A Brief Analysis of BTC’s Short-Term Trend from Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action (Strategy Recommendations)
Comprehensive Assessment
Dow Theory confirms a false breakdown at 80,085, with momentum building for a top-side attack
Chan Theory’s consolidation range has shifted upward for the second time, on the eve of the third buy
Elliott Wave ⑤-4 completed at 80,085, with ⑤-5 targeting 83,100-83,700 (including an ATH breakout)
The divergence in the volume-price relationship was absorbed by 1.21 billion Delta, with a healthy vol

#GarrettJinClosesZECShortWith36MillionLoss
🚨 GARRETT JIN CLOSES ZEC SHORT WITH A REPORTED $36 MILLION LOSS! 🚨
The crypto market has delivered another dramatic trading story as Garrett Jin reportedly closed a short position on Zcash (ZEC), taking a loss of around $36 million. 💥📉
This move has quickly attracted attention across the crypto trading community, highlighting just how risky leveraged positions can become when the market moves against a trader.$ZEC ‌
💰 A $36 MILLION LOSS — What Happened?
Short selling allows traders to potentially profit when an asset's price declines. However,

Arc’s hype has gradually subsided less than a week after launch
- Uniswap’s daily trading volume on Arc has remained below $80 million for three consecutive days
- Daily USDC transfer volume has plunged to below $60 million
- Daily network fees have fallen to just above $10k
- Argus, the largest token launcher, created fewer than 4k tokens in a single day, down more than 95% from the first day
- The number of token Dev addresses on Argus fell from 18k on the first day to slightly above 1,000
To some extent, Arc has absorbed the spillover of the hype around Robinhood Chain and Fomo capital, but

ETF Demand Is Breaking Records. $BTC Is Riding the Same Wave
"ETFs have now surpassed last year's record flows of $1.5T with 3.5mo to spare," said Bloomberg's Eric Balchunas.
Additionally, he put the scale in perspective: about 20 years ago, $100B in annual ETF flows counted as a strong year (image below). Now the industry is taking in more than that in a typical month...
Crypto is increasingly part of that same distribution machine. On Friday alone:
- BTC ETFs: +$433.0M
- ETH ETFs: +$143.8M
- SOL ETFs: +$47.6M
- $ZEC ETFs: +$37.7M
And Zcash is the one I find especially interesting. Its spot E

#ETH突破2700美元 #Gate广场中秋团圆局 Ethereum: Leading the Major-Coin Rebound, with Bulls and Bears Battling at 2,700
If Bitcoin’s move is a resilient recovery, Ethereum is the “leader” of this rebound. In the just-ended third quarter, Ethereum posted its best third-quarter performance ever, gaining 60% for the quarter, with the core driver being continued institutional inflows. Entering late September, this upward momentum is still continuing: In the early hours of September 21, Ethereum was the first to begin rising. During the 00:00–01:00 UTC period, it gained 1.27% in one hour, with its price quickly

$SNDK /USDT is range-bound by day but the 4h setup says otherwise.

$SNDK /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1795.91 – 1800.23
SL: 1824.97
TP1: 1777.90
TP2: 1764.45
TP3: 1744.27

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range, which usually traps traders, but the 4h bias is SHORT with 77.4 confidence. The 1h ATR of 8.62 means this market still moves enough to reach targets from the entry zone near 1798.07. The 15m RSI at 57.56 shows room to run lower before overbought, and TP1 at 1777.90 is already within one ATR of entry. TP2 sits at 1764.45, offering a clean 1.2x risk-reward if price re

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SNDK
The current price is in the four-hour resistance zone. Wait for a breakout, pullback, and stabilization above 1800 before attempting a small long position.
Target: 2000🚩

Short-term consensus was extremely strong: on September 21, the market almost unanimously believed BTC would hold 76000, with only very slight concern about a break below 78000.

Most traders are sleeping on SYMBOL while the 4h trend screams otherwise.

$ZEC /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1504.2 – 1518.8
SL: 1441.9
TP1: 1563.7
TP2: 1598.5
TP3: 1650.8

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is bullish with a 95 percent confidence score, and the 1h price is sitting right at the entry reference of 1511.5. The 15m RSI at 52.4 shows room to run without being overbought, while the 1h ATR of 29.016294 confirms enough volatility to push toward the first target of 1563.7 and beyond toward 1598.5. The entry zone between 1504.2 and 1518.8 is tight, giving a clean risk-to-r

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Nobody is talking about this $AVAX /USDT setup hiding in plain sight.

$AVAX /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 11.085 – 11.265
SL: 12.296
TP1: 10.334
TP2: 9.774
TP3: 8.933

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range, which means the 1h price of 11.175 sits at the top of a compression zone and the 15m RSI at 46.03 shows momentum is just turning bearish, not exhausted. The 1h ATR of 0.359239 tells us the average candle size is small enough that a breakdown can gap through the entry zone of 11.085 to 11.265 fast. This gives us a clean short with TP1 at 10.334 and TP2 at 9.774, while the

ETH Observations from a Scumbag
At the start of the new week, the scumbag is providing a relatively long-term planning update for Ethereum.
As shown in the chart below, Ethereum has just moved above the 576 and 676 levels of the Vagas tunnel line, accompanied by a MACD golden cross. This is definitely a good long-term entry point. The scumbag began building a position around 2660 with plans to hold for a relatively long period. Of course, judging from the 4-hour candlestick chart, the ideal entry point would be around 2400.
The best entry point has now moved to around 2200. These two levels wi

Market Setup 👀
Crypto sentiment is getting stretched with the Fear & Greed Index around 71, while $PEPE and $WLD have both posted weekly gains.
Instead of chasing strength, I’m watching for a possible pullback.
$PEPE Entry: 0.00398
SL: 0.00422
$WLD Entry: 0.4215
SL: 0.4447
I’m keeping the risk controlled at around 2% per position. WLD is a tricky setup after the recent move, so confirmation matters more than forcing a trade.
For me, this is about managing risk and waiting for the chart to confirm—not blindly fading every green candle.
DYOR. Not financial advice.

Short-term consensus: On September 21, the market was almost unanimous that Ethereum was firmly above $2,400, with the $2,300 and $2,200 support levels completely safe.

Bro Tong’s 9.21 ETH outlook
Enter short around $ETH 2699-2720, stop loss at 2750, first target 2600, second target 2550.
Current price: 2659. ETH was even stronger than BTC in this morning’s move, surging straight to 2708 before pulling back from the high. It dipped as low as 2642 and has now recovered to 2659.
The sharp rally is a fact, but it failed to hold above 2700. Don’t rush to go long after this kind of spike and retracement. Wait for a rebound to 2699-2720 and see whether it can hold again. If it fails to break higher, continue taking short positions; only abandon this plan if it trul

Overall tone: The Ethereum market is bullish in September, with the main expectation being a push toward $2,800.
Point of divergence: Whether it can continue rising to $2,900 remains uncertain; at the same time, the tail risk of a pullback to $2,500 remains.
Compared with BTC: ETH’s forecast probabilities are more differentiated than Bitcoin’s, indicating that Ethereum has greater elasticity, more intense bull-bear battles, and larger market volatility.

$NEAR Followed $BTC. Then It Ran Past It. 🟢
BTC held $80K. NEAR did not wait. It went from $2.30 last week to $4.26–$4.29. That’s roughly +80–90% in five sessions. Rank jumped back toward no.21 .Cap ~$5.6B.
This is not “NEAR is the new BTC.” This is high-beta follow-through.
What flipped
BTC floor at $80K gave alts permission.
NEAR already had a story: Intents TVL, confidential pipeline, AI narrative.
Chart was coiled above the $2.50 break. Once $3.20 cleared, momentum funds piled in.
Volume went vertical — this is not a quiet grind.
“Return the TOP” — be precise
Local 2026 high is back in pl