bitcoin:native next major rally may depend on liquidity returning to the market Arthur Hayes believes the Fed needs to ease monetary conditions more aggressively to fuel a stronger move, suggesting current policy may not yet be enough to drive the next major breakout

The most unusual detail in today’s market is not the top decliners themselves, but the funding rates: $OGN fell 13.24% over 24 hours, yet its funding rate was -0.0160%, meaning shorts are paying to hold positions. At the same time, the Fear and Greed Index stood at 62, with the market still in the greed zone. ETH fell just 0.61%, while INJ even gained 1.99%. Against a backdrop of broad gains or relative resilience across the same sector, OGN’s high-volume sell-off combined with a negative funding rate represents a typical overcrowded short structure.
Looking at relative strength, $OGN ’s MA5=

Yesterday i took a bold decision and locked my entire $Milan Dev supply (20Mil tokens, 2%) for 2 years !
Yes for 2 years I will not be able to sell any tokens .. this is a real commitment towards the Milan community and what we building
Memes don’t always have to be pump and dump .. as I said earlier.. we will do this and we will do it well
Ca 0x5c9ff301ec2d882b635813739cc07330788d7322
@ryanmyher
@GeniusTerminal

What’s Still Missing for a BTC Rebound?
The Triple Test of CPI, Real Interest Rates, and Spot Buying
The key to a BTC rebound is not just whether CPI can cool down,
but whether inflation data can push real interest rates lower and ultimately translate into sustained spot buying.
① CPI below expectations, creating room for a shift in monetary policy;
② Real interest rates decline, reducing the opportunity cost of holding BTC;
③ ETF funds continue to record net inflows, proving that incremental capital is truly entering the market.
Forward-looking assessment: If favorable CPI data fails to bring

[ $CRV and $C ]
In both of these two cases, a correction should be coming to an end shortly.
CRV with a flat correction and C with a sharp ABC.

Today's profit is $60
There may be significant data volatility tonight, so let's call it a day for now $XAUUSD

Mainstream market expectation: hold steady in October and maintain current interest rates
The probability of keeping rates unchanged is overwhelmingly dominant, serving as traders’ baseline view. The historical curve shows that market expectations swung sharply in mid-to-late September, with rate-hike expectations surging at one point; afterward, expectations quickly returned, and the unchanged option once again became overwhelmingly favored.

$TRX Near Resistance: What Evidence Is Most Needed for a Breakout?
$TRX 24 hours +1.00%, current price 0.3331, just 0.03% from the 1-hour resistance at 0.3332. This is the kind of position where it is easiest to develop the illusion that briefly moving above a level means the breakout is complete. The answer that truly carries weight is whether it can hold after moving above it.
Let’s return to the 24-hour range: low 0.327, high 0.3332. Where does the current price of 0.3331 sit within this range? That directly affects the meaning of the same signal. Near the high, strength needs to prove it i

Dumping the market at exactly 4 PM every day
Fierce bear market
🥹

One image to understand the fate of A-shares. 📉
2007 ⇋ 2026, nearly 20 years later, the index is still hovering around 3,000 points.
If you can only go long, these 17 years have been unbearably long; if you can short, these 17 years have been full of opportunities.
3,000 points is not only the index’s anchor, but also the epitaph for the youth of countless people.
#A股 #K线图 #时间的朋友

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$SOL The main players swept up $630 million overnight! The game of wiping out both longs and shorts is underway—don’t be the one getting harvested and handing out free money
Brothers, how vicious was that SOL wick last night? Don’t rush in to get slaughtered—the main players’ moves are far uglier than you imagine.
Personal view: This round, the main players are using a “diversionary tactic.” Looking at the fund flow data, the SOL spot ETF ended 14 consecutive weeks of net inflows, with a record single-week outflow of $24.8 million. But strangely, Grayscale’s GSOL secretly bought $20.2 million

#CPI Tonight’s CPI data is expected to come in at 3.5–3.6% based on oil prices, with little impact. Sideways volatility will continue to shake out retail traders, DDDD

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10.14BTC
The December rate hike is hanging over us like a sword. Why would I still go long?
Because nothing matters before the December rate hike is actually implemented.
Also, the 870 level has been tested four times without breaking through, and a dense concentration of short positions has built up above. 🐶The market makers won’t let the shorts have it that easy.
Most likely, they’ll first sweep all the liquidity above, then start dumping in December.
And the current price is still above major support, so every drop is a good opportunity to get in.

#美国9月CPI即将公布 #每周来晒

At 20:30 Beijing time tonight, October 14, the U.S. September CPI data will be released. As a key inflation indicator ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October rate meeting, this data will directly reshape market expectations for rate cuts and serve as an important catalyst for short-term crypto asset volatility. A review of historical data shows that the crypto market is a high-beta risk asset, significantly more sensitive to changes in rate expectations than traditional equity markets. Market moves usually trade on the “gap between expectations and reality,” rather than th

🇺🇸 CFTC Proposes a New Regulatory Framework for Crypto Markets
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has proposed a new framework covering leveraged retail crypto transactions, exchange registration, and clearing requirements.
The proposal is now open for public comments, with a deadline of December 14, 2026.
This could be an important step toward defining how leveraged crypto trading and exchanges operate under U.S. regulations.
However, these are still proposed rules, not finalized regulations.
The next step is to see how regulators respond to public feedback and what change

$BTC Short at 83800, now 83287
Nothing to get excited about; it’s just following the plan
When that afternoon wick hit 84117, someone said in the comments, “Your short is going to get buried.” I didn’t reply, because the 84150 stop-loss hadn’t been hit yet. What’s there to panic about?
The two biggest taboos in trading are: first, fear—running before the price reaches your stop-loss; second, greed—being reluctant to leave when it reaches the target
This trade moved 500 points. I’ve taken half off and moved the stop-loss on the rest to breakeven, letting the profits run
The next target is 8280