Market update;
Tonight’s nonfarm payrolls (U.S. October nonfarm employment + unemployment rate): released at 21:30 Beijing time
It’s standard time, so remember this time.
Key related data:
- At 21:30, nonfarm payrolls, the unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings are all released (all three affect Fed expectations, and volatility in BTC and ETH will intensify)
- At 23:00, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is released, a secondary market-moving data point
Note: Sharp wicks and repeated stop-loss sweeps are very common around nonfarm payrolls. If trading lever

Is the real show only just beginning? U.S. stocks have only just started falling—I can't even imagine 😭

Picked an Iranian lawmaker
This is too entertaining—now things are about to get interesting.

What Is Position Sizing, and Why Can Oversized Positions Knock You Out Early Even If Your Trading Strategy Has an Edge?

In crypto trading, correctly predicting market direction is important, but how much capital you commit to each trade also determines whether your account can survive over the long term. Even a strategy with positive expected returns can cause losses that are difficult to recover from if your position is too large and an unexpected price swing or a string of losses occurs.

First, what is position sizing?

Position sizing is the process of deciding how much capital to allocat

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Market views backed by reasoning, honest trade reviews and useful explainers—we’d love to see them.

💬 Drop a Gate Square post link + one reason to read it
Nominate your own work or recommend another creator. Found an interesting perspective? Visit the original post and join the conversation.

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Your next post could be featured 👇

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🔥 U.S. payrolls: even the leading outcome has just a 31% chance!

⏰ October’s jobs report lands on Nov 6 at 13:30 UTC.
📊 Reference market odds:
≥100K jobs added: 31%
25K–<50K: 21%
50K–<75K: 20%
A hiring rebound or further cooling? Which range gets your vote?
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Dear crypto Bro's.
All you need is one gOD candle.
Just one.

A trade made $100—how much is left after all costs?

Long-form Chinese

In cryptocurrency trading, many people focus on one number first when reviewing a trade: how much did it make?

But a more important question is often overlooked:

Profit on paper is not the same as actual take-home gains.

Suppose you open a position, and when you close it, it shows a profit of $100. You might think it was a successful trade, but without calculating the full trading costs, you can’t accurately judge how much you actually made.

1. Fees: The easiest to calculate, and the easiest to underestimate

Suppose y

I’ve always wanted to build a product that automatically lights talking-head videos. Seedance is the fastest and simplest option, but it costs 78 yuan for 30 seconds—that’s just too expensive for me. Still, you don’t need to keep rerolling for this kind of video, so a 3-minute video comes in at under 500 yuan.

For a video that delivers value, the cost isn’t actually that high.

Alright, now we know the economic environment is bad 😓

#10月非农数据聚焦
The October US Nonfarm Payrolls Report is becoming one of the most closely watched economic events of the week. Investors, traders, economists, and financial institutions are preparing for fresh employment figures that could provide important clues about the strength of the American economy and the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy.

The US labor market has become an important source of uncertainty for financial markets. Although the economy continues to demonstrate resilience in several areas, hiring activity has shown signs of slowing. This makes the October employment repo

Bitcoin Faces Fifth Weekly Loss as US Midterms Weigh In
Bitcoin is heading toward a fifth consecutive weekly decline, sliding from around $87,000 to near $76,500. The leading cryptocurrency remains under pressure as political uncertainty, weakening tech stocks, and renewed geopolitical tensions weigh on investor sentiment.
The price weakness comes as traders reassess exposure to risk assets ahead of the US midterm elections. The outcome could shape the direction of economic policy and the regulatory environment facing the crypto industry. Investors are focused on whether the results will suppo

What Is the Break-Even Win Rate? How High Must a Trading Strategy’s Win Rate Be to Cover Trading Costs?

In crypto trading, many people know their win rate but not how high it needs to be to actually make money. If winning trades earn little while losing trades lose a lot, you can still end up losing money even if you make the right call more often. The break-even win rate helps traders understand the minimum performance their strategy needs to achieve.

First, what is the break-even win rate?

The break-even win rate is the minimum win rate required for the long-term expected return to equal

$DRAM SHORT SETUP — BEARS STILL IN CONTROL!

$DRAM is down 8.61%, and sellers continue to dominate despite a small recovery from 36.72. Another downside move could be developing!

Entry: 39.29
SL: 41.10

TP1: 38.20
TP2: 37.30
TP3: 36.72
Final Target: 35.50

The chart shows a clear bearish structure with lower highs and continued selling pressure. The recent rebound is struggling to gain momentum, and another rejection below 40.50 could send price back toward 36.72.

Invalidation: A sustained recovery above 41.10 weakens the bearish setup.

CZ looks more than a decade older

#USTechSelloff AI Infrastructure Sold, Applications Next? What the 5 November Closes Say About Rotation

Thursday's close showed how sharply the AI trade came apart. Chips and data-center names took the heaviest losses, while the software and platform names held up better. The question now is whether that gap is the start of a rotation from AI infrastructure into AI applications, where the revenue is more immediate and the capex risk is lower.

What the closing prints show

From the Gate feed's 5 November closes: Alphabet closed at $282.57, down 2.20%. Microsoft closed at $535.93, down 3.58%.

That feeling when you discover a new crypto project, spend hours researching it, and suddenly become the unofficial project analyst in your group chat. 😂
Who else has been there?
#CryptoLife #CryptoCommunity #Blockchain

$MU Damn, who’s winning this round again?

The group chat is full of wailing: dip buyers bought halfway down the mountain, and panic sellers cut their losses at the bottom. These shady market makers know you can’t bring yourself to sell. They give you a little taste of gains, then shove you underwater.

The craziest part is that you know it’s a trap, but you still reach for it. Because if you don’t, what if it really takes off? That one little “what if” has led so many people to pour in their principal.

I’m honestly amazed—truly. Not by the market makers, but by ourselves: our memories are sh