Although I focus on very short-term trading, I’m also quite good at macro trading. A lot of people don’t understand macro trading and think it’s difficult, but it’s actually very simple. The essence of macro trading is taking advantage of Bitcoin’s high sensitivity to liquidity. Many people want to know whether this bull market is still underway. I can tell you for sure that it is, but it won’t last long,
Let me start with gold. People think that when an economic crisis hits, gold is sure to preserve its value and hedge against risk. That’s only half right. In the early stages of an economic crisis, it’s not just gold—high-quality stocks, such as SanDisk, and other highly liquid assets will all be sold off for cash. The market will reflect that money in the form of stabilization and a rapid rebound. So there will be a significant drop at first, followed by a surge as gold returns to its safe-haven role—in other words, first a drop, then a surge
Bitcoin and Ethereum work the same way. At first, they’ll be priced as risk assets alongside U.S. stocks. Crypto market movements usually lead those of other risk assets, and crypto bear and bull markets tend to arrive earlier than those of other risk assets. Right now, oil prices are high, institutional money is crowded into U.S. stocks, and there’s circular lending within the AI sector. The same thing happened during the 2008 financial crisis and the previous oil crisis: U.S. stocks experienced substantial pullbacks. So Bitcoin and Ethereum will definitely fall too. In the short term, U.S. stocks are in the early stages of a crisis. A crisis is about to unfold, so this bull market won’t last long, but it won’t be over either. Like gold, it will return to its safe-haven role in the medium term. After smart money flows out of U.S. stocks, it will look for new markets in which to grow its value—that means Bitcoin. The rebound after a bottom will be very strong, and in terms of timing and cycle, it should coincide with a mid-cycle rebound in U.S. stocks. So the early phase of this bull market will definitely feature a major bottom and a major rebound, moving in tandem with U.S. stocks. Ethereum could reach above 3,000 in this bull market; its recent low has been around 2,110 to 2,170,
Once it reaches 2,170, there will be plenty of intraday trading opportunities afterward
Let me start with gold. People think that when an economic crisis hits, gold is sure to preserve its value and hedge against risk. That’s only half right. In the early stages of an economic crisis, it’s not just gold—high-quality stocks, such as SanDisk, and other highly liquid assets will all be sold off for cash. The market will reflect that money in the form of stabilization and a rapid rebound. So there will be a significant drop at first, followed by a surge as gold returns to its safe-haven role—in other words, first a drop, then a surge
Bitcoin and Ethereum work the same way. At first, they’ll be priced as risk assets alongside U.S. stocks. Crypto market movements usually lead those of other risk assets, and crypto bear and bull markets tend to arrive earlier than those of other risk assets. Right now, oil prices are high, institutional money is crowded into U.S. stocks, and there’s circular lending within the AI sector. The same thing happened during the 2008 financial crisis and the previous oil crisis: U.S. stocks experienced substantial pullbacks. So Bitcoin and Ethereum will definitely fall too. In the short term, U.S. stocks are in the early stages of a crisis. A crisis is about to unfold, so this bull market won’t last long, but it won’t be over either. Like gold, it will return to its safe-haven role in the medium term. After smart money flows out of U.S. stocks, it will look for new markets in which to grow its value—that means Bitcoin. The rebound after a bottom will be very strong, and in terms of timing and cycle, it should coincide with a mid-cycle rebound in U.S. stocks. So the early phase of this bull market will definitely feature a major bottom and a major rebound, moving in tandem with U.S. stocks. Ethereum could reach above 3,000 in this bull market; its recent low has been around 2,110 to 2,170,
Once it reaches 2,170, there will be plenty of intraday trading opportunities afterward
