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BTC’s battle to defend 80,000 goes into overtime after Warsh’s remarks

Before Warsh’s remarks, BTC seesawed between 80,443 and 82,000. After he began speaking, the price saw no sharp moves—because there were no unexpectedly hawkish or dovish signals. As I write this post, BTC is hovering around 80,800.

Why is the 80,000 level so important? I looked at a few data points.

The first is the ETF cost basis. The average cost basis for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs is around $81,500. BTC has fallen below this level, meaning most investors who bought through ETFs are now at a loss. If the price stays b
NVDA-1.42%
Why are you diving so fast, $BTW ? You were doing just fine a minute ago.TP: 2.23SL: 2.5683Also active:$AVA : Current Price 0.4065 - 24h Change: +38.59%$ETH : Current Price 2,400.35 - 24h Change: -0.83%
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The Nasdaq has started a correction. A weekly bearish divergence is a correction signal, and this correction could be somewhat stronger. It is a multi-timeframe confluence signal, with support at 25,600-24,300-23,800
The question to consider here is: will a U.S. stock market correction spill over to other assets? ❓️
U.S. Treasury yields: The 10-year yield is around 5.09–5.10%, near its highest levels in recent years, putting sustained pressure on high-valuation, long-duration risk assets (tech stocks and crypto)
U.S. Dollar Index: Around 101.8, neutral to firm, with no extreme appreciation
S&P
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SPYX-0.22%
BTC+0.03%
If you had invested $10k in the best-performing asset a month ago, the difference in returns would be astonishing...=> $NEA
=> $AD
=> $LIN
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LIN+1.04%
10.18 Day Trading Strategy: Iran Opens Fire, Tensions Escalate, Institutions Exit, Grid Trading at High Levels
“The crypto fuel theory”: Most people are fuel. The market keeps cultivating your sense of direction, then gets you used to that direction, before one reverse wick ultimately burns through all your U.
The higher the win rate, the greater the losses; the more closely you watch the charts, the more liquidations you suffer. The market goes “against human nature.”
Surviving in crypto is not about watching charts or having a high win rate, but about your profit-to-loss ratio when closing p
ETH-0.62%
Too outrageous, $BTW has been pumped way too hard. Lee is preparing to short heavily, anticipating a potential downturn. $AGT Strongly short $Q 🥳🥳🥳
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BTW+19.06%
AGT+15.72%
$AGT BOOM😨 It’s flying up again, damn. LONG was doing great, then turned around and went SHORT. Nothing to do but keep grinding; the rewards will come soon😎😎
SHORT SHORT SHORT🔥🔥AGT congabeo$BT $MAGMA
CPIWatch
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MAGMA+3.52%
$ELA SEND IT TO THE STARS!
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ELA+8.25%
Down 20.9% in forty hours; the rebound took just three hours.
Someone asked: Is the sell-off over?
I said: Look at the volume first.
The 05:00 candle plunged to 86.7, with 16.34 million traded in a single hour.
The previous candle had only 850k.
Nineteen times.
Then they asked: Can I buy in?
I said: Before buying in, first look at why I’m not.
$SOXL Now at 91.92, with 93.70 overhead and 5.7% downside to 86.7.
There are no signals in this range, only noise.
Then they asked: How long should I wait?
Wait for a retest of 86.7 that holds, or for the price to reclaim 93.70—one of the two has to hap
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SOXL-3.00%
#GateWCTCS9全球交易赛
This weekend’s market action has really worn both bulls and bears down.
Watching BTC hover around $81k feels like waiting for the other shoe to drop. Another huge bearish wick appeared overnight. It looked scary, but after breaking below $81k, the price was yanked back up, reclaiming $81.4k in under half an hour. Volume didn’t explode out of control, and a pile of buy orders at lower levels was absorbing the selling. To me, this looks more like a “liquidation-driven fakeout” than a downward trend reversal.
It feels like big money used the panic to carry out a massive rotation
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ETH-0.62%
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EIA data determines the short-term direction of crude oil
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This week, Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a total of $548.55 million in outflows.
$BTC spot ETFs recorded a total outflow of $228.58 million, while $ETH spot ETFs recorded a total outflow of $319.97 million.
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BTC-0.96%
ETH-1.64%
  • 1
#DOGE DOGE ETF switches from consecutive net inflows to redemptions! Can the $0.08 support hold?
Dogecoin fever cools! ETF funds flee, with $0.08 becoming a crucial line in the sand🐶
Once wildly popular Dogecoin (DOGE) is now facing a subdued market atmosphere. Dogecoin ETFs had previously seen three consecutive weeks of inflows, but the trend completely reversed in October as institutional funds began to pull out, putting considerable pressure on the price.
📉ETF funds see $540k in outflows over two days.
According to SoSoValue data, spot Dogecoin ETF flows were virtually flat from October 1
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#DOGE DOGE ETFs switch from consecutive net inflows to redemptions! Can the $0.08 support hold?
Dogecoin hype cools! ETF funds flee, with $0.08 becoming a make-or-break line🐶
Dogecoin DOGE, once hugely popular, is now facing a subdued market atmosphere. Dogecoin ETFs had previously seen three consecutive weeks of inflows, but the trend completely reversed in October as institutional funds began to pull out, putting significant pressure on the price.
📉ETF funds see $540,000 in outflows over two days.
According to SoSoValue data, from October 1 to 9, flows in and out of Dogecoin spot ETFs were virtually flat, with no funds entering or leaving. Instead of a turnaround, a wave of redemptions followed. Around $400,000 flowed out on October 12, followed by another $138,600 on the 13th, bringing total outflows to $540,000 in just two days.
Fund net assets also shrank from nearly $17 million at the start of the month to $14.44 million. The retreat of institutional funds is a major headwind DOGE must now face.
📊The price continues to weaken, with bearish technical indicators.
DOGE is down 14% overall this month. It was still holding at $0.095 at the start of the month, but slid steadily after October 7 and is now trading at around $0.0800.
Although it briefly rebounded to a high of $0.088 on the 12th, the recovery was short-lived, and the price quickly fell again, touching a low of $0.08. Technical indicators are also unpromising: the RSI has fallen below its signal line, while the CMF money flow indicator briefly dropped to near -0.90 and has now recovered to -0.30, indicating that the overall trend of capital outflows remains unchanged.
⚖️Futures market sees a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with bullish positions weakening.
Signals from the derivatives market are mixed. DOGE open interest first surged to $652 million, then fell to $598 million before edging back up to $609 million. The funding rate remains positive at 0.0088%, indicating that the market still retains some long positions, with bulls continuing to pay fees to bears. However, the overall decline in open interest means bullish momentum in the futures market is weakening.
📌Market Summary and Key Points to Watch
$0.08 is a key short-term support level for DOGE. If it breaks decisively below this level, pressure on bulls will intensify sharply, and the price could fall further. The market is currently weak overall, and the rebound lacks strength, so it is unwise to blindly buy the dip. Watch closely to see whether the $0.08 support holds.#WCTCS9
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DOGE-0.92%
The most unusual detail in today’s market action isn’t the declines themselves, but relative strength: $STRK fell 12.04%, $BAT fell 9.28%, while $ENA
in the same sector fell just 5.23%. Its RSI of 37.4 is also higher than STRK’s 31.3 and BAT’s 36.7. The smaller decline and higher indicator suggest selling pressure has been released more gradually, with funds not rushing for the exits.
But relative resilience doesn’t mean a reversal is underway. ENA is currently at 0.1885, still below MA5=0.18964 and MA20=0.193345, with the bearish moving-average alignment yet to recover. The MACD histogram
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STRK-11.46%
BAT-10.56%
ENA-4.39%
#TeslaRoadsterSparksMemeCoinSurge
Tesla’s Rocket Roadster Meets Crypto Hype: Can FTR Turn Viral Attention Into a Lasting Rally?.
The connection between futuristic technology and cryptocurrency speculation is becoming increasingly visible. Tesla’s rocket-powered Roadster demonstration has created a powerful online narrative, attracting attention from technology enthusiasts, traders, and meme-coin communities. Now, the key question is whether this attention can translate into sustained market participation or whether the excitement will fade as quickly as it appeared.
For me, this story is not
#美股存储板块跌幅扩大 #ShareWeekly
U.S. Tech Selloff Deepens: Is the AI Boom Facing a Credit Reality Check?
The latest U.S. technology selloff is revealing a deeper problem than expensive stock valuations. Investors are increasingly questioning whether the enormous investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure can generate enough cash flow to justify its financing costs. This shift makes October’s correction fundamentally different from the July pullback.
1. July vs. October: Two Different Market Risks
In July, concerns centered on rising AI capital expenditure, crowded semiconductor positions,
QQQ-2.50%
SOXX-4.13%
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ETH's daily candle closed like this. For today's intraday short-term trading, consider shorting on a rebound at higher levels. For reference: enter in the 2420-2440 range if price rebounds, with stop losses at 2442 and 2458; targets are 2391-2361. You can take profits in batches, setting aside one portion each at 2391 and 2361. If price continues to break down, the next target is 2315.
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ETH-0.62%
‍#每周来晒 #WCTCS9
Preview of Next Week’s Major Financial Events
2026-10-19 (Monday)
10:00 China’s Q3 GDP, September industrial value added, fixed-asset investment, and total retail sales of consumer goods
22:00 US October NAHB Housing Market Index
2026-10-20 (Tuesday)
09:15 China’s October LPR quotation 17:00 Eurozone October ZEW Economic Sentiment Index 20:30 US September housing starts and building permits
22:00 US September pending home sales index MoM
NVIDIA GTC conference (10.20–10.22)
2026-10-21 (Wednesday)
16:00 UK September CPI YoY
22:30 US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending O
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NVDA-1.42%
TSLA-2.17%
SPGI+1.13%
Find opportunities in $DOGE using price-volume confirmation; key levels and exit lines are here
What stands out most in this $DOGE chart is not the 2.33% 24-hour decline itself, but that the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are both weak yet haven’t delivered the same answer.
My view is that direction is taking shape for now, but low participation has reduced the credibility of this move.
$DOGE The current price is 0.07917, with a 24-hour range of 0.07702–0.08107. The 1-hour support is at 0.07702, with resistance at 0.08096; the two more distant 4-hour boundaries are 0.07702 and 0.08566. These numbers
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DOGE-0.92%
Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels
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