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, Market Overview: Rally fades, falls below $64,000
On July 25, Bitcoin saw a round of sharp rally-then-drawdown action. Early Friday morning, BTC briefly rose to $65,705, but was then hit by heavy sell pressure. Within 7 hours, it slid all the way to an intraday low of $63,666, with the market value erasing more than $20 million. As of press time, Bitcoin is temporarily trading around $63,878, down about 0.30% on the day.
The drop triggered large-scale liquidation of leveraged positions—$312 million in leveraged positions across the entire market were liquidated, including $70 million in long

Bitcoin/Ethereum have been consolidating at high levels over the past few days. We have warned multiple times about the “buy high then short” and “add-to-short” opportunities, and the market kept falling until it hovered around 64,600 for BTC and 1,860 for ETH—overall, the room is visible. Now the market has rebounded somewhat again, and it also provides another opportunity for short entries. The 4-hour chart shows recent range-bound consolidation. The latest candlestick is a bullish candle, indicating that short-term buying pressure has strengthened. On the daily chart, yesterday printed a hu

7.25 market trend analysis
Two-bing Silk Road reference layout
Entry range: rebound around 1870—1880
Stop-loss: above 1890
First target: 1850; second target: 1830
If you want to do a “duo” around 1850 to stabilize, then targets can be set in sequence to around 1880
Bollinger middle band 1900.33, upper band 1955.00, lower band 1845.67; current price 1862.23 is trading below the middle band. Overall the bands are sloping downward, with the middle band 1900 forming strong mid-term resistance, and the lower band 1845 as a key support zone.
On the 4-hour timeframe, during the rebound phase, volume

US stock gold levels:
Sell gold around 4065 short first, look for 15 points; if it breaks below 4049, you can add to the position.
Cut-loss at 4085 short, 4102 short; all shorts should be reduced while holding long-term.
Go long at 4030, stop loss 8 points.
Go long at 4009, target 20 points; go long at 3963, target 40 points; go long at 3915, target 40 points; go long at 3840, hold long-term with a 70-point reduction. These supports are also pressure levels—if it breaks down and can’t rebound back up, you can also short around here. We’re still looking to go short first.
US stocks and gold

7.24 ETH Analysis
After the ETH hourly cycle formed a top exhaustion structure and broke out of the main sell-off driven wave, the price fell below the Bollinger mid-band value nexus. The long/short positioning structure has completed its switch; the current rebound is only an exhaustion-type rebound, and there are no structural conditions for a trend reversal.
The Bollinger Channel shows a diverging downward formation, with the mid-band constructing a strong resistance barrier. The short-term long/short contest threshold is 1888. The key support for core positions is 1858; if it is effectiv

7.22 morning outlook
From the four-hour chart, it’s clear that after the market continuously printed five strong bullish candles and surged, it has entered a technical, normal pullback-and-repair phase. Current price is moving steadily along the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, and the pattern where the bulls control the market remains solid
In the evening, the price pushed up to the intraday high point and then saw a slight pullback, but the downside room is very limited. Overall, the uptrend structure remains intact. Don’t over-panic about this adjustment—this is the main force buildin

$BTC In the early-morning market snapshot, a typical “liquidity-hunting trap” structure emerged. After the price quickly rebounded once the quote touched after 65,300, the rebound stalled abruptly around the 65,780 area. The upside space is extremely limited, highlighting that bullish momentum is severely insufficient. The price then shifted into a step-like downward move. This is not a benign pullback; it is a downtrend continuation pattern. Each time there is a modest upward bounce, it turns into fresh sell pressure, indicating that near-term control has been fully handed over to the bears.

7.16 Midday Analysis
BTC keeps consolidating within the intraday range and is still forming a base.
News: U.S. inflation data came in above expectations, bringing the expectation for further rate hikes sharply lower. ETF funds returned, driving BTC to break up past 65,000, setting a three-week new high. Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, along with a bearish line tied to ETF outflows, will exert pressure on upside.
Technical: On the daily chart, three lines are turning together and heading upward; the bullish trend is gradually taking shape. RSI is around 60. The price is still in th

A four-hour session sees a high-volume drop—are the duck orders still okay?
On the day’s outlook, it’s already been stated very clearly: breaking below 6,350 means there are continuous sell orders above, so the downtrend will definitely continue. Add in the recent Israel-Iran conflict causing more trouble, and with CPI key data coming up—if fighting breaks out, inflation will surge and rate cuts won’t be on the table. Institutions will inevitably sell off the chips they hold. The alert that after a break below 6,450, chasing a short on the right side could still drop into nearly 2,000 points o

7.12 evening Silk Road
BTC first surged to 64680 and hit the top point, then the upward momentum directly died out. Several attempts to push higher failed to break the top point, and overhead pressure is especially heavy.
Now it’s just grinding back and forth around 64000. The rebound strength is very weak, and there’s little capital willing to enter for the long/position-taking (“buy the dip”). A lot of profit-taking sell orders have accumulated at the top level, so in the evening the market is likely to consolidate with a downward move to adjust.
BTC if it reacts around 64600-65100, look tow

Don’t laugh—this is a “silly method” I relied on, and it turned into a 240x gain in crypto!
It sounds like a story, but it’s the truth: I used it to turn 200k into over 50 million!
Four years ago, I was trapped in crypto misconceptions: I got obsessed with all kinds of indicators, stayed up late to watch the charts and review trades, and believed that if I was technically proficient enough, I could profit. But reality was completely the opposite. Frequent trading not only didn’t grow my account—it repeatedly led to liquidations and ongoing losses.
Until a seasoned old “crypto grinder” finally

Don’t laugh—I’m making it work with a “foolproof method,” and I turned crypto into a 240x gain!
It sounds like a story, but I truly used it to roll 200,000 into over 50 million!
Four years ago, I was trapped in a crypto misconception: I became obsessed with researching all kinds of indicators, staying up late to watch the charts and review trades, and thinking that if I understood the technical side well enough, I could profit. But the reality was completely the opposite—frequent trading not only failed to grow my account; it repeatedly got me liquidated and kept me in continuous losses.
Until

BTC is currently in a state of having risen for a wave and then taking a break. Previously, it was pulled up in one go from 57,700 to around 64,600. The short-term momentum has run out, and it has entered a pullback range with consolidation and volatility.
On the 1-hour timeframe, over the past two days it has been back and forth in a 63,600 to 64,500 range. The current quote is around 63,800. The indicators are diverging downward, and the short-term trend is relatively weak. First, watch the 63,600 support level below; if it can’t hold, it will most likely probe further downward.
On the 4-hou

7.12 BTC/ETH midday thoughts
BTC pushed up to 63,989.2 and failed at resistance, then pulled back. Currently ➕ 63,973.8. Near-term resistance is 63,982.0, and support below is 63,919.0. In the short term, the moving averages flatten and form downward pressure; the rally lacks momentum, and further upside after hitting the top looks weak. Overall, the market is consolidating with a bearish bias.
ETH pushed up to 1,805.62, then the “candle top” lacked strength to continue the move upward, and simultaneously entered a pullback行情. Currently ➕ 1,804.98. Upper resistance is 1,805.37, and support is

7.12 Sunday BTC midday outlook
Current spot Bitcoin price is trading in the 63,960–64,120 range, with only minor fluctuations over 24 hours, down slightly by 0.24%. Overall, the day maintains a tight sideways consolidation pattern. The 24-hour trading volume is down 40% month-over-month, and the market has entered a low-volume grinding-and-rest phase. Longs and shorts are temporarily caught in a balanced standoff. This is a technical rebound/repair setup after a big drop, and it has not yet broken out into a one-way trend scenario. On the perpetual futures market, the funding rate remains slig

Focus on how BTC tests the high-level resistance area above, especially the key suppression around 65,000. If the price rebounds to this area and struggles there, the likelihood of a short-term pullback will rise significantly.
For observers, consider timing a short position within the 64,500–65,200 range, with a target of 63,000.
Whether there is room to move lower depends on further confirmation of gains and losses at this level.
$BTC $ETH