DrunkenInkDiscussion

Market Analyst

Futures Trading Strategist

Diamond Hands

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The way of Heaven is to diminish what is excessive and supplement what is insufficient; the way of man is to diminish what is insufficient and offer it to what is excessive.

The way of heaven is mean reversion; the way of man is trend continuation. Both laws are valid, but they take turns dominating the same market. The question has never been which law is correct, but which one is in effect at this moment.

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2 days ago

Could it be that I guessed Bitcoin’s move right again? A flash in the pan 😂
Every article is on the homepage; feel free to verify the accuracy of reversal points on BTC’s 4-hour and higher timeframes~
You can also move XRP’s stop-loss up to 1.3155 now.

BTC-1.14%

XRP-4.86%

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2 days ago

ENA precisely reached near the first target, while BTC had already signaled that the 4-hour “3 buy” was a buying opportunity before the news broke. The news can only change the lower-timeframe structure, not the higher-timeframe trend, and the price has now started rebounding as expected.

ENA-1.55%

BTC-1.14%

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2 days ago

ENA holders can take profits in the short term; medium-term holders can set a breakeven stop-loss and continue holding. The target remains unchanged.
Congratulations to everyone who followed.

DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-16 21:57:49

Market Analysis

ENA-1.55%

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-16

Summarize the Federal Reserve meeting.

The two-year yield rose 7 basis points at the close, pricing in 3.2 more rate hikes ahead and a Fed rate of 4.7%, well above the 4.1% in the dot plot (2027). I think the market is overly pessimistic about the number of hikes in the cycle.

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-16

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-16

Transcript of Warsh’s remarks at the Federal Reserve press conference

Transcript of Warsh’s Remarks at the Federal Reserve Press Conference

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-12

DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-11

Every thought and intention is a cause; everything experienced in the present is an effect,
All living beings suffer; suffering lies in attachment, and life’s difficulty lies in letting go.
A single thought of attachment brings endless suffering. A single thought of letting go is rebirth.

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-09

Two Things More Important Than Market Conditions This Mid-Month Week

This week, quite a few people have been drawing all over the candlestick charts, trying to find the next direction. But honestly, many of the real variables lately aren’t on the charts—they’re in Washington.

BTC-1.14%

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-09

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-07

The golden cross is coming, but Bitcoin’s real signal isn’t here.

Indicators are products of trends, not the causes of them. The reason a golden cross can excite people is that it always appears only after a substantial portion of a decent rally has already played out. It tells you “what happened in the past,” but rarely tells you “whether it will continue from here.”

BTC-1.14%

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-05

The Crypto Market Through Chan Theory: The Meat Grinder in the Consolidation Zone and the “Inaction” Most People Can’t Understand

I’m increasingly inclined to view trading as two separate parts: structural analysis is a technical skill, while position and mindset management is a practice.
The former can be rapidly improved by studying Chan theory and reviewing candlestick charts; the latter requires being tempered by real losses and real time.

ASTER-5.23%

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-05

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DrunkenInkDiscussion2026-09-05

near recovered its evening losses and quickly reached the first target
From ada and uni to morpho and aave, then sol and near—the recommended altcoins currently have a 100% win rate and are all leading performers, perfectly catching the rotation rhythm of altcoins in this market cycle
Understanding technical analysis does not necessarily mean making money, and knowing how to read the market does not necessarily mean being able to select the right coins
The next altcoin has already been selected; now we wait for good news