Analysis: January may mark a new inflection point in Bitcoin's four-year cycle, with historical patterns showing structural divergence

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the validity of the four-year Bitcoin cycle has once again become a major topic within the ecosystem. Some believe that the four-year cycle should not extend to 2026, as ETFs have absorbed $57 billion in inflows. However, opponents argue that the four-year cycle remains intact so far, and historical patterns also show coincidences in timing. For example, the most recent local bottom of Bitcoin occurred on November 21, 2025, at a price of $80,524, while the previous cycle’s low was on November 21, 2022, at $15,460—two dates that are exactly the same. Currently, market attention has shifted to January 2026. A U.S. crypto market structure bill is scheduled for a hearing on January 15, which is seen as a potential milestone marking another important turning point in the current Bitcoin cycle. (CoinDesk)