Sonnenie

Everyone wants to be a profitable trader
But not everyone is willing to put in the work
An outlier life requires outlier effort
Remember that

Not sure who needs to hear this
But liquidating your entire net worth multiple times is not "part of the process"
Or some kind of trading rite of passage
It's retarded & bad risk management
Guys telling you this are coping
Losses are inevitable, especially at the start
But that doesn't mean you need to lose 6 figs just to learn how to trade

Reality of sharing bearish takes on this app is that many will hate you for it
Because they want the market to go up all the time, and get angry at the idea that it won't
Permabulls will always get love because they sell hopium to the masses
Real ones know where the value lies

$BTC probably bottoms around 40k
And if you buy it then, you will probably make a clean 4-5X on your investment over 3 years
Do with this information what you will

Just so I have this straight
- For 4 years, anyone who understood how Orchard works could have minted infinite untraceable $ZEC out of thin air with no onchain signature
- The bug was discovered this week with a single sentence Claude prompt
- Token supply could theoretically be infinite, but the TX history is private so nobody actually knows
- We're supposed to believe that no one discovered or abused this exploit in 4 years
- And we're also supposed to believe that Zcash pumped 20X in the depths of a bear market for reasons completely unrelated to this multi-billion dollar vulnerability
What

I miss the "is $10m enough to retire" days on CT

2011 -94%
2015 -87%
2018 -84%
2022 -77%
2026 -70% (plus or minus ~5%)
$BTC will bottom between 31-44k
Sorry I don't make the rules

I have been vocally bearish from 80k all the way down
But if you are just flipping bearish now, you are late to the party
$BTC currently trading at HTF support
Maybe one more drop to take liquidity
Then complacency bounce to 70k
Trap the bulls (again)
Lower prices in Q3

Down
Then down some more
Then up for a very long time
$BTC

5 fig nw – $200 Casio G-Shock
7 fig nw – $135,000 Patek Philippe
9 fig nw – $200 Casio G-Shock
Few understand this

Saylor's forced capitulation / liquidation will be the cycle bottom for $BTC

Been saying for the last few months that the bottom for crypto was not in
Telling anyone that would listen that $BTC would see new yearly lows
That the move from Feb - May was just a dead cat bounce
Same as we got from Nov - Jan
The 4y cycle is still intact
Hope you listened