In-Depth Analysis of Bitcoin On-Chain Data: Unrealized Losses Continue to Widen, with the Zero Line as a Critical Make-or-Break Threshold

I. Key Market Data

Bitcoin dipped to the $68k level and has remained below the short-term holder average cost of $75.43k for 5 consecutive days. The price-to-cost ratio is about 0.9, leaving short-term entrants with overall unrealized losses of around 10%. Pressure from underwater holders continues to build, adding to the selling pressure that could weigh on any short-term rebound.

II. MVRV Z-Score Signals

Over the same period, the MVRV Z-Score fell 0.13

Today's market-wide selloff continues, and altcoins are crashing right along with it. $SOPH has been plunging nonstop. The 25x short has locked in a hefty +162.88% gain! From an average entry price of 0.001641, the price plunged to the latest 0.001532. This waterfall drop was perfectly captured, with the Red Bull Racing-style high-speed sprint delivering huge profits for the bears.

Technically, SOPH has been unable to rebound after breaking down, and 0.001641 has firmly turned into strong resistance. A slow grind downward is the most grueling; the lack of a sharp wick suggests the bulls have

Why Do You Always Get the Direction Right but Still Fail to Make Money?

In crypto trading, there is a particularly frustrating situation:

You correctly predict that BTC will rise, but end up making no money; you spot a downtrend early, yet your account still takes a loss.

Why do you still fail to make money even when you get the direction right?

In fact, predicting direction is only one part of trading. What really determines the outcome also includes entry points, position size, stop-loss settings, and execution discipline.

First, timing your entry is crucial. Suppose BTC rises from $60,

U.S. stocks are at a historic bottom, but Bitcoin and Ethereum are bottomless pits!
Crypto exchanges are now buying the dip in quality assets—namely U.S. stocks and gold. Institutions are also aggressively dumping BTC and ETH. Watch 67500-66500 for a short-term rebound trade in Bitcoin.
Watch 1840-1880 for a short-term rebound trade in Ethereum.
$BTC ‌
$ETH ‌

Why Can Prices Still Fall When the Order Book Shows a Large Number of Buy Orders?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people watch the order book and try to judge market direction based on buy and sell orders. When a large number of buy orders appear on the screen, some traders assume there is strong support below and that the price should not fall easily.

But reality is often more complicated. A large number of buy orders does not mean the price will necessarily rise; a large number of sell orders does not mean it will inevitably fall.

First, placed orders are not the same as executed trades.

#WhiteHouseSubmitsCFTCAndSECNominations

White House Sends Four SEC and CFTC Nominees to the Senate: Could This Reshape America's Crypto Regulatory Future?

A Major Move in U.S. Financial Regulation

The White House has submitted four bipartisan nominations to the U.S. Senate for key positions at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Announced on November 12, 2026, the nominations represent an important step toward rebuilding leadership at two of America's most influential financial regulatory agencies.

The announcement matters beyo

$BTC It has officially broken below 70K. This drop has been even more brutal than I expected…

From last night into today, BTC sold off relentlessly, hitting a low near 67.4K. It was down nearly 6% over 24 hours, and only then did a slight rebound emerge

On the macro front, expectations that the Fed will raise rates again are growing, the U.S. tech sector is also under pressure, and continued ETF outflows have significantly worsened liquidity conditions for risk assets

After 70K gave way, large numbers of leveraged longs were liquidated, further amplifying the decline

Looking at the charts,

Everyone says institutions are scooping up $HYPE , but the market is up just 1.2% and isn't buying it. I'm bearish.

There’s been talk this morning that Hyperliquid turned things around in Q3 thanks to yield on its USDC reserves, with institutions scooping up $HYPE. Is the market buying it? No—I’m bearish.

$HYPE is now at 72.37, up just +1.2% over 24h, with a volume ratio of only 0.987—I don't trust a low-volume rebound.

First, the trend is ugly—7d -7.78%, 30d -10.45%, daily RSI at 36.2, and the MACD has been in a death cross below the zero line for 6 days;

Second, the big guy is already do

In crypto contract trading, there is a very harsh fact: many accounts are not wiped out by a single bad judgment, but because traders refuse to cut their losses even when they are already in the red.

Why is using a stop-loss so important?

First, it limits the risk of each trade. The market is always uncertain, and no matter how thorough your analysis is, you can never guarantee that every trade will be correct. Setting a stop-loss in advance can limit the damage a mistake does to your account.

Second, it prevents small losses from turning into big ones. When traders see the price moving aga

What is a long liquidation? Why can the market experience a cascading decline when prices fall?

In the cryptocurrency market, prices sometimes initially dip only slightly, then suddenly accelerate downward. In addition to selling pressure in the spot market, one possible cause is long liquidations.

Understanding the liquidation mechanism helps traders recognize leverage risks and analyze why some market moves can become unusually volatile in a short period of time.

First, what is a long liquidation?

Long traders buy assets or open bullish contract positions, expecting prices to rise. When

Many people treat a “moving average golden cross” as a sufficient condition for a healthy trend. This is a classic misreading of indicators. Moving averages only describe the position of the price’s center of gravity, not momentum. To truly judge whether a trend is healthy, look at whether the price’s center of gravity, the momentum histogram, and the volatility range are all moving in the same direction. Take $MUB as an example: the current price of 801.89 is above MA5 (794.936), but MA5 remains below MA20 (798.606), indicating that the short-term center of gravity has just moved up while th

Can Sharp Pullbacks Happen in a Bull Market? How to Distinguish a Normal Correction from a Trend Reversal?

In the cryptocurrency market, many traders have had this experience: BTC rises continuously for a while, then suddenly takes a sharp dip. Some see it as a normal correction and keep holding; others think the bull market is over and rush to sell.

But how should you tell the difference?

First, watch the market structure. In a healthy uptrend, prices usually form progressively higher highs and higher lows. Even if a pullback occurs, the uptrend structure may still be intact as long as key

Why might holding multiple correlated cryptocurrencies still fail to truly diversify risk?

In cryptocurrency trading, some people hold BTC, ETH, and other altcoins at the same time to reduce risk. They believe that as long as they hold enough different coins, other assets may offset losses if one of them falls.

But there is an easily overlooked problem: holding multiple different coins does not mean you have truly diversified your risk. If these assets are highly correlated under market stress, they may all fall at the same time.

First, why might different coins fall together?

Many assets

What Exactly Is the Difference Between Limit Orders and Market Orders? Many People Get It Wrong from the Start

In cryptocurrency trading, placing an order may look like simply clicking buy or sell, but different order types also mean different execution methods, price controls, and execution risks. Understanding limit orders and market orders is an important first step toward building trading discipline.

First, limit orders: prioritize price control.

A limit order lets you specify the highest price you are willing to pay to buy or the lowest price you are willing to accept to sell. For exam

GM GM Fam ❤️
Stay focused….Stay building…… Hold your bags
The best days of crypto is ahead 😇

How Can You Control Your Trading Psychology? 5 Practical Methods to Avoid Emotional Trading!

In cryptocurrency trading, one phenomenon is very common: many people have studied technical analysis and made trading plans, but once they actually enter the market, they often make decisions that completely contradict their plans.

After a loss, they rush to win it back; when they see BTC rise rapidly, they fear missing out; after making a small profit, they worry it will disappear. In the end, they keep buying high and selling low.

Why is trading psychology so important?

First, revenge trading af

Can tourists in Thailand now scan to pay with USDT? Don’t get too excited just yet—let’s break this down 🇹🇭
Thai media reported on November 12 that an app called WORPT is connecting crypto assets with Thailand’s PromptPay: after completing identity verification, foreign tourists can convert stablecoins such as $USDT and $USDC into baht, top up an e-wallet, and then scan merchants’ Thai QR codes to pay.
My first thought was: So in the future, can I just pull out my phone and scan with stablecoins to grab a bowl of boat noodles from a Bangkok street stall? 😂
But a few key points need clarif

Why Is Position Sizing More Important Than Simply Lowering Leverage?

In cryptocurrency trading, when many people think about reducing risk, their first thought is to lower leverage. But a more important question is often overlooked: How large a position have you actually opened, and how much could this trade cost your account at most?

Leverage determines how capital is used, while position size directly affects how price movements impact profit and loss. Lowering leverage without controlling position size does not necessarily reduce risk effectively.

First, actual risk exposure is what trul