minutes were hawkish, and another rate hike this year remains possible! With high-rate expectations returning, how will $BTC and U.S. stocks perform?
🔹 Samsung’s Q3 operating profit surged 782.5%! With AI and memory demand continuing to explode, how much further can the semiconductor cycle go?
🔹 Robinhood will add $25 million in $BTC to its balance sheet! Following publicly listed companies, are brokerage platforms also starting to allocate directly to Bitcoin?
🔹 Hyperliquid’s open

The market crashed after the hawkish remarks in the Fed minutes. The probability of a rate hike in December has risen to 64%.
Let’s see whether gold can hold $4,100; BTC highly leveraged long positions have just been liquidated in another wave. As long as oil prices do not come down and the Fed does not soften its stance, this correction is not over yet.
Also, the midterm elections are just around the corner. The upcoming data will mainly serve the election, so the market will likely continue trading in a wide range in October and November, and the show will start again in December.

A sharp -1.515% drop puts $BTC right at $82952.78. Price action is brutal today with a $84379.31 peak and a $82227.56 trough. Here is a look at both sides of the book. Long plan has entry at $82952.78, stop loss at $80464.2, target at $87100.42. Short plan runs entry at $82952.78, stop loss at $85441.36, target at $78805.14. Keep eyes on order book depth. Not a prediction, Not financial advice, and DYOR. #GateIdleEarnAutoYieldUpTo3% #GateLaunchesTrenchesWith0GasFee #ShareWeekly #WeekendMarketBullishOrBearish

$BTC
Price looks to be beginning to find acceptance below the value area.
If this continues, my next downside targets for a potential bounce sit around 81.2K–81.6K. This zone aligns with the higher-timeframe range lows and the H4 200 MA, which has continued to act as support throughout this upside move.
For now, the key level to reclaim is the 82.8K area lows. Unless we can quickly reclaim and hold above this level, I’ll be watching the 81.2K–81.6K region for the next potential reaction.

Friends who are still holding losing positions, don’t bear the pressure alone. If you encounter any confusion with your positions, feel free to come over and discuss it anytime.
Getting out of a losing gold position does not rely on luck, but on strict trading discipline:
Don’t stubbornly hold on while clinging to wishful thinking—the market will not change direction because of your expectations. Once trapped in a position, first clarify the current trend structure and determine whether it is a short-term pullback or a trend reversal, then formulate a corresponding response plan. Cut losses de

The $2.16 billion “nuclear bomb” detonates tomorrow! $BTC Longs and shorts battle at $83k—retail investors, don’t rush to bottom-fish!
BTC is currently around $82.5k, ETH has fallen below the $2,600 level, and market sentiment has hit rock bottom.
Around $2.16 billion worth of BTC and $ETH options will expire tomorrow. BTC’s max pain is $84k, while ETH’s is $2,650. The Put/Call ratios have reached 1.12 and 0.71, respectively, with the overall market leaning bearish.
Personal view: Implied volatility is currently low, and buyers are unwilling to pay a premium to bet on a direction, so the mar

#FedSeptemberMinutesLeanHawkish Fed September Minutes: A Lean-Hawkish Signal for Markets
The latest Fed September meeting minutes point to a cautious, slightly hawkish tone as policymakers continue to balance inflation risks against the broader economic outlook. While the discussion did not necessarily signal an aggressive policy shift, it highlighted that the path toward further easing may remain dependent on incoming economic data.
For crypto and risk assets, this matters. A more cautious Federal Reserve can keep pressure on liquidity and market sentiment, especially when inflation and labor

Kondratiev Wave: Understanding the Century-Long Wealth Wave
Investors have heard of the Kondratiev Wave to some extent. Simply put, it is an ultra-long economic cycle lasting five or six decades. Each cycle goes through prosperity, recession, depression, and recovery in sequence, with the rise and fall of great powers and industrial revolutions all hidden within this curve.
Looking at the chart, the first five Kondratiev Waves are clear. In the first and second waves, the dominant country was Britain, which firmly took its place at the top of the world through the two Industrial Revolutions.

Humanity's most meaningful yet equally artistic snapshots.

$ARC New free fall
Sell 0.06320 0.06400
Targets 0.06214 0.06100 0.05980
Stop loss 0.06480

#GateMoneyOfficiallyLaunches
THE NEXT BIG CHAPTER OF ONE GATE
The financial world is changing rapidly, and Gate is once again positioning itself at the center of that transformation.
With the official launch of Gate Money, Gate is expanding beyond the traditional boundaries of a crypto platform and moving toward a broader, more connected financial ecosystem.
This is not simply another product launch.
This is a strategic step toward ONE GATE — one ecosystem designed to connect digital assets, traditional finance, payments, banking and global financial opportunities.
FROM CRYPTO PLATFORM TO GLO

TD Cowen: Bitcoin to $132,750 by 2028; Strategy, Strive could outperform
TD Cowen sets a $275,000 target for Bitcoin. Lance Vitanza, Managing Director and digital asset specialist at TD Cowen, forecasts that Bitcoin could reach $132,750 by the end of 2027 and advance to $275,000 by the end of 2029.
According to Vitanza, Bitcoin could grow at an annual rate of approximately 27–30% over the long term.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or refer

##USSeptemberJobs29K
U.S. JOBS COLLAPSE TO JUST 29K — IS THE ECONOMY LOSING MOMENTUM?
The latest U.S. employment signal has sent a clear warning to financial markets: September job creation slowed dramatically, with only around 29,000 jobs added.
That is an unusually weak number and could become an important piece of the macroeconomic puzzle as investors reassess the strength of the U.S. economy and the Federal Reserve’s next move.
📉 THE LABOR MARKET IS COOLING
For months, markets have been watching for evidence that the U.S. labor market is moving from resilience toward weakness.
A jobs gai

Down 2.079 percent at $2565.39 and $ETH is testing trader resolve. The range spans from $2538.06 to $2623.83 today. Long idea enters at $2565.39, stop at $2488.43, target at $2693.66. Short idea enters at $2565.39, stop at $2642.35, target at $2437.12. Keep eyes on volume shifts right here. This is not a prediction, Not financial advice, and DYOR. $ETH #GateIdleEarnAutoYieldUpTo3% #GateLaunchesTrenchesWith0GasFee #ShareWeekly #WeekendMarketBullishOrBearish

ethereum:native
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