Next week: October 19 (Monday) — October 25 (Sunday) Daily Macro + Geopolitical Preview

Sources: CCTV, Cailian Press, Federal Reserve website, public schedules

✅October 19 Monday
📊Macro: The Financial Street Forum Annual Conference opens, with senior officials from the PBOC, SAFE, and CSRC delivering policy speeches; the Federal Reserve holds a closed-door discount rate meeting
🌍Geopolitics: Ukraine-U.S. talks may begin; the European Parliament opens discussions on Black Sea shipping security

✅October 20 Tuesday
📊Macro: China announces its LPR loan prime rate; closed-door meeting of F

Making a little bear—almost 2 hours and it’s still not done. At a rough glance, the interface looks inferior to SOL6.1 but better than LUNA. So this is the DEEPSEEK-V4.1-FLAH-1017 you were hyping? By the way, it has cost ¥3 so far

$JCT I know exactly how I lost on this trade: I got in at 0.0023 and cut my losses at 0.0019, riding out the full -11.93% drop. I contributed to the panic selling in the 5.4M trading volume. Seeing the price near its 24h low, I thought I’d buy the dip, but ended up buying halfway down. I didn’t admit defeat and exit until it hit 0.0019. During the two days I held the position, my mindset went from “it’ll bounce any minute” to “just don’t let it go to zero.” There’s only one lesson: in a downtrend, it’s better to wait for the falling knife to settle than to try to catch it. 0.0019 is today’s lo

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💬 Topic
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks at an IMF fireside chat today. With inflation pressures rising, markets are watching for policy signals and their impact on the USD, stocks, and BTC.
💡 Discussion
1️⃣ Will Warsh sound hawkish or dovish? Could the Fed hike rates again?
2️⃣ How will his remarks impact BTC? Rally or pul

Strong rebound after sweeping the lows—the bulls fought tooth and nail to defend 80.7k. Try going long on $BT .
Entry range: 80,804.0 - 81,210.1Take-profit targets: 82,824.1 - 84,277.7Stop-loss: 79,996.0Note: If it fails to reclaim the 1-hour MA25, it may test the range low again. Don’t go all in, guys. Size your position according to your account. It’s time to go long! 👇👇👇These caught my attention today: $AV and $AGT .

BTC falls 0.62% in 24 hours, with $31.89 million in sell volume in the final hour
Gate spot BTC/USDT is currently quoted at 81285.5 USDT, down 0.62% over 24 hours, with a high of 81818.4 and a low of 80817.0. That 0.62% is almost negligible on the daily chart, but the final hourly candle was different: it opened at 81647.1, plunged to a low of 80817.0, and closed at 81124.9, with 31.89 million USDT in hourly trading volume—more than three times the previous hour’s approximately 8.71 million.
What I’m more interested in is whether this drop was accompanied by volume. Looking at the latest 48 ho

Grinding sluggishly along the 7-day lower edge; the rebound is as limp as day-old noodles😏 Longs make up 74%, all crowded together; any position cuts on a drop mean stop-loss sellers lining up. A break below 2355 triggers a stampede—the shorts are closing in, countdown to the squeeze👀

#CryptoMarketTurnsGreedy The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is a widely followed indicator that measures market sentiment using factors such as volatility, trading activity, market momentum, and other sentiment-related signals. A move into the greed zone suggests that investors are becoming more willing to take risks.
However, stronger sentiment does not guarantee that prices will continue rising. Excessive optimism can encourage speculative buying, increase leverage, and make the market vulnerable to sudden corrections. Investors should monitor Bitcoin price movements, trading volumes, market li

I’ll buy when it gets to $20

Everyone, $AVA is showing signs of rejection after a sharp rally, with resistance strengthening around $0.383–$0.400. If sellers take control, a deeper pullback may follow.
$AVA — Short entry: $0.3830–$0.3900 Take-profit 1: $0.3600 Take-profit 2: $0.3400 Take-profit 3: $0.3142 Stop-loss: $0.4112 Will AVA pull back further, or break back above resistance?

Sunday, October 18 [Macro]
✅The US postpones imposing a new round of large-scale sanctions on Russia
✅The ECB warns that geopolitical conflicts are driving up inflation risks
📅Sunday, October 18 [Geopolitics]
✅Strait of Hormuz: Iran opens fire to intercept vessels in violation, and an oil tanker hits a mine and catches fire
✅Ukraine: Ukraine and the US may begin a new round of talks as early as next week
✅Egypt says it can provide security protection at Saudi Arabia's request

Some things don't need to be seen to be trusted.
Opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared!!!

The Polish prime minister said outright that they’re preparing for war with Russia. Two years ago, that would’ve sounded alarmist. Now nobody’s laughing. As the U.S. shifts its focus, Europe will have to handle Ukraine on its own. If it can’t, Poland’s border will be the next line. The great powers step back, and the frontline countries pay the price. If you think I’m talking nonsense, take a screenshot and save it.

#GateBTCAndETHFuturesVolumeRanksTop3
Gate’s rise into the global top three for BTC and ETH derivatives trading volume highlights a major structural shift in cryptocurrency exchange liquidity. Whether this momentum is sustainable depends on several key factors and market dynamics:
Key Drivers Supporting Gate’s Momentum in the Derivatives Market
* Deepening Liquidity and Reduced Friction: High trading volumes—such as the $7.18 billion daily benchmark in BTC futures—result in tighter spreads and lower slippage, attracting institutional market makers, algorithmic traders, and high-frequency funds

$PI If you insist on holding and refuse to sell, capital will insist on staying out of the market. The price will keep fluctuating, wearing you down until you’re completely broke—then let’s see if you’ll finally cut your losses. Capitalists have plenty of money and no urgency. But you’re poor and need money for all sorts of things; you can’t wait.
Someone asked, “When will it go up?” A rise may only happen after all of you have sold the coins you’re holding.

Is this rally finally going to hold, or are we watching the same old liquidity trap again? Seeing $EIGEN
try to reclaim these levels today has me a little nervous. Is anyone else waiting to see whether buyers actually step in this time? Take profit: 0.261 Stop loss: 0.241 Other coins: $BTW : Current price 2.5221 - 24-hour change: +32.53%$ZEC : Current price 1,119.5 - 24-hour change: -1.89%

Strategy Slumps 9.6% After MSCI Decision, Beats Bitcoin's Drop
The company’s disclosed bitcoin holdings remained about $5.1 billion above cost. MSCI’s final affected-company list is due Nov. 11.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

$CT I took the full -12.73% hit on this move: entered at 0.385, cut at 0.34, down 11 points. The post-mortem is simple: greed. Before the Fed minutes, I clearly saw $CT 24h volume shrink to just over 20M and large on-chain transfers start flowing out, but I still fantasized that dovish minutes would spark a rally. Instead, the minutes were hawkish, and $CT plunged straight through 0.35, hitting a low of 0.3155. I set my stop at 0.34 and at least stuck to my discipline, but the entry thesis itself was wrong—loading up on a small-cap token ahead of a macro event; correlation is no excuse, I was