#Gate上线台股交易 #Gate股票畅聊季 Compared with the Asian AI supply chain, I’m more bullish on leading US tech stocks. Opportunities in the Asian AI supply chain are very real, but its orders depend on overseas giants, making it more vulnerable to budget cuts.
US market leaders — cash flow first
Advantages: Microsoft, Google, and Amazon have cloud and advertising revenue to fund their own AI investments.
Risks: Meta’s free cash flow is expected to be negative by $22 billion in 2026, and S&P has lowered its rating outlook.
What to watch: Nvidia’s earnings guidance in mid-to-late November will determine whether this round of AI investment can continue.
Asian supply chain — orders first
Advantages: AI-related industries in the A-share market posted strong profit growth in the first three quarters, and InnoLight’s customer orders are booked through 2027.
Risks: If overseas giants slow data center construction, memory and optical modules will be among the first segments under pressure.
What to watch: Anthropic’s valuation when it goes public will directly affect upstream suppliers’ order expectations.
My trading strategy
Buy in stages; don’t chase prices. The Nasdaq 100 fell about 6.65% in October, already absorbing some of the valuation.
For US stocks, choose companies with strong cloud businesses and stable cash flow; for Asia, choose companies with visible orders and high gross margins.
Diversify positions across both markets, keeping exposure on either side within a tolerable range.
⚠️ The above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice.
US market leaders — cash flow first
Advantages: Microsoft, Google, and Amazon have cloud and advertising revenue to fund their own AI investments.
Risks: Meta’s free cash flow is expected to be negative by $22 billion in 2026, and S&P has lowered its rating outlook.
What to watch: Nvidia’s earnings guidance in mid-to-late November will determine whether this round of AI investment can continue.
Asian supply chain — orders first
Advantages: AI-related industries in the A-share market posted strong profit growth in the first three quarters, and InnoLight’s customer orders are booked through 2027.
Risks: If overseas giants slow data center construction, memory and optical modules will be among the first segments under pressure.
What to watch: Anthropic’s valuation when it goes public will directly affect upstream suppliers’ order expectations.
My trading strategy
Buy in stages; don’t chase prices. The Nasdaq 100 fell about 6.65% in October, already absorbing some of the valuation.
For US stocks, choose companies with strong cloud businesses and stable cash flow; for Asia, choose companies with visible orders and high gross margins.
Diversify positions across both markets, keeping exposure on either side within a tolerable range.
⚠️ The above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice.
