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A four-hour session sees a high-volume drop—are the duck orders still okay?
On the day’s outlook, it’s already been stated very clearly: breaking below 6,350 means there are continuous sell orders above, so the downtrend will definitely continue. Add in the recent Israel-Iran conflict causing more trouble, and with CPI key data coming up—if fighting breaks out, inflation will surge and rate cuts won’t be on the table. Institutions will inevitably sell off the chips they hold. The alert that after a break below 6,450, chasing a short on the right side could still drop into nearly 2,000 points of space is also close to that. At crucial times, don’t stand on the wrong side of the move!
For ETH: the alert was that a break below 1,780 means chasing the short to look for the downside toward 1,750–1,710, which also reached the target as expected. Next, we’ll watch the rebound and how strongly it repairs. If on the four-hour chart price can close above 1,780 for a top-bottom conversion, the market will keep ranging. If it can’t reclaim and hold it, the market will continue to weaken. Hold your duck order and stay steady—at the daily level, the pullback room is huge!
The impact of the macro narrative will only show up after the market reacts, because in crypto trading people buy expectations and sell the facts. In the short term, stay pinned to the key level. The only thing you can worry about is profit space—but if you’re wrong on direction, then it comes down to choosing between cutting losses and liquidation. Your choice decides your future!
$BTC $ETH
In the daytime outlook, I’ve already laid it out very clearly: breaking below 6350 means there’s continued sell pressure above, so the downtrend is definitely set to continue. Add to that the recent Iran–Israel conflict causing more noise, and with CPI key data coming next, if fighting breaks out inflation will spike and rate cuts won’t happen—institutions will inevitably sell the chips they hold. If you look at the guidance: breaking below 6450 and chasing short on the right side should still carry you close to about a 2000-point downside space. At critical moments, don’t take the wrong direction!
For ETH: breaking below 1780, chasing the short and watching the downside 1750–1710 also hit the target as expected. Next, we just need to see how strong the bounce and rebound repair is. If the four-hour timeframe can close above 1780 for a top-to-bottom conversion, the market will remain in a range. If it can’t reclaim that level and fails to close, the price will keep weakening. Hold your short orders and stay steady—at the daily timeframe level, the pullback room is huge!
The impact of macro narratives only shows up on the chart before the reaction, because after all, crypto trading is all about buying expectations and selling facts. In the short term, focus on locking in the key turning points. What you can worry about is only the profit space—but if you’re wrong on direction, then it’s only a choice between getting stopped out and liquidation. Your choice decides your future road!
$BTC $ETH