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BTC has been moving sideways for three days, with the price fluctuating within a range. Many traders are starting to feel anxious: should they go long or short?

In fact, the most common mistake in a sideways market is trying to predict the direction of a breakout too early.

There are three signals to watch when assessing a breakout.

First, trading volume. If volume continues to increase as the price approaches the top of the range, it indicates rising market participation. But higher volume alone does not guarantee a rise; you also need to see whether the price can hold above the breakout l
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BTC-0.67%
BTC has been trading sideways for three days, with the price fluctuating within a range. Many traders are starting to feel anxious: should they go long or short?

In fact, one of the easiest mistakes to make in a sideways market is trying to predict the direction of a breakout in advance.

To assess a breakout, focus on three signals.

First, trading volume. When the price approaches the upper end of the range, a sustained increase in volume indicates rising market participation. But higher volume alone does not necessarily mean the price will rise; you also need to watch whether the price can
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BTC-0.67%
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#BTC
Cycle spiral.
Friends, I wrapped Bitcoin $BTC price around a 4-year clock face. Each full rotation is 4 years. The farther from the center, the higher the price.
The red dots are cycle peaks. All four peaks in 2013, 2017, 2021, and 2025 are clustered in the lower half of the dial, in the last quarter of the year after the halving.
The green dots are cycle bottoms. The 2015, 2018, and 2022 bottoms are clustered in the lower-left area.
The black dot is today. Calendar-wise, we're in the area where the previous three bottoms occurred.
The bottom so far in this cycle is 57,734 on July 1. If i
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BTC-0.67%
A high win rate does not mean high profitability. What truly determines trading results is the ratio between each profit and loss.

Many trading strategies look excellent: an 80% win rate, multiple consecutive wins, and a very attractive backtest curve.

But if each win is only $10 while one loss reaches $50, a problem arises.

Suppose you make 100 trades:
• 80 wins, earning $10 each, for a total of $800.
• 20 losses, losing $50 each, for a total of $1,000.

Final result: a loss of $200, not including fees, funding rates, and slippage.

This shows that win rate is only one part of a trading sy
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Why Can Trading Prices and Redemption Values Differ During a Stablecoin Depeg?

Many people believe that because a stablecoin targets a price of $1, it can always be bought or sold for $1.

But the reality is not that simple.

When market liquidity is ample and confidence is stable, stablecoin trading prices usually fluctuate around their peg. If panic hits the market, redemption demand surges, or related mechanisms come under pressure, the trading price may deviate from $1.

Understanding this phenomenon requires distinguishing among three concepts: market price, liquidity, and redemption mec
Why does a larger position make it easier to lose money even when the market moves in your favor?
In crypto trading, many people believe that once they’ve correctly read the market, they should increase their position as much as possible. After all, for the same price movement, a larger position means more profit.
But reality is often much harsher: sometimes, even when you correctly predict the market direction, an oversized position forces you out before the move really takes off.
Why does this happen?
First, the larger your position, the more sensitive your account is to price fluctuations.
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In cryptocurrency trading, there is a very common phenomenon: many people are always in a hurry to close their positions when they are in profit; once they incur a loss, they are unwilling to cut it.

Why does this happen?

First, when people are in profit, they fear that the gains they have already made will disappear. When the price pulls back slightly, they worry the trend is reversing, so they sell early. As a result, trades that could have yielded much greater returns end up making only a little.

Second, when they are losing, people are often unwilling to admit that their judgment may ha
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zec hit another new low, time to make a move, guys
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ZEC+1.29%
SOL previously presented a short setup around 89. The market weakened as expected, dipping to a low of 81.25, and short profits were successfully locked in—the timing was spot on.

Looking at the current chart, the daily Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with price consistently tracking the lower band. MACD remains negative, and each high is lower than the last. The broader bearish trend remains unchanged.
On the 4-hour chart, price has consistently failed to break above the Bollinger midline. Each modest rebound has met resistance and pulled back, representing weak consolidation during th
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SOL-0.74%
Gate Live Carnival Final Leaderboard Race! TOP 10 Rankings Revealed — Win Exclusive Merchandise!

It's the final day of the event, and the competition is heating up! The current Top 7 users are all tied at 5,641 Heat Points. In case of a tie, users who earned the points earlier by completing tasks will rank higher!
🎁 TOP 10 Bonus Rewards: Each of the Top 10 users will receive 1 exclusive piece of Gate merchandise!
🎯 Every 80 Heat Points unlocks 1 lucky draw entry! You still have a chance to win exciting rewards, including an iPhone DUO, GT, USDT, and futures trial funds!
⏰ The event ends tod
GateLive
Gate Live Carnival Final Leaderboard Race! TOP 10 Rankings Revealed — Win Exclusive Merchandise!
It's the final day of the event, and the competition is heating up! The current Top 7 users are all tied at 5,641 Heat Points. In case of a tie, users who earned the points earlier by completing tasks will rank higher!
🎁 TOP 10 Bonus Rewards: Each of the Top 10 users will receive 1 exclusive piece of Gate merchandise!
🎯 Every 80 Heat Points unlocks 1 lucky draw entry! You still have a chance to win exciting rewards, including an iPhone DUO, GT, USDT, and futures trial funds!
⏰ The event ends today! Check your Heat Points and ranking now. Don't miss your final chance to climb the leaderboard and win big!
👉 Watch Live Now: https://www.gate.com/live
👉 Join Now: https://www.gate.com/activities/watch-to-earn?now_period=27
repost-content-media
GT-2.41%
$PIEVERSE A brutal one-day shakeout: down 19.14% in 24 hours to 1.6925, with a low of 1.6781 and trading volume of 113.6 million—retail traders couldn't generate this kind of selling volume; this is a chain reaction of leveraged liquidations.
First, let's compare the current data with the three historical halving bull-market cycles. In the 12th month after the first halving, altcoins generally pulled back 15-25% before resuming their climb; in the 10th month after the second halving, a similar intraday wick of around 20% appeared, followed by a recovery over the next two weeks; during the thir
PIEVERSE+0.50%
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Why does a sudden surge in trading volume not necessarily mean a trend reversal?
In cryptocurrency trading, many people see BTC trading volume suddenly surge and assume the market is about to undergo a major change.
Especially when prices are falling rapidly, the appearance of a huge volume bar leads many to think it is a bottom signal and rush to buy the dip.
But the opposite may happen: the price continues to fall.
Why is that?
First, a surge in trading volume only indicates increased trading activity; it does not directly show that buying pressure has exceeded selling pressure. Every trade
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BTC-0.67%
How Should Hot and Cold Wallets Be Used Together? From Daily Transactions to Long-Term Asset Custody

In the Web3 world, wallets are important tools for managing digital assets. However, when choosing a wallet, many newcomers focus only on ease of use and overlook the differences between wallets in terms of security, how they work, and the situations they are suited for.

How should you choose between a hot wallet and a cold wallet?

The answer is not simply that cold wallets are necessarily right for everyone. Instead, you need to understand their respective features and build a sensible asse
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Afternoon Market Updates
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LIVE1,961
Why Do So Many People Keep Losing Money in Choppy Markets?
In crypto trading, many people like trending markets because they can go long when prices rise and short when they fall, making the direction relatively easy to judge.
But choppy markets are often what cause many traders to keep losing money.
Why?
First, choppy markets are most likely to produce false breakouts. BTC might just break through an important resistance level, making people think an uptrend is about to begin, but the price soon falls back into its previous range.
Traders who chase the rally get trapped, while those who short
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BTC-0.67%
Why Do You Always Get the Direction Right but Still Fail to Make Money?

In crypto trading, there’s a particularly frustrating situation:

You correctly predict that BTC will rise, but end up making no money; you spot a downtrend early, yet your account still takes a loss.

Why do you still fail to make money even when you get the direction right?

In fact, predicting direction is only one part of trading. What really determines the outcome also includes entry price, position size, stop-loss settings, and execution discipline.

First, timing your entry is crucial. Suppose BTC rises from $60,00
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BTC-0.65%
afternoon updates
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#AnthropicIPOValuationCouldReach1.4T
#Anthropic推进IPO估值最高1.4万亿美元
Anthropic’s $1.4 Trillion IPO Ambition: The AI Revolution Is Entering a New Era!
The global artificial intelligence race is becoming bigger than ever, and Anthropic is positioning itself at the center of this transformation. The company behind Claude AI is attracting enormous attention as projections suggest that its potential IPO valuation could reach an astonishing $1.4 trillion.
This is not just another technology industry headline. It represents the growing belief that artificial intelligence could become one of the most v
GOOGL-0.25%
AMZN+1.45%
NVDA-5.47%
$SNDK I was wrong. I can't believe I didn't trust you to reach 900, mainly because you hurt me so deeply a couple of days ago.
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SNDK-0.18%
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