runesleo

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I always thought Codex had been absurdly slow lately because I had installed too many Skills.
Then I checked the logs, and that was completely wrong.
One step took 138.6 minutes, involved 206 model/tool round trips, and spent 54.9 minutes just waiting for sub-Agents—but it didn’t load a single Skill.
What really slows down Agents is often neither the model nor Skills, but over-orchestration:
- Stacking full-history sub-Agents under the Ultra controller
- Multiple rounds of “review → fix → re-review”
- High-frequency polling
- Running full-repository tests for every minor change
I’ve just chang
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When you work alone, the hardest part isn’t having nothing to do; it’s opening your computer in the morning and not knowing where to start.
I later realized the root of the problem was trying to do two completely different things at the same time.
One is **looking at the world**—what’s happening out there, whether anything relevant to me has changed, and which developments are worth following. The nature of this task is filtering: the input comes from outside, and when it’s done, there should be a list of “0–3 things worth looking at.”
The other is **managing yourself**—what I have in progress
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When you ask AI to handle something for you, how does it get past the password step?
I’ve seen three approaches, and the risks are worlds apart:
1. Paste the password directly into the conversation—the easiest, and the worst. That sentence will enter the context, the logs, and possibly the training data, and you can’t take it back.
2. Have the Agent read your password manager—it sounds professional, but it gets the plaintext, and you don’t know where that context goes afterward.
3. The Agent only initiates the request; you click to confirm in the password manager’s own interface, and the value
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Super convenient automatic replacement of pinned conversations in an AI agent client! The conversation chip in AI apps is so useful now.
When a conversation goes on too long and reaches its limit, there’s no need to force it or switch manually.
Just have the AI automatically open a new window with the same role and continue the conversation,
or replace it with a new sidebar entry pinned at the top.
One automation, three uses:
1. Direct it in this conversation to take over another conversation as the pinned one
2. Open a new window to continue with forked or temporary tasks
3. Dis
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Secured the Cloudflare Wallet brand name first:
☁️
Currently, each Cloudflare account can claim only one handle. If you want to keep the brand name, you can go take a look first:
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Try this prompt with your own AI:
【Discuss with me what kind of person I want to become ten years from now.
Don't just talk about abstract visions; help me clarify my finances, work, health, and relationships.
From now on, guide me through a weekly review: Did what I did this week bring me closer to that direction? If I veered off course, tell me the one thing I should adjust next week.】
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Many people misunderstood this change:
Polymarket didn’t change the starting line; it changed the end-point determination.
The starting line is still this round’s Price to Beat; the end point has changed from the last instantaneous price to the average price over the last 30/60 seconds.
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A Polymarket player with about a 96% win rate on the main battleground: I split BipBop’s 1,632 trades into separate positions
This account on the leaderboard: BipBop
1,632 settled positions, main battleground win rate about 96%, positive for multiple consecutive months.
Most people’s first reaction is: copy him.
We actually backtested that layer that looks “like him” — turning “buy 0.85–0.95 high-probability markets, and get to settlement” into a mechanical strategy, backtesting 5,378 markets (high-probability bucket compared group): win rate 88.9%, net profit −2.5%.
Win rate is an illusion. A
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Codex is down—congratulations, everyone is about to welcome a new round of credit limit resets!
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Automated trading is all the rage right now, and everyone is teaching people to have Claude place orders directly.
But permissions shouldn’t be tied together like this.
One rule you can take away is: research permissions can be given to an Agent, but trading permissions (wallet, signing, placing orders) must not be handed over together.
The correct split is: only open a public, read-only research interface; the execution interface is always separate and requires manual approval.
polymarket-toolkit does exactly this.
After GitHub open-sources runesleo/polymarket-toolkit, MCP provides
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When you’re not at home and the elderly are not by your side, and they also have very specific needs, with AI now, it really becomes convenient to create highly customized small tools.
For example, in my family, an elderly person needs to do muscle rehabilitation training for a period of time. I turned the movements and intensities that have already been confirmed into a web page specifically for him: when you open it, you can immediately see what to train today, with one item per screen that you can follow directly. If the plan changes later, I can also update the page for them right away.
In
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Where does the money in weather markets come from?
Many niche opportunities look like toys at first glance.
Weather markets especially do.
The city, the target date, the high/low temperature, temperature thresholds or ranges, yes/no contracts (YES/NO)—all the official settlement inputs.
But after following it for a while, I’ve become increasingly certain of one thing:
The real alpha in this kind of niche markets is usually hidden somewhere others can’t be bothered to structure.
Here, alpha means “potential excess-return opportunities that may exist in the market.”
In this issue of Leo Insider,
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Many people, before setting up a GitHub project, will first check the number of Stars.
Stars are just a discovery signal. What ultimately determines whether you can actually install it are the four gates before installation.
Take a repository that currently has only about 1 Star as an example: chungty/unjiggle.
The command is: pip install unjiggle.
With AI + it, it organized 304 iPhone apps into 3 pages.
On the first write-back, the system immediately rearranged the layout, thinking it had failed; only after the second full read-and-write did it stabilize for real.
The path it takes is backup
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Everyone is asking AI to write code, but today I did something even more thrilling—getting it to write a piece of code that can automatically spend real money and place orders with zero human supervision.
First, I laid out the decision logic card: I thought through the boundaries, the worst-case scenarios, and the kill conditions before I dared to touch it. I initially wanted Codex to set up the actuators by itself, but the dispatch channel was unstable all day, so I switched to building it incrementally in my own main thread.
Before going live, I ran 7 rounds of adversarial code reviews, and
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scarletxanin:
thanks a lot for this
On X, the screenshots and numbers that look the most over-the-top are actually the easiest to verify in the AI era.
If you give the original post and the screenshots to AI for deep analysis—reporting standards for the figures, gaps in the evidence, and contradictions between what comes before and what follows—everything will quickly come to light.
Which ones are trustworthy and which ones aren’t is no longer as hard to check as it used to be.
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Recently, I went back and restructured multi-model routing, adding explicit downgrade receipts and an artificial-action gate. The goal is to keep the system controllable even when a model goes wrong.
On the day Hugging Face’s official disclosure on 2026-07-16 released attack logs with more than 17,000 records, I realized that I hadn’t actually checked whether the self-hosted analysis route could be used on the day of the incident at all.
The Hugging Face team first used frontier models from a commercial API to process these logs. As a result, the real attack commands, exploit payloads, and C2
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Five days ago, I locked all four lanes—Claude, Codex, Cursor, and Grok—into the strongest model with the highest reasoning setting. The idea was: since I paid for it, I should use the best fully.
Five days later, I realized I can’t handle it at all. The quota drops too fast. The strongest model ends up doing redundant checks and formatting work—pure waste.
Now I’ve changed it: I split by judgment density. For tasks where mistakes would cost money or contaminate data—reviews, cross-validation, funding strategy—I keep the strongest seat. For day-to-day implementation and development, I use a mid
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Many people see that real-world events have already ended, and the market headlines are crystal clear, even with prices showing close to 0 or 1, and they assume the Polymarket market has already reached final settlement.
In fact, these signals alone cannot prove that the market has been conclusively settled. Headlines only describe the question, and displayed prices are only a reflection of the current market.
My screening gate only allows one line: pass these six questions first. If any item can’t be clarified, skip this market.
1. What exactly does the Rules ask.
The headline only describes
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