Sigh, I shorted BTC after all, just to make a living.

What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can Win Rate, Average Profit and Loss, and Trading Costs Be Combined in One Formula to Determine Whether a Strategy Is Worth Executing?

In cryptocurrency trading, one profitable trade does not mean a strategy works, and one losing trade does not mean it has failed. What really matters is how much the strategy can earn on average per trade when repeated over the long term. Trading expectancy is an important metric for assessing this.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy is the average expected profit or loss per trade when repeatedly trading a

UNI's support levels are giving way like a sieve; bears are fully in control of this breakdown. Everyone, quickly short UNI$UNI . Plan: Entry price 6.945 - 6.980 Take profit 6.624 / 6.353 Stop loss 7.189 Note: if RSI reaches oversold territory and triggers a liquidity sweep, the price may quickly revert to the mean. Don't go all-in, buddy. Position size should suit your account.
$

🔥As FUD engulfs the market, Bitmine continues buying 9,587 $ETH
🔴Bitmine bought another 9,587 ETH over the past week, worth about $21M, bringing its total holdings to 6,070,092 ETH. That equals 4.97% of ETH’s circulating supply, putting it just a short step away from its 5% target.
🔴Bad news is piling up across the market:
- Inflation has returned to its highest level in a year. Markets are pricing in ~80% odds of a Fed rate hike at its December meeting.
- The stock market is also in the red following Trump and the Republican Party’s midterm election defeat.
- Spot ETH ETFs also saw net out

What is a trading journal? How can recording every trade help identify the real reasons for long-term losses?

In crypto trading, many people watch the market every day but rarely take the time to carefully record their trades. As a result, they keep repeating the same mistakes, crediting accurate judgment when they profit and blaming market changes when they lose. The value of a trading journal is that it replaces subjective memory with real data, helping us find areas for improvement.

First, what should a trading journal record?

For each trade, record at least the time, asset, direction, e

$ONE The current price is 0.001908, breaking above the upper Bollinger Band at 0.001896. The MA20 support below is 0.001546, with 0.00190 and 0.00183 as the key short-term levels to watch. The Fear & Greed Index is just 32, putting the market in the fear zone. BTC has not provided a strong boost, but ONE is bucking the trend with a 25.77% surge in volume and 18.1M in trading volume, indicating a small-cap rotation driven by concentrated fund flows rather than a broad recovery in risk appetite.

Technicals: MA5 has crossed above MA20, and the moving averages are fanning out in a bullish alignme

Can this piece-of-shit ETH still go up to 2150?$ETH ‌

LESSON OF THE DAY: HOW TO SPOT A POST-PUMP TRAP ON INITIA (INIT).
$INIT ‌
If you want to survive in crypto, you need to learn how to read the data, not just chase green candles. Let's use Initia (INIT) right now as a perfect textbook example of a dangerous setup. I want you to look at this and understand why patience is your best weapon.

The system has flagged INIT as a Choppy Market with a Neutral structure and a Redistribution phase. This means the market is unstable, prone to fakeouts, and the smart money is preparing to exit.

Here are the exact numbers you need to pay attention to:

The

Rate hike odds have already surged to 95%; a hike is all but certain. The market is what it is anyway—does it even make a difference whether they hike or not? If this really is the last rate hike, the market will look ahead and figure there won’t be another one after this, then surprise you with a big rally 😅
Buy the dip, hold long term, Discord in profile.

11.10 Qiqi's Gold Evening Commentary: Officials' hawkish remarks trigger selling pressure, gold prices plunge, awaiting CPI to set direction!

Fed Governor Waller sent a hawkish signal, saying he supports a 25-basis-point rate hike in December and would even consider a 50-basis-point hike if core CPI comes in high. This directly reversed market expectations for rate cuts, putting pressure on gold prices and sending them tumbling rapidly from the intraday high of 4146 to a low of 4072. The current price is trading around 4075.

Short-term moving averages are bearishly aligned, and the MACD cont

Whales are buying up again. On-chain data shows that four large holders collectively bought approximately $210 million worth of $BTC over the past day. A cluster of buy orders of this size often suggests that funds are quietly building positions at current prices. The 365-day asset change curve is also worth watching, as the actions of long-term holders are usually more informative than short-term noise. $BTC is currently slightly lower, down 0.42%, but the whales have not stopped buying. Risk warning: The above is only an observation of on-chain data and does not constitute investment advic

Personal recommendation, for reference only. The indicator has a high win rate.

$ETH Can the market recover steadily after the sharp drop?

After a major sell-off, Ethereum is now hovering around 2120, with 2100–2135 becoming the main range.

Every time Ethereum tries to rebound and break above this range, it faces significant selling pressure. Xingjie thinks the bulls’ momentum is currently weak, mainly because market sentiment remains divided and bullish sentiment is muted. If the price cannot break above 2150 in time, it will likely fall to 2070 tonight.

The bulls’ defense is starting to move lower, likely toward the 140 million long liquidation zone at 2070. But the

CPI is about to be announced. What price will BTC reach?
1. Bullish: break above 75500
2. Bearish: fall below 73300
Based on historical data, choose the more likely outcome
@grok

$CHIP Now going heavily short, then sell at $0.00337. Short entry price: 0.03215. $CHIP 👇

Close $DOT at ENTRY PRICE .

CHARTS ARE TURNING INTO BEARISH .

Today market is bit of wild , we have to wait some time for safe trades .

🇺🇸🇨🇳 MICROSOFT URGES TRUMP TO SCRAP CHINESE AI HARDWARE BAN!
@Microsoft has appealed to the Trump administration to scrap the proposed ban on Chinese AI data center components.
This ban could have a major impact on tech infrastructure and the supply chain.

#KoreanStocksJumpOver5%

Asian stocks advanced Tuesday after U.S. stocks rallied, recovering most of their big losses from last week.

U.S. futures edged higher and oil prices fell.