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Maintains view of a 99% chance of a rate hike in December! #美国10月CPI即将公布
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XiuHu_charts
Based on today's nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate, a rate hike in December is almost 99% certain!

Never mind that nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations; the drop in the unemployment rate looks bad on its own. Only a meaningful rise in unemployment can open the door to rate cuts.

Good luck to those trying to catch the bottom. I’m maintaining my bearish outlook. #10月非农数据聚焦
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What Is Multi-Timeframe Analysis? How Can You Combine Short and Long Timeframes to Avoid Making Poor Decisions Based on Local Price Action?

In crypto trading, BTC may be rising on the 5-minute chart while still being in a clear downtrend on the 4-hour chart. If traders only watch short timeframes, they can mistake a rebound for a trend reversal. Multi-timeframe analysis uses price structures across different timeframes to help traders understand the relationship between local fluctuations and the broader trend.

First, what is multi-timeframe analysis?

It means observing multiple timeframes
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BTC-0.67%
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We held an AMD short for 200 days. DCA'd all the way, took profits on the sweep of the low thanks to trailing stop loss. This is why you NEVER DCA a short without experience. The full story at 1:03:19.
#AMD #Trading #Stocks #Crypto #Investing
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AMD+13.35%
What is a retest confirmation? Why can a retest after a breakout sometimes be an opportunity and sometimes a reversal signal?

In cryptocurrency trading, after the price breaks through a key resistance level, it may pull back toward the former resistance area, find support again, and continue rising. But it may also quickly fall after the breakout and return to its previous trading range. That is why retest confirmation is an important aspect of breakout trading worth studying.

First, what is retest confirmation?

After the price breaks through a resistance level, if it returns to test the ar
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Waller said in London today that he’s inclined to support a 25-basis-point hike in December.
After reading it all, I have just one feeling: the hammer is already hanging over our heads.
But BTC has barely moved in the past 24 hours, just grinding above 74K.
Yesterday I said if it can’t get back above 77K this week, assume the drop isn’t over.
It’s still 2.8K away from that.
The one really retreating is ZEC.
It’s fallen all the way from last Friday’s high of 1388 to 1145, down 18%.
Not a single bullish candle in four daily candles.
October’s CPI comes out tonight. The market has already priced
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BTC-0.67%
ZEC+1.16%
$LTC ‌
The market structure has transitioned from a sharp bearish breakdown to a steady bullish recovery and consolidation phase. After bottoming out at 49.32, the price has established a higher low structure and is currently compressing near the 51.24 level, indicating a shift in market control from sellers to buyers.

The K-lines show a strong upward impulse followed by a period of sideways consolidation. The price is currently trading right at the Middle Bollinger Band (MB) of 51.50, acting as immediate pivot support. The Bollinger Bands are relatively tight, suggesting low volatility and
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LTC-0.07%
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What Is the OBV Indicator? How Can You Use On-Balance Volume to Observe the Relationship Between Market Participation and Price Trends?

In cryptocurrency trading, price movements alone can sometimes make it difficult to determine whether a trend is supported by market participation. OBV (On-Balance Volume) combines the direction of price movements with trading volume, helping traders observe cumulative changes in volume and providing an additional reference for trend analysis.

First, what is OBV?

OBV adjusts cumulative volume based on changes in the closing price: when the closing price is
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What Is the ATR Indicator? How Can Average True Range Measure Market Volatility and Help Set Stop-Loss Distances?

In cryptocurrency trading, a 2% stop-loss can have very different practical implications in calm and highly volatile markets. ATR (Average True Range) can help traders measure market volatility and inform stop-loss distances and position sizing, but it cannot predict whether prices will rise or fall.

First, what is ATR?

ATR measures the market’s average volatility by calculating the true range over a set period and smoothing it. True range considers not only the difference betwe
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The market moves up and down, directions come and go. Some watch sentiment, others structure; some profit from speed, others hold their boundaries.

I care more about whether the rhythm holds, whether the levels are clean, and whether execution is consistent. The market never lacks opportunities; what it lacks is people who can stay clear-headed when they arrive.

I’ll gradually share how I approach different timeframes and position sizes. Trends are mapped out, levels are marked, and every step follows my own rules.$BTC $ETH
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BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
The lower ETH falls, the more people stake it! The staking rate keeps climbing—is long-term capital
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$GRAM ‌
The market has shifted from a downtrend to a clear bullish reversal, breaking above the previous consolidation zone and printing a new local high at 1.1210, signaling buyers are in control.

K-line Analysis: Price is currently trading near 1.0854, pushing the upper Bollinger Band (UB: 1.1148) while holding above the middle band (MB: 1.0617); the MACD is showing bullish momentum with the DIF (0.0151) crossing above the DEA (0.0120) and positive histogram bars, though volume is slightly below the moving average, suggesting a potential pause.

Candlestick Pattern: The recent price action
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GRAM-0.97%
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Ethereum remains weak. After a day of choppy trading, the price fell below the 2108 level again. The short call at 2123 shared yesterday evening closed with a 40-point gain. Congrats to everyone who followed $ETH
ETH-1.23%
What Is Breakout Trading? How Can You Tell Whether to Enter or Wait for a Retest After Price Breaks Through a Key Area?

In cryptocurrency trading, when BTC breaks through a key resistance level, some traders chase the rally immediately, while others choose to wait for a retest. Both approaches have pros and cons. What really matters is not getting in before everyone else, but judging whether the breakout is likely to hold and planning for risk in advance.

First, what is breakout trading?

Breakout trading involves looking for trading opportunities according to predefined rules after the pric
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BTC-0.67%
What Is the Risk-Reward Ratio? Why Can a Trade Have Positive Expectancy Even With a Low Win Rate?

In crypto trading, many people focus only on the win rate and overlook the size of each gain and loss. Even if a strategy is often wrong, it may still have positive expectancy over the long term as long as the average gain on winning trades is enough to cover the losses. The risk-reward ratio is an important tool for assessing a trade’s potential gain relative to its potential loss.

First, what is the risk-reward ratio?

The risk-reward ratio typically compares the expected loss with the expecte
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⚠️ TODAY 16:30: US INFLATION WILL SHAKE MARKETS‼️
The October 2026 US CPI data, to be released today at 16:30 Türkiye time, will clarify the direction of the markets. Annual rates (headline and core) will not be officially released due to last year’s government shutdown; all eyes are on the monthly data.
Expectations:
Headline CPI monthly: +0.3% (previous +0.6%)
Core CPI monthly: +0.2% (previous +0.3%)
A slowdown is expected as gasoline prices fall, but core inflation remains sticky. The Fed is pricing in an 80%+ chance of a rate hike in December.
Scenarios and Market Impact
🟢 Soft scenario (
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NDAQ+1.29%
BTC-0.67%
🇺🇸 BREAKING: President Trump reportedly bought $113M worth of Bitcoin in Q3.
He now holds more than $1B worth of Bitcoin.
BTC-0.67%
What Is an RSI and MACD Combination Strategy? How Can Different Indicators Be Used to Confirm One Another and Reduce False Signals From a Single Indicator?

In cryptocurrency trading, using just one technical indicator can make you vulnerable to interference from choppy markets or short-term fluctuations. RSI mainly reflects recent price momentum, while MACD helps track trend direction and changes in momentum. Combining the two lets you analyze the market from different angles, but it does not guarantee more accurate signals.

First, what does each indicator show?

RSI is generally used to tra
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$ARIA I'm bullish on this move. Consider entering near the current price, with an initial target around $0.44727. Entry reference: Long at 0.19943 $ARIA 👇ARIA+29.60%
Risk warning: The above is solely my personal market view and does not constitute investment advice. Contract trading carries extremely high risk, so please manage your position size and set stop-losses.
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ARIA+22.03%
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