HoushanRenA

10.8 Market Analysis
I. Market Overview
Macroeconomic interest rate expectations have been repriced, and the broader market has pulled back toward the strong support level mentioned yesterday (core long positions are being held). As of now, Bitcoin is fluctuating around $83,000, while Ethereum has fallen below $2,600 and is fluctuating around $2,570. Long leverage has been heavily flushed out, and the sentiment index has fallen from the overheated greed level of 74 to around 63, but has not yet entered fear territory.
II. Key News
1. The Federal Reserve remains hawkish, and the rate path has b

10.6 Market Analysis (Short-Term Bearish Structure + ETF Large Inflows Turning into Outflows)
Bearish Logic
Bitcoin has been rejected after rising to around $87,000 three or four times since September 21–23. Repeated rejection at the same level indicates real overhead supply, rather than an isolated wick.
The macro environment is also unhelpful. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is around 5.32%, near its highest level since 2002. Treasuries pay interest, while Bitcoin does not; at this yield level, allocators have no compelling reason to chase higher prices. Weak nonfarm payrolls only reduced th

Bitcoin and Ethereum long positions have taken profit! Congratulations to everyone who followed along, and Happy Mid-Autumn Festival! May your families be reunited!
#GateBTC现货交易量跻身前三

For me, returning to my hometown is not an obsession so much as an instinct. Just as trees need to put down roots, people need to return to the soil that nourishes them and catch their breath.
That place holds my most fundamental coordinates—not just the old house, the streets, or the mountains and rivers, but also the silent silhouette of my father in my childhood, the aroma of my mother cooking by the stove, and the sound of neighbors calling me by my childhood nickname in their local dialect. These fragments came together to form the complete me. Amid the clamor of a foreign land, they are

9.16 Market Analysis
The U.S. Senate’s procedural vote failed to advance the CLARITY Act in the early morning hours. Coupled with the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, U.S. Treasury yields breaking above 5%, and rising oil prices, risk assets came under pressure. Bitcoin briefly fell below $75,000 before stabilizing, while Ethereum lost the $2,400 level. In the short term, price action is primarily driven by policy and macroeconomic events, while the medium-term structure remains not fully broken.
I. Key News
1. Procedural vote on the CLARITY Act fails (core bearish factor)
On September

9.15 Market Analysis:
Key focus: A day with dual catalysts — the CLARITY procedural vote + the FOMC meeting opening. The market has partially priced in a “25 bp rate hike.” What is truly being priced in today is whether the bill can clear the 60-vote threshold, as well as how hawkish or dovish tomorrow’s decision statement and dot plot will be.
I. Market Snapshot
On Monday, crypto briefly diverged from tech stocks: Nasdaq futures weakened amid discussions of a slowdown in AI, while crude oil surged due to disruptions involving Saudi pipelines. Bitcoin rebounded from approximately 76,800 dollar

9.14 Market Analysis
I. Market Snapshot
Bitcoin is currently trading in the $76,500–$77,500 range, while Ethereum is trading in the $2,465–$2,520 range. Both are down approximately 0.8% over the past 24 hours. The Fear and Greed Index is around 57, remaining in the “Greed” range, but it has fallen from last week’s high.
Over the weekend, the market saw a “rise followed by a sell-off”: after the August CPI release, the market temporarily shrugged off rate hike expectations and pushed BTC above $79,000, before it retreated and consolidated around $77,000. This looks more like an event-driven liq

9.11 Market Analysis - Houshanren
Yesterday, the PPI pushed rate-hike pricing to approximately 70%. Bitcoin fell below 77,000, and Ethereum lost 2,500. Today brings the last major inflation report before the Fed’s rate decision: August CPI. In the short term, the question is no longer “whether there will be a pullback,” but whether 76,000 can hold. From the September 3 high of approximately 82,300, Bitcoin has now retraced about 6%–7%. This is not a crash, but it is the first effective breakdown after the August rebound: 80,000 failed to hold, then 78,500 also failed, and now it is 76,000–77,0

Yesterday’s short position reached the second take-profit target. Congratulations to everyone who followed along!

9.10 Market Analysis - Houshanren
Today is the opening shot of macro data week. With PPI not yet released, the market has pushed prices back toward 78,000 to wait and see. Bitcoin failed to hold 79,000–80,000, while Ethereum pulled back to around 2,470. The trend structure of the August rebound remains intact, but the short-term focus has shifted from “buying the dip” to “waiting for the data.”
Yesterday, Bitcoin briefly surged to around 79,700 before pulling back. The overnight low was around 77,770, and it is currently fluctuating narrowly around 78,300. This is a typical pre-data volatility