$BTC Crypto Market Daily Flash｜2026‑08‑29
Warsh sent hawkish signals at the Jackson Hole annual meeting, sharply boosting expectations for a September rate hike. Risk assets came under broad pressure, with BTC retreating from around 81000 to the $77800 range and falling more than 3% intraday. ETH declined in tandem and fluctuated around $2430, while most altcoins fell broadly. Total crypto futures liquidations approached $470 million, with long positions facing concentrated liquidations.
At the macro level, the speech reiterated that the 2% inflation target is non-negotiable, emphasizing that

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Bearish on the Nasdaq Index: Correction Risk Under Triple Pressure
At present, I am broadly bearish on the Nasdaq Index, based on three core factors.
First, signs of an valuation bubble are evident. The Nasdaq 100's price-to-earnings ratio is at the 87th historical percentile of the past decade, while the Shiller CAPE ratio of 42.7x is approaching the extreme of 44x seen during the 2000 dot-com bubble. The Buffett Indicator has reached a historical high of 237%, leaving a severe lack of valuation safety margin.
Second, policy continues to tighten. Fed Chair Waller clearly signaled a hawkish

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I was just about to go to the forum and rant, but then I saw my balance and decided against it—the market is always right🙏. A few days ago, during my pre-bed review, $FARTCOIN looked incredibly strong, but in reality, there was no follow-through on any of its upward moves. With insufficient buying support, nobody was willing to take over as it climbed, and trading volume was pitifully low. I decided not to be polite to it and went straight short at 0.21184.
I opened the chart this morning, and FARTCOIN had obediently dropped to 0.19211, with unrealized profit of +729.09%. The sleepless nights

I wasn’t even expecting to break even, but it actually put me straight into profit. This service really delivered.🙏

When the early-session sell-off started, $STRK dropped hard, but the trading volume was actually low, while sell orders kept pressing outward. I judged that this wasn’t the bottom, just the beginning of the ground being loosened, so I followed the trend and opened a short. The biggest taboo in a bearish trend is trying to catch a falling knife—I only follow the trend.

The short entered at 0.03656 has now reached 0.0244, with +1599.11% secured in my pocket. After enduring it

MASSIVE CRASH IN BITCOIN AND ETHEREUM
$400M+ LIQUIDATED IN LAST 24 HOUR

bitcoin:native Holding 4 Hour Support Strongly

#BTR What do you mean by keeping it stuck neither up nor down? Push it up several times more so someone will short it, then run another month of negative funding rates—wouldn’t the money come in?😄

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🚨 ETF demand is heating up again.
BlackRock and other ETFs reportedly pulled in some of their strongest weekly flows:
$BTC: $924.48M, the biggest since April 2026
$ETH: $824.42M, the biggest since July 2025
While prices stay volatile, institutional money is still moving in size.
#WarshJacksonHolePreviewMarketsFocusOnRates

#NVIDIAEarnings
Nvidia’s 96.2 billion dollar revenue print, up 106 percent year-on-year, delivered the headline the market expected. The initial reaction pushed price higher, yet the daily chart is now showing the first real digestion of that move.
Price closed at 217.48 after a 4.58 percent pullback, printing a high of 229.26. The 50-period EMA sits at 211.46 and the 200-period EMA is lower at 195.35. Bollinger Bands run from 206.31 on the downside to 229.81 on the upside, with the middle band near 218.06. Price has slipped back under the middle band and is testing the zone just above the 50

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I originally just wanted to mooch a free breakfast, but the market ended up making dumplings out of me for half a year. A few days ago, I was watching the charts in the early hours of the morning. The key level held, and the bottom moved sideways. I told the people around me right then: this buying pressure is unusual, funds are quietly entering, and you absolutely must not short this kind of structure. Anyone without a position should secure one first. The market was very quiet in the early hours, but that quietness concealed the scent of money.
$ASTER climbed from 0.6673 to 0.6995, and I’ve

No conviction, can’t hold—these profits are paper-thin, but I love it. When I checked the chart after lunch, $ZEST was faking another breakout, with an extremely strong bull-trap vibe. The sell wall above was completely untouchable. I figured this was the final bull trap, so I opened a short directly at 0.17390. I didn’t expect that by the time I got up to pour a glass of water and came back, the current price had already become 0.14398, with +337.75% booked. This isn’t trading—it’s CPR for the bears. I’ve closed 70% first, with the remaining 30% protected at breakeven. Don’t get greedy for th

On August 29, according to reports from multiple foreign media outlets, on August 28 local time, Chinese chipmaker ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) filed a lawsuit against the U.S. Department of Defense, seeking to have itself removed from a blacklist. According to Bloomberg, CXMT said the chips it designs are intended for civilian and commercial use, not military applications, and that it had been wrongly placed on the blacklist. The lawsuit was filed with the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, with U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth also named as a defendant. In a state

Bearish on Japanese Stocks: Downside Logic Amid Multiple Converging Risks
At this point, I am broadly bearish on Japanese stocks, based on three core reasons.
First, fundamentals are weak. Japan’s second-quarter GDP growth was only 1.1%, far below expectations, real wages have declined for four consecutive years, domestic consumption continues to contract, and the economic recovery lacks core support.
Second, policymakers face a dilemma. The probability of a Bank of Japan rate hike in September has reached 80%. A rate hike would further increase the interest burden of the government’s 240%GDP

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#WarshJacksonHolePreviewMarketsFocusOnRates
Warsh at Jackson Hole: Why Guidance Elasticity Matters More Than Rate Signals for Market Stability
Fed Chair Warsh’s first Jackson Hole speech is the final signal before September FOMC. Markets crave clarity after past missteps but the real edge isn’t predicting a cut/hike. It’s validating whether his communication framework reduces policy uncertainty premium. Here’s my topology framework. 👇
🔍 Why Communication Topology Determines Market Reaction
• Forward Guidance Clarity Reduces Volatility Premium: Ambiguous language (“data-dependent”) keeps op